Rollz

Jake Knapp is also on the outright card as posted earlier in the week, just forgot to put him on the updated list yesterday 

Gl this week, like that fox play 

Changed my mind, wanted some exposure to these guys and like the value on these positional numbers. Rai just missed the outright card, like him this week. 

Top 10 (ties included)

Justin Lower (+450)

Top 20 (ties included):

Aaron Rai (+145) 

Greyson Sigg (+230) 

Chan Kim (+250)

I only play on draft kings, fan duel offers contests as well. 

Best of luck this week my friend 

Picking up lower. No positionals this week. Here’s the card

Outrights:

Akshay Bhatia (22-1)

Nicolai Hojgaard (50-1) 

Justin Lower (65-1)

Patrick Fishburn (65-1)

Will Gordon (130-1)

Hossler was in consideration for me, despite the fact that I can’t stand him  kinda flying under the radar this week. BOL buddy 

I like this, will be having some of him in DFS this week

Add, I may toss in 1 more 

Will Gordon (130-1) 

I dont hate it, he did model pretty well for me, I just think there are better options personally in terms of an outright. He hasnt won in almost 10 years, i would rather take my chances on some of the younger up and comers. I could definitely see playing him in the positional market as he is doing some pretty sustainable stuff with the driver and irons, gaining in each of his last 4 events on approach and 3/4 off the tee. Hes also had some success at corales which i view as a pretty solid comparative course, but ill be investing elsewhere i just dont know if the winning upside is there with him. GL!

Another add

Patrick Fishburn (65-1)

Most of that stuff comes from betsperts golf, which is behind a pay wall unfortunately. But is well worth it as a dude over there puts out an article each week with a lot of course info and they have a great modeling database. 

 That’s the last thing I need I’m probably feelin myself a little too much. Been a good run but admittedly unsustainable. Hope to keep it goin though, thanks brotha! 

Thanks for stopping by, appreciate it 

Mcnealy dropped out of the tournament and he was originally the favorite, he dropped to 18-1 after that then must’ve caught a little more steam. 

Jake Knapp (50-1) 

This coming week brings us to the Mexico open, an even I actually hit a nice outright on last year with Jake knapp, who I am considering going back to this week. This is played at Vidanta Vallarta which is a very long par 71 course measuring out at 7,456 yards. Actually only has 9 par 4s, as there are five par 3s and 4 par 5s. This course features quite a few holes with water danger and a ton of bunkering which are the primary defenses here with a very low rough penalty and very wide fairway landing areas. Paspalum is the grass surface here which is interesting as you hardly get any roll out on it on drives, making carry distance a stat I will dial in on this week. Hence why we’ve seen bombers in Tony Finau and Jake Knapp win this event the past 2 years. I don’t think distance is the end all be all as there are other ways to find success, but there’s a definite edge there. With how easy this place is off the tee, it makes approach game that much more important. This is almost exclusively a long iron tests with only 21% of approach shots coming from inside 150 yards. Sufficient long iron play will be paramount to success here. This course is extremely vanilla around the greens, ranking as the easiest on tour in that regard. I would put more weight on sand saves rather than around the green due to all the green side bunkers here. Putting is a different story, as it ranks as the 15th toughest course in that regard due to these slow greens with some subtle undulations on the surfaces here. Primarily what we want here IMO are guys that have above average carry distance off the tee, very good long iron play especially from 200+ yds, and adequate bunker play. Guys that have played well on resort courses and places like corales and el cardonal is an added bonus with these courses being very similar in terms of agronomy and layout. Most of my weight will be on long iron play ultimately. I have fired on 2 and will wait for more books to open on the others. 

Akshay Bhatia (22-1) (Not super long, but should be able to avoid the trouble around here. I think he can win this on the back of his currently hot putter and long iron play. 1st in this field in history on paspalum and 4th in resort course history)

Nicolai Hojgaard (50-1) (Very long off the tee and one of the top long iron players in this field. Has been rock solid on approach this year, like the fit on a course that devalues his horrific around the green play and values his ballstriking. 6th at corales in 2022)

90-1 winner last week followed up with a 26-1 winner this week. Got 3/6 finishing positions through as well for a very profitable week. 

Feelin dialed, LFG boys 

Didn’t have mcnealy going bonkers on my bingo card this morning. It wasn’t easy but got it done lol, thanks my friend 

 Hope you tagged along buddy 

Good luck to us brotha