TheBlackKnight

11.02.24, Saturday

Race 4

Main: 4,6,7,9

Consider/Others: 2,3,10

Race 5

Main: 6,8,9

Consider/Others: 1,2,10,11,12

Race 6

Main: 2,6

Consider/Others: 1,4

Race 7

Main: 2,4,10,11

Consider/Others: 3,6,12

Race 8

Main: 1,3,6

Consider/Others: 7,9,14

Race 9

Main: 1,3,7

Consider/Others: 4,11

Race 10

Main: 1,3,8

Consider/Others: 2,4,10

Race 11

Main: 2,6,7,12

Consider/Others: 5,8,10

Race 12

Main: 1,6,9,10

Consider/Others: 3,4,7,14

Final choices based upon how track is playing.

11.02.24, Saturday

Noon: OSU & PA State, over 42.0 (-200), 200/100

3:30pm: 1H, Indiana & MSU, over 20.5 (-275), 275/100

11.02.24, Saturday

6:00pm, Boston -550 to defeat Charlotte, 550/100

Here are some observations from Friday (all races 1-10):

No trainer won back to back races

No jockey won back to back races

The public's top choice won five races

Only one race had a gate to wire winner

Three winners used ES/EP

Three winners were steady gainers

Two winners came used middle moves

Japanese runners did not fair well

In other words, horses who were "closers" did not fair well.

Remember, Del Mar has a short stretch and that favors front style runners.

What will Saturday bring?

Race 6: 4-5-10-3, 4 was a Tier 2 selection

Race 7: 3-1-5-10, 3 (and 1) were contenders

Race 8: 1-12-2-11, 1 was Main Contender, 12 & 2 were contenders

Race 9: 6-7-3-2, 6 was considered, as was 7

Race 10: 13-6-12-11, 13 was a Tier 1 selection, 6 was from Tier 2, 12 was a Tier 1 selection

Tickets cashed, others didn't.  Hope you ended day one on the positive side of the ledger.  Saturday's selections to be posted later but most likely in the morning.

Day finished 1-0-0 & +100

Season is now 5-1-0 & +225

Hope you're doing as well, if not better.

Next game is Saturday.

11.01.24, Friday

Live, Boston -550 to defeat Charlotte, 550/100

Here is my overnight Friday Breeders Cup Day Sheet:

Race 6

Tier 1: 7,11,12

Tier 2: 2,3,4

Tier 3: 8,9

Race 7

Contenders: 1,3,4,8,9

Race 8

Main: 1,7,8

Contenders : 2,3,6,10,12,13

Race 9

Contenders: 2,6,7,10

Race 10

Tier 1: 4,5,12,13

Tier 2: 1,2,3,6

Let me be very clear, these are the horses I like at this time and most likely be the ones I wager on.  I do not know what each race will have at this point.

On large days, like this weekend, many non-regular horse wagering people will add their money to the pools.  Many will follow/tail the guy/gal on the screen/tv because "if they're on the screen/tv they must be smart/good", as a general rule I've noticed these people 99% of the time give out one of the top three odds choices at the current time.  The sheep follow, lowering that horses win price while at that point focusing on place wagers that will pay more than the win (other horse).  Some don't get that about me, which is okay, if I can cash three plus place tickets (behind the chalk) and get one to three other winner, I've had a very good day. 

Wagering is about making money, not getting the most correct.  A perfect example is this past World Series, I had a losing record but made 870.  I'll also state, if a particular tv person selects one of my choices, I remove them from my play list.

Know your strengths and wager to them with confidence and use money management (stick to your budget for each race - don't borrow money from race 7 for race 4 because you're down, it happens).  

I hope to update Friday's list after track changes but I have horse related things to take care off and don't know how long they will take.

Wager well!  

Thank you and too you ad well.  You're welcome, information helps all.  City of Troy has worked well over the track and unless it pours making the track sloppy it will be very tough for me to not see him in the top five (Super High 5 Tickets).  I read your reasoning for the one and fully understand it and can tell you, he's on my short list along with Derma.  The seven and nine, as of right now, look to be the other main contenders, to me.  I think they have Forever Young lay back, slide out to the 3 or 4 path heading into the clubhouse turn (so he won't get pinched/pinned and work his way to the rail saving ground advancing forward slightly up the backstretch and upon the far turn, remember Del Mar has a short stretch, is let loose.   He's shown he can take the dirt.  

As the track plays Friday and Saturday, along with the odds and weather,  will determine my final wagers.  The under card each day, to me, provides insight into the races later in the card.

One thing is certain, we're in for a very competitive race.

Hi garywpt,

I understand the concerns people have about him.  I'll be watching that later tonight.  In Europe over 99% of the races are turf as such they excel at them.  The dirt breeding is present, but not as strong as others in the race, but I have seen his workouts over the track and it seems he's taking to it well.  Does that mean he's going to win?  I don't know but when the trainer regarded as one of the top three in the world, says this is the best he's ever trained, it gets my attention.  I also watched his mile workout on a tapeta surface and he handled it well.

To me, as of right now, I could make a strong case for ten of the horses winning.  Funny thing is, they all would be used in various wagers.  It should be an entertaining race but, to me, it's just one race of the 2000+ I wager upon yearly.  I hope you and others have cash positive weekend wagering the Breeders Cup.  

Thanks for sharing.  

10.30.24, Wednesday

7:00pm: Boston (-275) to defeat Indiana, 275/100

10.30.24, Wednesday

Game 5

Dodgers (+125) to defeat Yankees, 800/1000

Here is a partial scratch list:

FRIDAY

Race 6: #1 Out on Bail

Race 7: #7 Non Compliant

Race 10: #10 Tenacious Leader

I'm. sure there are others and will be more.

Many thanks, just couldn't recall the amount.  

Yesterday finished 2-2-0 and +1400 

World Series is now 5-7-0 and -130 

Game 5 is later tonight, 10.30.24 (Wednesday) 

Don't miss out on TVG's Money Back Special on select

races at Del Mar on Thursday, Friday and Saturday.

Thursday, October 31: Races 4, 6, 8, 9

Friday, November 1: Races 6, 7, 8, 9, 10

Saturday, November 2: Races 4, 6, 7, 8, 11, 12

Kind of nice.  There's a limit and it's only your

first WIN (only) wager.  If it finishes second or

third, you'll get it refunded.

World Series is 3-5-0 and -1530 heading into tonight, 10/29/24 (Tuesday).

Game 4

Dodgers +115 to defeat Yankees, 500/575

Judge over 0.5 (+200) HR, 100/200

Judge over 0.5 (-200) hits, 2000/1000 (spread over multiple accounts)

Ohtani over 0.5 (-240) hits, 2400/1000 (spread over multiple accounts)

Word going around is she's doing well but has swelling.  Morning line of less than even money, the other serious contender out, she will remain the race favorite.  To get value, if she were to win, one will need to hit exotics and/or multies.  In the event she doesn't win, the payoffs should be of quality.

City of Troy took to the dirt today.  He skipped, glided and seemed to flow on/over it.  It was, also, known DMRC ADDED dirt/sand in an attempt to deepen the surface, yet City of Troy's work over it was not affected.  Presuming he comes out of the workout without issue, for me, will be extremely difficult to leave off my tickets let alone in multies and exotic keys.  So far, of all the workouts I've seen for this year's Breeders Cup races, there has not been any better.  The flip of this would be, will he have left it on the track/peaked to soon.  The post parade will help answer that for me.