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6 all blacks released for itm cup finals

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Posted: #1

Canterbury get : Ben Franks and Wyatt Crockett

Auckland get : Charlie Faumuina

Otago get : Ben Smith, Tamati Ellison and Adam Thomson

Counties get : none
 
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Posted: #2

Nice for Otago....

Thanks for the early info Dave.

 
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Posted: #3
No worries BM. Goodluck as always on the punt.
Most my betting is on gametime and live, so don't post much these days. 

Each to his own, doesn't mean you can't also get decent results betting early.
 
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Posted: #4
Quote Originally Posted by Davenz:

No worries BM. Goodluck as always on the punt.
Most my betting is on gametime and live, so don't post much these days. 

Each to his own, doesn't mean you can't also get decent results betting early.


Man you are one strange individual, trolling the absolute crap out the boards one day and being nice the next 

What's your game??
 
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Posted: #5
My game? to make as much money as I possibly can.
 
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Posted: #6
Bookies have the Otago Counties market incorrect regardless of what happens.

Market opened Count 1.40, Otago 2.80.....3 AB inclusions and market moves slightly. Now 1.47 and 2.55.

Market should have moved to 1.65 and 2.15 FYI.
 
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Posted: #7
How does that relate to point spread?
Thanks

 
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Posted: #8
6 point fav to now 4.5....but it should be 3 or 3.5

Wouldn't be surprised if by gametime line is 2.5 or 3 flat.....only see Otago firming here, unless injuries hit

My thoughts on the other game, again Auckland is over priced

For mine it should be :

Canterbury 1.45

Auckland 2.55

Which is a big change from the current 1.25 and 3.70. Being a night game helps Auckland.

Great value in both dogs early
 
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Posted: #9
centrebet still has Otago 3.00 and +6.5 i don't follow ITM but i'm assuming you would recommend taking both?
 
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Posted: #10
Bet375 has Otago at +6.5 and Auckland at +8.5....
Do you have anything posted there on the totals (which I favor)
and finally....why does playing at night favor Auckland??

Thanks and best of luck in your wagers.
 
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Posted: #11
Otago +6.5 looks good. It should be a close game.
 
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Posted: #12
Davenz
Forgot to ask....how much does the addition of the All Black members improve Otago's chances?  I seem to recall that they got
got 3 AB members a few weeks ago and they really hammered their opponents....Thanks
 
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Posted: #13

Listen and learn.

Everyone is always learning throughout life.

GL to everyone no matter what. Its us against the books so why argue with each other? Save your thoughts and argue with the book for any advantage that you can.

Tks again Dave. GL to you to mate.

 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by milagrosman:

Davenz
Forgot to ask....how much does the addition of the All Black members improve Otago's chances?  I seem to recall that they got
got 3 AB members a few weeks ago and they really hammered their opponents....Thanks

I'll let you know what I like on gameday. Check this thread then.
 
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Posted: #15
Will do... your input will be most welcome.....
 
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Posted: #16
if anyone is wondering what impact otagos all blacks make, just ask bay of plenty who beat them 31-19.

 
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Posted: #17

So Otago due then I think.

Those 3 all blacks from memory didnt have the best of games.

At the moment leaning otago.

 
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Posted: #18

That game that Otago lost was played in Aug....

On sept 14...they got beat by Counties 43-12...and on Sept they beat

North Harbor 54-25 which included 3 All Black players....

 

Note playing North Harbor lot different than Counties..only saying this because I am leaning more to the over than the spread...

Comments welcome

 
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Posted: #19
look forward to your plays tonight breadman
 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by Davenz:


I'll let you know what I like on gameday. Check this thread then.

Like Counties to win tonight. Will be trading live accordingly (keeping Counties winning my better result).
 
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Posted: #21
still cant get a good feel for this one
 
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Posted: #22
Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

still cant get a good feel for this one

Otago under 2.5 tries is still 2.25 at our local.....solid enough
 
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Posted: #23
why do you like counties so much tonight?
 
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Posted: #24
I don't.....my best bet is under 2.5 Otago tries....and then trading to hopefully win whoever wins, keeping Counties winning my better result
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Davenz:

I don't.....my best bet is under 2.5 Otago tries....and then trading to hopefully win whoever wins, keeping Counties winning my better result

$$$$$

Won big on both. Will likely be on Auckland to cover tomorrow.
Will confirm tomorrow.
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