Yaza

@NONEED4LUCK

 Must be nice posting a couple minutes before the game ends , why didn't you post this in the 2nd quarter? 

Can't wait to see what BS excuse they come up with to cover this up. I guarantee with Carr being out and kamara leaving the game there were so many bets on the commanders ( myself included ) that got robbed and there is going to be no justice because it's gambling 

I personally don't play parlays because the chances of actually hitting them are very slim but I could recommend you some teams to bet on this weekend: Commanders, Bengals, Broncos, Cardinals, Steelers & Vikings. It's getting closer to playoff/wildcard contention and these games are getting more and more important and all the teams I listed have favorable matchups and have something to play for. Hope this helps

Over 95.5 rush&rec yards (-115)

I've been eyeing this game because of the returning home factor for cousins. So question: Does Kirk have an advantage playing against his old defense or do the Vikings defense have an advantage playing against their old QB? I still believe the Vikings should handle the declining falcons with ease , but is this the game where Kirk returns home and torches his old defense for 4 TDs?

Rams/Saints (O.48) : Both these teams are in must win situations to keep their playoff hopes alive, sitting 3rd in their respective divisions. A couple years ago everyone would be talking about these teams as defensive juggernauts, but in 2024 neither of these defenses have been showing up and it's their offenses keeping these teams afloat. Saints games have hit the over seven of 11 times this season and in four of its past six. The Rams have averaged 23.8 points per game over the past five weeks, and they've allowed 59 points in their last 2 games.

Tampa Bay (-6) : I've always been a big fan of Baker, he has that winning mentality and will find ways to win with the weapons he has. With Evans returning to the lineup and a much needed bye week this should be even more of a boost with the NFC South still up for grabs. Tampa Bay has not been playing any slouch teams either with most of their losses coming from playoff hopeful teams and I don't see the Giants standing in their way, with the Giants’ offense ranking last in scoring at 15.6 points per game. The best part for Tampa is the Giants have their worst games at home (156 total points, only 53 have been scored at MetLife Stadium). Of the Giants 2-8 record in 2024, they are 0-5 at home. Now some can say with DeVito under center it may be different when he gave them a spark last year but with teams having film on him I don't see the Giants catching Tampa Bay by surprise with anything.

Broncos -5 ( currently -5.5 at most books opened at 4.5 )

This is a great rivalry game ( have been to a few myself back when they played at the mile high stadium ). But let's face it, this is the leagues worst Offense ranked dead last in the NFL in EPA per play and 29th in yards per play (4.7), against one of the best defenses in the league that is third in opponent EPA per play, fifth in opponent success rate, and first in opponent yards per play (4.6). The Broncos have also been showing great success in their Offense ranking 14th in EPA per play for the last couple weeks with Bo Nix absolutely torching Atlanta and making a case for Offensive rookie of the year 

GL with the bet Leventis, just be careful the Eagles are one of the best teams defending TE's allowing the fewest FPA this season in that position

@MRxKrazz

 Very true the Chargers have a young WR group with Johnston and McConkey leading the pack, but against the Bengals defense you won't need much to move the ball. I don't think Harbaugh plans on playing catch up with Burrow and will control the game at his pace and contain Burrow & Chase with Higgins still missing

Chargers: ML (-125) & Under 47 (-115)

This is a different team with Harbaugh behind the reins, they play hard nose football and have allowed an NFL-low 118 points all season. Yes the Bengals playoffs hopes are in jeopardy and this seems like a must win game for Cincinnati, but Harbaugh knows this and the key to winning this game will be to keep Burrow off the field. The Chargers are going to run the ball hard and chew every minute off of the clock they can to limit Cincinnati's Offense TOP. The Bengals will not be playing a soft secondary as they did with the Ravens and Cincinnati's defense is a major issue and with Edwards back the Bengals will have problems containing both him and Dobbins. 

I will also be looking for the Under in Herberts passing attempts when the line gets released and look at Dobbins/Edwards rushing props

Did you tease the dolphins TT up? My book is at 23.5

Rams ML / K. Williams O. 19.5 rush. Atts / Achane ATD / D. Robinson O. 28.5 receiving yards

Rams ML: IMO Vegas has made the Dolphins one of the most overrated teams on the market ATS ( failing to cover by 8 points per game ) so this line makes absolutely no sense with Hill at sub par health and the Rams offense finally getting healthy ( O line & Receivers ) . The Rams defense should also bring enough pressure to put Tua in a position to make mistakes ( second highest rate in the NFL )

Kyren Williams O 19.5 rush atts : Williams has hit this line in 5 of his last 6 games. I expect the Dolphins to focus more on Kupp and Nacua and give Williams plenty of opportunities to dominate the run game. 

D. Robinson O. 28.5 receiving yards: Yes he was on the injury report for a minor injury but he had full participation in practice. Robinson averages 40 yards a game and with the Dolphins looking to emphasize coverage on Kupp and Nacua, I see DRon getting plenty of opportunities to crack this number easy.

D. Achane ATD: I was thinking about taking his receiving yards over seeing as he cracked this line in his last 2 games with Tua being back, but I like his ATD with Hill still not at 100% they will look for Achane to be the big play maker and find his was to the endzone

Riding with you cashin, got a 8 team 10pt sweetheart teaser @ +350 (2U is paying out 7U!)

(Duke+31/Vanderbilt+17.5/Army-12/Navy-1.5

Eagles+3/Saints+3/Bills+3.5/Rams+9)

Been having a lot of fun with these teasers and hope to hit a 3rd week in a row , best of luck to you 

@SharpSharks let's dominate this weekend 

Keeping an eye on Commanders (-4): The only reason I haven't jumped on this game yet is Daniels and Robinson's health status. Daniels is not on the IL but did have a limited participation in practice. Besides the giants being complete ass and not being able to score TDs, Washington is an NFL best 7-1-1 ATS and 4-0 as favourites. Also a fun fact , Dan Quinn is 3-0 against the giants and Daniel Jones and loves sending pressure when playing the Giants, expect Quinn to put pressure on Jones early and force mistakes.

@D-Town

@Fuse

 Thanks guys , let's eat this weekend! 

Adding:

Falcons alt spread (-6): I'll be attending this game in the Benz stadium watching my birds dominate. The Cowboys are unlikely to take advantage of the weak pass rush Atlanta has to offer and with the falcons elite secondary daks only target (Lamb) should be getting a lot of attention. The Dallas offense will struggle to score, as it has all season and where the Atlanta offense is primed to take advantage of a Dallas defense that cannot cause disruption. 

Bo Nix O. 215.5 passing yards: Denver won't be doing much running against this elite Baltimore run defense, but this is where Bo can display his arm from oregon against the worst pass defense in the league. Denver is going to rely heavy on the pass game and this is a great opportunity for Bo to showcase his arm talent..

Dak Over 0.5 interception: My boy Prescott has averaged 2 interceptions in his last couple games and is going against one of the best secondaries in the league 

D Swift O. 64.5 rushing yards: This line is a little disrespectful to a guy who has hit this line in his last 4 games and is going against the 27th ranked rush defense. Arizona's defense is pitiful and swift should hit this in the first half.

D Achane O. 48.5 rushing yards: Hit 90+ yards against buffalo in week 2 and shouldn't struggle putting up similar numbers on Sunday. 

Going to start with my favorite play:

Rams (-1): The big 4 are back in action and the offense is finally cooking, watch out now but the Rams are about to start rolling and you can still find some books that are giving the Rams +400 to make the playoffs (you're welcome). Even if DK suits up Seattle is going to get the same treatment they got last week from the bills.

Bills (-6): Hard to believe that the Dolphins are going to be much better than they were when they played the Bills back in Week 2 and dominated 31-10. Buffalo has had Miami's number for a while and surely will this week. ( Can also play SGP with Bills ML and Under 56 if you don't trust the 6 )

2 team 6 Pt. Teaser Saints & Eagles (-1) : It's very simple both the saints & the eagles are playing against 2 of the worst teams in the league. Yes the saints are on a loosing streak but they are playing a team that has a worse offense than some of these middle of the pack college teams. As for the Eagles they are better in every aspect of the game and the jags have quite a few key players in the IR.

@SharpSharks

 Thank you

Nice call