The_True

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [905] PHI PHILLIES -1½-125 ( R. HALLADAY -R / R. LOPEZ -R )	125 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [902] PIT PIRATES -107 ( D. WILLIS -L/ ACTION )	107 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [903] WAS NATIONALS -110 ( J. MARQUIS -R / J. LYLES -R )	110 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [903] TOTAL o8-110 (WAS NATIONALS vrs HOU ASTROS) ( J. MARQUIS -R / J. LYLES -R )	110 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [903] WAS NATIONALS -111 ( J. MARQUIS -R / J. LYLES -R )	111 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [924] NY METS -128 ( C. HENSLEY -R / C. CAPUANO -L )	128 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [907] TOTAL o9½-120 (ATL BRAVES vrs COL ROCKIES) ( D. LOWE -R / J. HAMMEL -R )	240 / 200
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [919] CHI WHITE SOX -121 ( M. BUEHRLE -L / K. DAVIES -R )	121 / 100
	MLB	STRAIGHT BET [907] ATL BRAVES +117 ( D. LOWE -R / J. HAMMEL -R )	86 / 100
Jul 18 08:43 PM Jul 18 07:13 PM Jul 18 08:13 PM	MLB MLB MLB MLB	PARLAY (4 TEAMS) [903] WAS NATIONALS -110 ( J. MARQUIS -R / J. LYLES -R ) [907] ATL BRAVES +117 ( D. LOWE -R / J. HAMMEL -R ) [916] TB RAYS +1½-125 ( A. BURNETT -R / A. COBB -R ) [919] CHI WHITE SOX -125 ( M. BUEHRLE -L / K. DAVIES -R )	50 / 621

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

The Rays have an edge in this game so i put them in my parlay at +1.5 -125.

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

K i gotta head to work soon so im outta here.

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Giants/Dodgers

Giants
5-2 home
5-5 vs rhp
2-1 vs NL West (0-3-0 o/u)
4-1 favorite
4-3 1 run game
5-3 night games (2-6-0 o/u)

Dodgers
5-5 road
7-7 vs rhp
3-5 NL west
5-4 underdog
5-3 1 run
6-6 night games

Lean: Under
No pick cuz Ryan lost his last 2 games

But lean Giants the linemakers are off on this game
Giants are labeled -131 but should be around -190

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Bookie raised my auto reload to $3,000
haha he wants me to ship it back; gl with all that

Lean Braves now becomes PICK: BRAVES

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

White Sox/Royals

Buerlhe
7-2 home
5-4 road
7-5 vs rhp
5-2 vs AL Central (4-2-1 o/u)
8-3 favorite
5-2 1 run game
6-4 night games

Davies
Last 8 decisions all losses
1-4 home
1-0 vs lhp
1-5 vs AL Central
2-8 as underdog
1-1 1 run game
0-8 night games

Davies only win came vs a left hander (Liriano) this season.

Pick: White Sox -120

Wierd line but im wit it.

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Pitching change from MCDONALD to MORTON

MORTON is 3-4 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 4.26 and a WHIP of 1.402.His team's record is 3-5 in these starts. The OVER is 3-4.

I prefer to have mcdonald in there but my wager was Willis vs Action so it don't matter who pitches; the bet is valid as long as Dontelle is there.

2-6 home
5-1 vs NL Central
2-4 as favorite
1-2 1 run game
6-9 night game
Ugh..now im worried about my bet.

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to Morton subs as Pirates Pitcher..taking the Buccos
in MLB Betting

The change says mcdonald but my book says morton which is it?

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luckylogan

13

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Unfortunate loss for the Twins but i didnt care who won; just wanted that total to go over 9; said it would be 5-4 or better but the Twins didn't wake up til the 9th; too late. Great defense on both ends kept this game under as well. Huff pitched like 7 straight shutout innings ftw.

Braves/Rockies

HAMMEL is 0-2 when starting against ATLANTA with an ERA of 9.53 and a WHIP of 2.353.His team's record is 2-2 in these starts. The UNDER is 0-4.

LOWE is 10-8 when starting against COLORADO with an ERA of 4.40 and a WHIP of 1.353.His team's record is 12-9 in these starts. The UNDER is 11-10.

ATLANTA is 4-0 against COLORADO this season 3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season .

The braves are 7-1 as an underdog of +100 to +125

Hammel
4-6 home
5-10 vs rhp
3-1 vs NL East (1-3-0 o/u) *(These wins are vs Mets/Marlins/Nationals; loss is to the Mets)
6-7 as favorite
3-6 1 run game
6-8 night games

Lowe
5-7 road
7-5 vs rhp
vs NL West 1-3 (3-0-1 o/u) *(2 losses to padres, 1 to dodgers, W vs Chacin and Rockies)
3-2 as underdog
4-2 1 run games
6-5 night games (7-3-1 o/u)

Pick: Braves/Rockies Over 9.5
Lean: Braves moneyline (epic walkoff yesterday after trailing hard to the Nationals)

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to ***Monday's MLB - 3 Plays On the Card***
in MLB Betting

This could be a 3-0 day for ya + the contest for 4-0.

I'm on mets ml not runline but gl either way.

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LasVegasLord

81

July 18, 2011

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replied to Monday's MLB Plays
in MLB Betting

i havnt capped the braves game yet but im with ya on the first 3 so far watching the end of the twins game or hopefully not the end cuz i got over 9 and its 5-0 and now 5-2 in the 9th

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sc_capper74

18

July 18, 2011

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replied to Weeble's Monday Picks
in MLB Betting

oh hold the phone its 5-2 maybe? Maybe?

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weeble5672

58

July 18, 2011

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replied to Weeble's Monday Picks
in MLB Betting

i jus capped all 3 games that you are on and came to the same conclusion on all 3

So let's sweep it tonight

Stuck $200 at the moment cuz i took the over in this indians/twins game but its 5-0 indians; i capped it to go 5-4 or better

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weeble5672

58

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Mets/Marlins

We have no sample size here for Hensley.
The last stat i could find on him was this:

HENSLEY is 1-1 when starting against NY METS with an ERA of 6.35 and a WHIP of 1.853.His team's record is 1-1 in these starts. The OVER is 1-1.

That date's back to 2006.

CAPUANO is 4-2 when starting against FLORIDA with an ERA of 3.02 and a WHIP of 1.046.His team's record is 4-4 in these starts. The OVER is 2-6.

His last start he pitched great vs Lincecum in a 3-1 loss.
Prior to that he beat the Dodgers.

Mets
3-5 home
5-8 vs rhp
1-2 vs nl east (2-1-0 o/u)
5-3 as favorite
5-8 night games

Stats look tough but the pitching is where it's at in this game. Capuano is great and Hensley has nothing to show on paper this season. So we must go with the guy that's shown us he can do it!!

Even tho the Marlins are 6-1 in their last 7; They have had it easy (Phillies in a 7/6 crazy game then the run 4-0 vs Astros b4 the break; then 3-1 vs the cubs; 8-1 last 9)

Pick: Mets
Lean: Under

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Nationals/Astros

Lyles + Astros are auto-fade material

0-4 home
1-4 vs rhp
0-2 vs NL East
1-6 as underdog
0-3 1 run games
0-4 night games

Last 7 decisions ALL Losses.

Marquis
Last 3 decisions = LOSSES
But prior to that 12-3.

6-2 road
10-6 vs rhp
2-2 vs NL Central (4-0 o/u)
2-1 as favorite
3-2 1 run game
6-4 night games

Pick: Nationals/Astros over 8
Pick: Nationals moneyline

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to Rally over in twins/indians?
in MLB Betting

14 outs..

?

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The_True

5

July 18, 2011

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created a topic Rally over in twins/indians?
in MLB Betting

4-0 still left a ton of people on base a bunch of great defensive plays has this game stuck on the under

Opened at 8.5 steamed and moved to 9u20 and slowly dropped to 9u15 b4 game time indicating a last minute sharp movement on the under.

I dont like last minute moves so i shoved it on the over plus the stats for both pitchers i thought this game would be 5-4 or higher in my writeup.

Its stuck at 4-0 cuz the Twins cant score....

15 outs left

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The_True

5

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Reds/Pirates

pitching change for the pirates
Macdonald instead of Morton.

Reds are 5-11 on the road on a -100 to -125 line

I think Pitt is going to make a run this season.
I remember seeing the line at +25000 at the start of the season and laughing but now look at em..

Reds are 17-29 after a win

Pirates are 22-13 vs division this season and 17-10 vs lhp
They are 5-1 vs Cincinatti this season and the over is 3-2-0

WILLIS is 2-5 when starting against PITTSBURGH with an ERA of 3.74 and a WHIP of 1.536.His team's record is 4-5 in these starts. The UNDER is 6-3.

MCDONALD is 1-1 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.73 and a WHIP of 1.727.His team's record is 1-1 in these starts. The OVER is 1-0.

That whip for mcdonald is pretty bad; but he has regressed a ton.

Mcdonald's last 3 starts:
All 3 = no decisions
Games were W W L (lost to boston/miller)
2.5 ERA 1.33 WHIP 18 IP 7runs 5ER 17 hits 2HR 7BB 16 SO o/u is 1-2

Willis' last 3 starts:
All 3 = no decisions
Games were L L L
Only 1 of those games was this year:
3.0 ERA 1.33 WHIP 6 IP 2ER 4hits 0HR 4BB 4 SO o/u is 1-2

Deeper analysis:
Willis 1 game this season vs Wolf/Brewers
All stats = 0-1 and under is 1-0.
Not enough of a sample size to make a decision other than he has lost all 3 games he's pitched.

Mcdonald
5-4 home
2-2 vs lhp
4-3 vs NL Central (4-2-1 o/u)
4-1 as favorite
4-2 1 run games
6-3 night games

Reds aren't that great on the road (2226) and the pirates are making a run for the lead in the division.

Pick: Pittsburgh Pirates ml -107

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

That stat is to throw people off imo;
The yanks hadn't lost a game after the all star break in 9 seasons and they lost to the blue jays.

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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replied to New Week with Trueness 35-12-2 run!
in MLB Betting

Yea Halliday is 1-3 vs chicago but 1-0 this year and this is a much better year for Philadelphia as they hold the best record in baseball. I cant lay $ on the cubs to beat Roy.

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The_True

36

July 18, 2011

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