SmackTheBook

Taking off. I won't be around to answer any queries. 

Best of luck.

I'm going to give you final scores as I see them

Spurs 102

Warriors 98

Heat 104

76ers 107

Going to make this short, as I talked about using some type of math formula for making plays (instead of going with your gut, etc...) - I've bet over 160 NBA plays this year, hitting 107 (65%) Winners.

I'm going to post for the next 7 days (through next Friday 1/26) to prove my point.

Went 2-1 last night. I expect to go 2-0 today.

Playing the Hawks -2 ... Bulls went all out against the Warriors. Gotta love them for that (they covered and made me money the other night). However, they destroyed their balance - at least for today - in doing so. Hawks will cover the 2.

Raptors +3.5... Tight match-up here. From a pure math standpoint this close game will come down to 2 points either way. I like to bet dogs, but only if I think they will get the W. I think the Raptors get the W tonight - not playing a ML - Am taking the 3.5.

Finally for all of you greedy bettors that need more.... If I "was" betting a 3rd game today (I'm not) I would take a close look at the Grizzlies. I looked at it from many different math angles, couldn't find any that added up to a 10 point victory for the Pelicans. But again, when I play a dog, I like to believe they WILL win. I didn't see Memphis winning (they could). But I did see the final score falling somewhere between the 9 points (5 - 7 point range).

The first 2 will count on my record. 

Best of luck.

Well, shoot.

2 for 3 - profitable night. Misread the Nuggets game, different scenario than the other two games, so it happens. 

I'll post for the next 7 days 1-2 plays/daily so anyone who's interested can see the results and how profitable using a math structure to work with can be.

Thanks for your comments.

GN 

You're right about human emotion (and energy expendature). However, this can be factored into the formula. In fact, it was a big part of the Heat/Nets outcome tonight.

Thanks for the comment

Thanks for the comment. I haven't watched a game all year. My wife got rid of DirecTV b/c I stopped watching NFL games. I check scores on my phone only. If I get bashed for winning this way, I think I'll be all right.

NBA only. 

I have bet a total of 162 games (Sides, Totals, FHs) so far. My record is 105-57

I haven't posted NBA plays this year. My plays have nothing to do with the theme of this post. 

The 3 plays I have posted in this thread are examples of pure math at work.

I did not say I get every game correct. I said if you don't use specific math, you will lose more than you win.

Fact: The books know who is going to win and by how much in almost EVERY instance. Not talking about your local guy, but the  men who set lines.

I guess we'll know later this evening. Best of luck to you.

I just said true math does not lie. I don't use a system. True math allows you to see what is going to develop. It anticipates change.

Sorry Pal. Can't help you with that. 

Gut instinct. Choosing bets on who's been playing well, or poorly, will always leave you behind the curve. Math is real. Numbers do not lie. Not season long averages. Not PPG BS. True Math.

Tonight... 

Brooklyn wins by a handful.

Denver covers

The Grizzlies cover as well.

Have a nice night.