YNOT_15

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created a topic Local Bookie San Francisco area in Website Promotions Does anyone have a reliable SF area bookie? If so inbox me. thnaks. View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	22	March 21, 2016 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting All my analysis went to waste? I feel like most everything stated was fairly accurate. Regardless, it doesn't matter. What does matter is the cheddar that Seattle put in my bank account. And for that I say, "Thank you Seahawks!" View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 08, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Another BRONCO SB Debacle in NFL Betting This douche bag came talking shit in my thread to. I dare him to re read my post. He will realize everything I stated actually happened. https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=21&sub=101816533 View Post \| View Thread	Crusher13	17	February 06, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Looks like things went as expected!! Will be betting Seattle at 5-1 to repeat. The gamble is only injuries. If they stay relatively healthy they will repeat. Wagering $2,000 to win $10,000 on the 2014 Seattle Seahawks to win the Super Bowl. See you in Arizona! Until next year.... View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 04, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Wow, that was the easiest money made all year. Thank you Seattle!! Impressive win!! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 03, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting I think Sherman is yawning somewhere on the side line! This show is over! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 02, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Chipman...thx for the compliment! GL to us!! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 01, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Meta...GL to us & everyone else on the Hawks!! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 01, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Venez View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	February 01, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Composite View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 31, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Packer fan Venez View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 31, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Yes, the public is all over Manning. The sharp money will put the line at -1.5 Denver or less at the kick off. Regardless, we will see a great Super Bowl. Looking forward to it. Just can't see Denver flying home with the Lombardi trophy. If they do, so be it. I think "person" Sherman and the thugs from the Pacific Northwest are gonna bring this one home though! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 31, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by FadeThisXen: Best of luck bro, you and I are on opposite ends here with about the same amount of money on the line. I hope I win, but good luck to you too! Should be a good one! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Adding: Denver team total under 24.5 $2,200 to win $2,000 View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to list of SB losers that had better Defense!!! in NFL Betting The reason those defenses lost is because they were good, but not great. Good defenses have won championships, but probably had even superior offense. We should say GREAT defenses win championships. Great defenses like the current Seahawks come around every ten years or so. View Post \| View Thread	dibcompany	16	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by choiOi: Bol bro - I think you gonna cash well in this matchup. If Seattle win this game, I believe Wilson will be spectacular and he will win the MVP IMO cause they will need that kind of game from him. He is prolly the biggest underdog on that team. Appreciate the support! Thanks! View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to MARSHAWN LYNCH in NFL Betting The biggest thug is their QB Wilson. I'm sure Denver has zero players w the "thug" appeal. To good for that. Sunday all the thugs are gonna steal that trophy and some diamond rings and head for the hood!! Mark my word... View Post \| View Thread	Crusher13	35	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by YNOT_15: Let's discuss the turnover battle that will be ever so important on this big stage of a game. In 47 Super Bowls only 4 times has the winner lost the turnover battle. This is the most convincing of all stats for me. It basically tells me that if you win the turnover battle you will win this game about 90% of the time. Let's look at both teams history in this category. While the broncos broke even on their take away to give away ratio, which was bottoms in the league, the Seahawks were tops at +20. The Broncos also turned the ball over at 1.6 times per game, again bottoms in the league. While the Seahawks turn it over the least in the NFL and take it away the most at 2.4 times per game. If we look at the post season these trends continue. Although Denver's defense has improved it's a bit misleading. The offense has burned clock and kept them off the field. Against the best defense in the league this will not be the case on Sunday. Through 2 play off games the broncos were a -1 in turn over to give away ratio, while the Seahawks were +2. Again, advantage Seattle. In fact the Broncos did not force 1 turnover through 8 quarters in the post season. Against the best team at protecting the football this trend should continue. Through the same 8 quarters the Seattle defense has forced 5 turnovers and forced in more fumbles that were recovered by their opponent. If Denver wins the turnover battle it would be a MIRACLE!! Also, the point about winning the turnover battle is that 91% of SUPER BOWL TEAMS (not play off games or regular season) that won this battle won the Lombardi trophy. I'm saying if Seattle does what they do they have a very high probability of winning. That's it. View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Also, what you don't add is in many cases these turn overs came at the ends if half some games where the outcome of a turnover did not effect the game. Example, in the divisional game vs. SD manning threw an int at the end of the 1st half resulting in no possibility of SD turning it into points. We cannot compare apples to oranges. The patriots and Chargers are far superior to the Seahawks. Again, opinions. Let's let it play out Sunday and see what happens. View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread
replied to Super Bowl XLVIII Write-up inside... in NFL Betting Quote Originally Posted by FadeThisXen: Even with a 5-8-5 turnover margin, the Broncos have outscored their opponents and posted the same record as the Seahawks in the regular season and post season. What does that tell us? It indicates that the Broncos can win, even if they lose the turnover battle. If the turnover margin is equal, the Broncos cover easily. If the Seahawks are +2 turnovers, I think they have a chance to cover. In my opinion, it's going to take +3 turnovers for the Seahawks to win this game. You're wagering that kind of money on the Seahawks to win +3 turnover margin? Why do I say +3 on turnovers? Because the Denver Bronco's offense has proven that it can win decisively, if the margin is equal. It's 3 losses came when it lost the turnover battle, and even in those occurences, it was never a blowout. During the regular season they lost 3 games, where they were -1, -1, and -2, by an average of 5.3 points. Post season, they've went -2 turnovers vs the Chargers and won by seven. The margin was equal vs the Patriots at zero, and that game didn't even seem close. My point...Seahawks force 2+ turnovers you'll see them cover. I think if you're going to bet, you're better off betting odds on Manning interceptions and Seahawk turnovers, rather than the point spread. The Denver Bronco's offense is just too polished to think that the Seahawks can dominate them by more than a score. I just can't fathom it. It seems more like the longshot than the reality, at least in my perspective. So you say that turnovers don't matter to Denver because their offense compensates? Got it. Well, just to let you know in the three games they lost they lost the turnover battle in each of those games. Those three game were at Indy (3-1), @ New England (4-3), and vs. San Diego (1-0). That's a total of -5 take away vs. Giveaway in games they lost. Seems kind of significant. In two of the three they were only -1 and still lost. I promise you if they are -1 or more vs. Seattle they will not win. The only way Denver wins is if they are even or better, which we can see is highly unlikely. Let's recall that Seattle has only lost the turnover battle once all year, turns the ball over the least, and takes the ball away more than any team in the NFL. In conclusion, it won't matter if Denver loses the battle, right? View Post \| View Thread	YNOT_15	69	January 30, 2014 View Post \| View Thread

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