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My Scores button not working on iPhone. Generating Error code 500 |
zags | 2 |
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I can't see any of my picks for day 1? I made my picks on my mobile device. There is no record of my picks... What's up?
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Jason Richardson | 13 |
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Quote Originally Posted by chicano1:
Hey what about Utah is this the C WAGER now ??????
I'm playing UTAH as a C game even though I've heard JM said he won game A with UTAH fav by -4 and buying 3 points. UTAH won by 2. Everyone else got -5.5 on UTAH.
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SRTZEE | 119 |
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Feb 26
Colorado
NJ -203
Tor
NYI 110
The system play is Toronto since NYI is a bottom 8 team from last year. But I usually play the home team in the first game of the chase if the opponent is also a bottom 8 home team from last year which Toronto is.
The forum has become a ghost town because everyone who was following it for a while now understands the system and is making BIG $$$$$.
Right Seahawk!!!
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expertcapper | 335 |
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This system has been money!!!!
5-0 tonite!
Edmonton, Boston, Ottawa, Nashville and Calgary!
27-0 this month alone! 125-1 overall
WINNER!!!!
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expertcapper | 335 |
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Here is an update of the original system. Current record is 112-1 (Vancouver only loss) Tonight: Chasing Buffalo vs San Jose Chasing NY Rangers at Florida |
expertcapper | 335 |
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Joediggy - The records below does not include any variations to the system, fade bottom 8 home teams using last seasons home record and play to win on all other teams. Eli or someone else who has been following closely can come up with % on the results using handicapping variations used on this thread.
record 93-1 (using last seasons home record - no variations)
winning %
1st game 61% : where 57 of 94 won 1st game
2nd game 68% : of the remaining 37 teams that lost 1st game 25 teams won 2nd game
or 87% : 82 teams out of 94 possible won one of the 1st 2 games
3rd game 75% : 9 of remaining 12 teams won 3rd game
or 97% - 91 teams out of 94 possible won one of the 1st 3 games
4th game 67% : 2 of 3 won 4th game or 99% won at least one of the first 4 games on the homestand
Vancouver only team to lose 4 straight home games.
Top 16 Home Teams won
63% of their 1st game
90% of either their 1st 2 games
96% of their 1st 3 games
100% of their 4 games (once)
Bottom 8 Home Teams won (fade)
56% of their 1st game
84% of their 1st 2 games
100% of their 1st 3 games (lost once in 3 games)
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expertcapper | 249 |
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Quote Originally Posted by seahawksanders:
Zags, which teams are you chasing? Are you fading teams too or just playing on the top home teams? Nice! Seahawks, I'm also fading the bottom 8 teams with the worst home record from last season. To tell you the truth, I didn't have time to track the bottom 8 for the current season so I stuck with the worst 8 home teams from last season and it has paid off wonderfully. Eli, I agree with you, it doesn't make sense to fade the bottom 8 using last seasons record but it's working. The only team that has been causing issues is Florida. They are a stronger home team then last year but so far so good.
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expertcapper | 249 |
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I stayed with the original chase system and did not deviate at all. I'm using last years home records. Currently at the All-Star break the system is 93-1.
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expertcapper | 249 |
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If you didn't stray from the original system, chase top home teams to win and fade bottom 8 using last years home record the system is currently 88-1. Vancouver is the only lost. Nashville and Carolina were the only other 2 teams that went 4 games and won their 4th home game.
All the handicapping and current season adjustments haven't helped the system at all. You need to set rules and stick to it.
My betting philosophy is to set an amount you want to win per chase series. It's been working fine for me. If your goal is $20 per series then you would have earned $1617=$1760(88W)-$143(1L).
I didn't start playing the system until Dec 1st where the record is 47-1 and I've earned $800 playing $20 chase series.
Someone mentioned in one of the posts that they figure the square root of their backroll and use that as a goal to win per game. If your backroll is $200, the SQRT is about $14. That should be your profit goal per series/game. Others use 5 or 10% of their bankroll to wager. You need to be decipline and not let emotions or hunches get in the way. If you are going to start doubling up and so forth you are going to get in trouble really fast.
This is a great system and like ketut said "If you told someone you went 83-4 and lost money they would look at you like your nuts."
BOL
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expertcapper | 249 |
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Here is an additional filter when encountering two bottom 8 teams playing each other in the FIRST GAME of the 3 home game chase series. Instead of fading the home team, the home team is 3-1 against another bottom 8 team in the FIRST GAME of the homestand. So take the home team when two bottom 8 teams meet in the FIRST GAME of the 3 game home chase series.
If two bottom 8 teams meet other than the FIRST GAME of the chase series FADE the home team as the system says to do.
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expertcapper | 249 |
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Quote Originally Posted by elithepunk:
You are overlooking one simple fact though. The only reason it was straight-forward to start off 40 - 1 with strict system rules was because it was the only way to get started. How else can you handicap when the season is only starting. So, it made sense to start off with parameters that were "inspired" by last year's standings but now that we are way into this season, adjustments need to be made. I don't think this is a case of over-handicapping. So how are we determining the teams to fade? Are we using the current season home records and adjusting every day? week? month? The original 3 home game chase is also 62-1. And the chase is currently on NY Rangers, Vancouver, Carolina, St Louis. |
expertcapper | 254 |
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Expert, I've been following your thread since the start of December and it's been a GREAT NHL system.
I'm a little confused on your picks for today.
You are selecting Boston over Carolina even though Carolina had
a Top 16 home record from last season. Are you changing your picks to use the current season home team records? If you are then why are you selecting Dallas over Anaheim since Dallas is a current season bottom 8 but an original Top 16? Confused!
Also, Phoenix over LA. Phoenix is a bottom 8 from last season.
Is there something that I'm missing?
Keep up the good work!!!
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expertcapper | 254 |
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Expert, I've been following your thread since the start of December and it's been a GREAT NHL system.
I'm a little confused on your picks for today.
You are selecting Boston over Carolina even though Carolina had
a Top 16 home record from last season. Are you changing your picks to use the current season home team records? If you are then why are you selecting Dallas over Anaheim since Dallas is a current season bottom 8 but an original Top 16? Confused!
Also, Phoenix over LA. Phoenix is a bottom 8 from last season.
Is there something that I'm missing?
Keep up the good work!!!
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expertcapper | 254 |
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