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Time to put this to a test! Playing a few small wagers on Yankees +110, Reds -1.5 +130 and the Cubs +120. GL Everyone
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roughshod31 | 2 |
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I am always looking for unnoticed or uncommon trends that for whatever reason seem to have a BIG impact on their particular sport Example in the NFL this year the team with more rushing attempts in a given game won better than 80% of the time. In a handful of MLB games looked at this current season bullpen usage in the previous game appears to be an indicator. The team whose bullpen pitched fewer innings the previous day has won nearly every game I have looked at. Will be continuing to follow this in the near future. Good luck all.
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roughshod31 | 2 |
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Friday Nights Games Rutgers -1.5 @ Louisville 41.0 Rutgers ( 24 ) Louisville ( 17 ) PLAY : Rutgers -1.5 West Virginia -14.5 @ Syracuse 59.5 West Virginia ( 34 ) Syracuse ( 24 ) PLAY : Syracuse +14.5 Good Luck All |
roughshod31 | 8 |
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Thursday Nights Games UCF -16.0 @ UAB 45.0 UCF ( 31 ) UAB ( 14 ) ( No play here ). UCLA + 4.0 @ Arizona 61.5 UCLA ( 28 ) Arizona ( 31 ) ( Again no play here. ) Will post Fridays projections in the morning. Good night all. |
roughshod31 | 8 |
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Quote Originally Posted by cjordanj1217: Roughshod...not sure where you are getting your Sagarin Ratings from sir but I do believe those are incorrect... Sagarin has this rated as Ark State by 3.77, The prediction tracker has it at Ark State by 2.51 and the Catherwood predictions has it at Ark State by 9... these listed are all verifiable thru www.cfbpredictions.com I use Sagarin's SCHEDL & PREDICTOR ratings as a starting point for my own predictive model. My model for tonights game actually had a predicted final of FIU 22 Arkansas St. 27 but I made a slight adjustment to this because a TEAM almost never scores exactly 22 points. ( 20, 21 and 24 are much more common and any of those would still have had a predicted final score going under the listed total of 53.0.) Hope that clarifies things a little and feel free to ask anything regarding this. |
roughshod31 | 8 |
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FIU @ Arkansas St. ( UNDER 53.0 ) FIU 21 Arkansas St. 27 Good Luck All |
roughshod31 | 8 |
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A couple of early plays for me today. Ole Miss @ Vanderbilt Ole Miss -2.5 23-10 Auburn @ Clemson Auburn +3.5 31-20 West Virginia @ Maryland Maryland Even 27-21 Penn State @ Temple Penn State -7.0 38-13 Good Luck and enjoy the games. |
roughshod31 | 1 |
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Almost forgot Boise St. -20.5 ( and garnered extra attention above,)
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roughshod31 | 4 |
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Boise St. comes into this game highly motivated after finding out this week that they lose scholarships for the next 3 years due to NCAA sanctions, Toledo on the other hand nearly upset the mighty Ohio St. at the Horseshoe one week ago. While that may have given them confidence coming into this game it probably also garnered some extra from Boise St. in their extra week of preparation for this contest. I feel Toledo would have had a much better chance at the upset or at least staying close had they not played so well at Ohio St. That being said I like Boise in a route here 48-10 running away early and often. As always good luck and enjoy the game.
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roughshod31 | 4 |
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I like LSU -4.0 to win in this Thursday night tilt. MSU is banged up coming off a heartbreaking loss @ Auburn, whereas LSU basically is coming off a glorified scrimmage. The short week of preparation along with the fact that LSU has a tendency to win ugly quite often has me picking LSU 27-17 continuing their dominance over MSU in this series. Good Luck All and enjoy the game.
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roughshod31 | 1 |
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DUKE 80 ST. JOHNS 62 (Projected Assist/TO Ratios 1.33 / 0.73) Duke makes you play at their pace & St. Johns does not like the up tempo style of play. GL
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TheBallDontLie | 39 |
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9/11 Late Addition Notre Dame -3.5 GL |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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9/11 8-9-1 YTD It has been a rough start to the season, hope to get things turned around today. Early Games 12:00 - 4:00 PM BEST BET Memphis +13.5 Regular Selections Hawaii +3.0 Arkansas State +2.0 Oklahoma -7.0 BYU +1.5 GL Be back for evening games.
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roughshod31 | 65 |
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9/9 8-8-1 YTD Temple -7.0 Temple (19.0) (56) GL |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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9/6 8-7-1 YTD Category #2 Virginia Tech -1.5 GL |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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9/6 7-7-1 YTD Sorry folks yesterday was a tough day. Todays Selection Maryland +6.5 Maryland (1.5) (51) I made a few minor adjustments to the System, we'll have to see how things go moving forward. I personally buy the HOOK in games like this, I feel its a little added insurance. GL & Happy Labor Day |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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Quote Originally Posted by paco1018: hey does tulsa fall in category 1? YES |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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Quote Originally Posted by paco1018: hey does tulsa fall in category 1? YES |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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9/5 Projection Model Todays Games Predicted Margins. Tulsa 7.95 ( Line -7.0 ) Texas Tech 15.55 ( Line -13.0 ) GL |
roughshod31 | 65 |
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Projection Model Underdog Record YTD ( 3-3-1 ). (Using 7 Pt. Differential).
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roughshod31 | 65 |
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