sbettingcareer

Today's Plays for Tuesday April 18th, 2017:

Run Line Picks: 5 plays

BAL -1.5 @ +110 (2.10:1)

DET -1.5 @ +185 (2.85:1) *This will be an alternate run line

HOU -1.5 @ +140 (2.40:1)

SF -1.5 @ +205 (3.05:1) *This will also be an alternate run line

LAD @ +135 (2.35:1)

Note the bracket numbers are the decimal format in odds. Most people use American, but I use decimal.

Good Luck everybody.

Hello everyone. I am new to the internet forum here on Covers and just wanted to share my picks and have friendly discussions with prospective handicappers.

As for myself, I have been betting MLB for 15 years and have done well for myself. I work as a software engineer, and wrote my own code to assist in my handicapping calculations. My betting algorithms are primarily based on pitcher statistics, starting lineup hitting statistics vs. starting pitcher and prospective bullpen appearances, as well as some defensive variables and fatigue due to schedule and travel.

I personally flat bet a set amount every pick and I only bet singles. I also only bet run lines. They will either be a favorite run line with +EV value, or an alternate run line where you take -1.5 on the dog. Most books offer alternate run lines.

For tracking purposes in this thread I will bet $500 per pick. This amount will not change. My own personal goal is +20 units after 28 days of betting (4 weeks). Thus profiting +$10,000 a month on average. For $500 unit bets, you should start with a bankroll of $25,000. You obviously don't have to bet $500 per play, it is more important to take what dispensable money you have, your bankroll, and divide it by 50. Thus if you have $5000 available, your unit should be $100. After each month, you can re-invest the money into your bankroll for growth, and re-calculate your bankroll, or you can take out the profit.

Good luck to everyone and remember variance. There will be good runs and bad runs over the course of the season. Do not waiver. Do not tilt and bet more on a good or bad run. Stick to flat betting and stay the course.

Cheers.