WhiskeyLullaby

2020: 154-115 for +64.55 Units

This year not only are we doing the spread... but we are adding in the over/under!

There is only one way to make* money in this gambit: Bet. Every. Game.

I will be playing each game for 1 unit ($100), until I go bust (most likely Divisional Week** by my calculations)

Going with the standard spread is for suckers. To secure victory, points MUST*** be bought.

Total: 34-30 (-2.84)

Spread: 15-17 (-4.98)

O/U:  19-13 (+2.14)

Going with a lot of ALT spread lines this week...

CAR -9.5 / u43

NY -2.5 / o47

NYG -2.5 / u49.5

LAC +7.5 / o54.5

CIN -2.5 / u42.5

BAL -6.5 / o48.5

NE -2.5 / o41.5

ARI -9.5 / u52.5

BUF -6.5 / u45.5

CLE -6.5 / u45.5

DEN -9.5 / u42.5

LVR -6.5 / u45.5

SEA -2.5 / u55.5

TB -2.5 / u55.5

GB -2.5 / o48.5

DAL -6.5 / u52.5

2020: 154-115 for +64.55 Units

This year not only are we doing the spread... but we are adding in the over/under!

There is only one way to make* money in this gambit: Bet. Every. Game.

I will be playing each game for 1 unit ($100), until I go bust (most likely Divisional Week** by my calculations)

Going with the standard spread is for suckers. To secure victory, points MUST*** be bought.

Total: 17-15 (-1.65)

Spread: 7-9 (-3.53)

O/U:  10-6 (+1.88)

NYG +3.5 / o41

NE -5.5 / u43.5

DEN -5.5 / o44.5

BUF -2.5 / u49.5

PHI +3.5 / o48.5

LAR -2.5 / u49.5

PIT -5.5 / 49.5

CHI / u45.5

CLE -13.5 / o48.5

NO -2.5 / o44.5

ARI -2.5 / o50.5

TB -12.5 / u52.5

SEA -5.5 / o51.5

DAL +3.5 / o54.5

KC -3.5 / o51.5

DET +14.5 / u49.5

oops

Okay, so if the "algorithm" works with 3 teamers... then it obviously will work with 4 teamers, it's just basic math. Today we will be adding a new twist with team totals included.

Currently: +16.6u in two days, so... why NOT bet 16u on the day? Each 4-Team parlay will be for 2u, one hit and we are up 7u... 

1. NOP -4.5 / TOR -7.5 / MIL -11.5 / LAC -11.5 (+1,124)
2. NOP TT o113.5 / TOR TT o119.5 / PHX TT o112.5 / LAC TT o116.5 (+1113)
3. NOP-DET o221 / SAS-CHA u228.5 / MIL-OKC u230.5 / CLE-LAC o221.5 (+1086)
4. Williamson o34.5 PRA (NOP) / Beasly o27.5 PRA (MIN) / Murray o26.5 PRA (SAS) / Paul o28.5 PRA (PHX) (+1150)

5. NOP -4.5 / LAC TT o116.5 / SAS u228.5 / Murray o26.5 PRA (+1126)
6. MIL -11.5 / NOP TT o113.5 / LAC o221.5 / Beasely o27.5 PRA (+1183)
7. LAC -11.5 / TOR TT o119.5 / NOP o221.0 / Paul o28.5 PRA (+1126)
8. TOR -7.5 / PHX TT o112.5 / MIL u230.5 / Williamson o34.5 PRA (+1083)

Well... I guess it worked? Up 1.98u today and +16.6u total...

#1 - Only Winner

John Collins got 2 rebounds in the last 7 seconds on a missed free throw then a missed putback by himself... brutal, would have added another 9.2u for #3

Two times is a coincidence, but three times, now that is a streak. See you tomorrow!

Tried this new "theory" the other night (powered by coors light and dill pickle lays) and it worked to the tune of +14.62 units, so history says it will obviously work again... right?

2 units on each, 12 units total

IND -1.5 / NYK / BRK -3 (+599)

IND-ATL u226 / HOU-NYK u214 / BRK-GSW u245 (+519)

Collins u8.5 Reb / Cousins u10.5 Reb / Harris u 4.5 Reb (+460)

IND -1.5 / BRK-GSW u245 / Cousins u10.5 (+584)

BRK -3 / HOU-NYK u215 / Collins u8.5 Rebounds (+506)

NYK / IND-ATL u226 / Harris u4.5 Rebounds (+463)

Best of luck to all, enjoy reading this while we all wait for Guru to make his pick(s)!

@WhiskeyLullaby

 +14.62 Units on the day... this is how they get ya, I swear.

Winners: #2 and #3

PHI loss in #1 & #6

Wright loss in #3 & #4 

Late last night while watching Wrestlemania 7 I came up with this parlay theory. I can't get into the details, of course (because there aren't any), but here is what my algorithm (Coors Light and dill pickle lays) came up with: 

 2 units on each for 12 total

#1: Vucevic o12.5 Reb / BOS-TOR o219 / PHI -5.5 (+514)

#2: Butler o6.5 Ast / PHI-POR o228.5 / BOS -2.5 (+526)

#3: Wright o4.5 Ast / ORL-GSW u223.5 / MIA -1.5 (+504)

#4: Vucevic o12.5 Reb / Butler o6.5 Ast / Wright o4.5 Ast (+402)

#5: BOS-TOR o219 / PHI-POR o228.5 / ORL-GSW u223.5 (+605)

#6: PHI -5.5 / BOS -2.5 / MIA -1.5 (+581)

And that's a win.... what a ride boys, what a ride. 

Well 1-1, but with the ALT line we end up $80.... 153-115 (+$3,381)

Now, all of it on the Super Bowl... what an exhausting year. See you all next week!

There is only one way to make* money in this gambit: Bet. Every. Game.

I will be playing each game for 1 unit ($100), until I go bust. At the end, everything will be wagered on the Super Bowl.

Going with the standard spread is for suckers. To secure victory, points MUST** be bought.

152-114 (+$3,301) 

Everything I've read wants me to take the favorites... so rule number #17, do the opposite of what your brain says.

TB -2.5 (+180) Sold 5.5

BUF -2.5 (+155) Sold 5.5

*Lose

**Should Never

(Advisory: Might want to fade...)

Well that was an eventful day... full game team totals were ROUGH.

Overall: 13-6

1st Half Team Total: 3-0

1st Half ATS: 3-0

Player Props: 3-1

ATS: 2-1

O/U: 2-1

Team Total: 0-3

Not sure what happened... I just kept going... now I have 19 bets on the board. On the bright side, there's got to be at least one winner... right? 

Against The Spread

BRK -7

UTA -6

DEN -2

Over / Under

NOP/MIN o217

GSW/UTA u228

HOU/DAL o223

Team Totals

NOP o113.5

MIA u112.5

DAL o115.5

1st Half Team Totals

NOP o58.5

GSW u56.5 

MIA u56.5

1st Half ATS

DET +3.5

BRK -4.5

UTA -4

Player Props

Ball o11.5 Pts (New Orleans)

Ellington o11.5 Pts (Detroit)

Irving o4.5 Ast (Brooklyn)

Mitchell o4.5 Ast (Utah)

@WhiskeyLullaby

BAL -2.5 (-120) Bought 0.5

CHI +10.5 (-110)

CLE +7.5 (-135) Bought 1.0

There is only one way to make* money in this gambit: Bet. Every. Game.

I will be playing each game for 1 unit ($100), until I go bust (most likely Championship Week** by my calculations)

Going with the standard spread is for suckers. To secure victory, points MUST*** be bought.

Playoffs, we're talking playoffs?! I've decided that all accumulated units by the Super Bowl we be placed on that very game, hopefully we can make it there.

145-111 (+$2,799) 

BUF -5.5 (-135) Bought 0.5

SEA -2.5 (-130) Bought 0.5

WAS +10.5 (-130) Bought 1.0 

*Lose

**Divisional Week

***Should Never

(Advisory: Might want to fade...)

There is only one way to make* money in this gambit: Bet. Every. Game.

I will be playing each game for 1 unit ($100), until I go bust (most likely Championship Week** by my calculations)

Going with the standard spread is for suckers. To secure victory, points MUST*** be bought.

Well we made it. Here we are, still standing. We lost some good men along the way, but we will fight the good fight in their honor, picking the spreads in Week 17 games. 

136-104 (+$2,721) 

NYG +3.5 (-150) Bought 1.5

CLE -9.5 (+110) Sold 1.0

BAL -13.5 (-115) 

TB -6.5 (-125) Bought 0.5

NYJ -2.5 (+175) Sold 5.5

DET +7.5 (-165) Bought 2.5

MIA -2.5 (+155) Sold 4.0

NO -5.5 (-120) Bought 0.5

IND -13.5 (-120) Bought 0.5

LAS -2.5 (-115)

SEA -6.5 (-135) Bought 1.0

TEN -6.5 (-130) Bought 0.5

LAC -5.5 (+115) Sold 2.0

GB -5.5 (+125) Sold 1.5

LAR +3.5 (-130) Bought 0.5

PHI -2.5 (+215) Sold 6.5 

*Lose

**Divisional Week

***Should Never

(Advisory: Might want to fade...)

Player props for tonight, all to net 1u.

Atlanta/Brooklyn

Durant o26.5 Points

Harris o12.5 Points

Milwaukee/Miami

Middleton o19.5 Points

Memphis/Boston

Anderson o23.5 Points/Rebounds/Assists

Anderson o13.5 Points

Anderson o6.5 Rebounds

Charlotte/Dallas

Hayward o18.5 Points

Hayward o4.5 Assists

Washington o13.5 Points

Washington o5.5 Rebounds

Finney-Smith o10.5 Points

LA Lakers/San Antonio

Nothing yet...

Portland/LA Clippers

McCollum o21.5 Points

McCollum o4.5 Assists

Nurkic o3.5 Assists