All Forums | Rugby

Knights backers beware

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 1282
Posts: 27
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #1
letdown spots/teams due for a loss etc is all just a mind trick

Doggies roll
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 15753
Posted: #2
Haha if u knew anythink about sports capping you would know that let down spots and the like is all part of the game as at the end of the day they are only human
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #3
and if you knew anything about sport you'd know that last week is not related to the next week. A simple mind trick that people make with betting, roulette especially. Thinking that if they keep going for red at some point they must be "due" but the fact is every spin has no relation to the last much like sport. The bulldogs are light years better than the Knights and will roll them
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 29184
Posted: #4

Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

and if you knew anything about sport you'd know that last week is not related to the next week. A simple mind trick that people make with betting, roulette especially. Thinking that if they keep going for red at some point they must be "due" but the fact is every spin has no relation to the last much like sport. The bulldogs are light years better than the Knights and will roll them

Whilst 9 wins in a row is mighty impressive, who have they beaten?

North Queensland, a good scalp but they can't beat time with a stick away from Townsville.

Manly - yep but Newcastle did likewise.

Parra - and?

Tigers - see Manly above.

Melbourne - granted, good win.

Saints - they wont make the 8 anyway

Souths - good win but Souths weren't travelling anywhere near as well as they are now. Souths had also already beaten them this year.

Roosters - see Parra above.

They caught Melbourne and North Queensland at home and haven't played any of the other games outside Sydney.

Nine wins is a great effort, especially in a comp as close as the NRL.

But to say the Dogs are light years better is an exaggeration imo.

Oh, and in round 4 at Homebush the Knights would have kept them to nil save for a try on the siren

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2002
Posts: 16902
Posted: #5
Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

and if you knew anything about sport you'd know that last week is not related to the next week. A simple mind trick that people make with betting, roulette especially. Thinking that if they keep going for red at some point they must be "due" but the fact is every spin has no relation to the last much like sport. The bulldogs are light years better than the Knights and will roll them


Yep. Dogs aren't gonna lose again in this millennium. They are that fucking good...


 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 15753
Posted: #6

Quote Originally Posted by emkee:



Yep. Dogs aren't gonna lose again in this millennium. They are that fucking good...


 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

Whilst 9 wins in a row is mighty impressive, who have they beaten?

North Queensland, a good scalp but they can't beat time with a stick away from Townsville.

Manly - yep but Newcastle did likewise.

Parra - and?

Tigers - see Manly above.

Melbourne - granted, good win.

Saints - they wont make the 8 anyway

Souths - good win but Souths weren't travelling anywhere near as well as they are now. Souths had also already beaten them this year.

Roosters - see Parra above.

They caught Melbourne and North Queensland at home and haven't played any of the other games outside Sydney.

Nine wins is a great effort, especially in a comp as close as the NRL.

But to say the Dogs are light years better is an exaggeration imo.

Oh, and in round 4 at Homebush the Knights would have kept them to nil save for a try on the siren



this is such a horrible argument, who do you want them to play the 1972 miami dolphins?

You could make excuses for pretty much any team about who they've beaten.

Oh my god who have the knights beaten? the terrifail raiders, the choking warriors etc etc.

There is a reason the dogs have the best points differential in the comp and the knights have one of -4.


 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by emkee:



Yep. Dogs aren't gonna lose again in this millennium. They are that fucking good...




Look up  the definition of hyperbole my friend.
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 1079
Posted: #9
I was leaning Dogs to cover or 1-12 but seeing emkee, phatty and snake are all on Knights I'm not so sure now.

I agree on paper the Dogs are a better side but sides do have let down weeks after road trips, short turn arounds, big wins and can either sink or swim on losing a key player or two, being able to pick those anomaly games is a key to consistent winning. With the exception of Parramatta they are all professional athletes and any team can win on their day.

Plus Rostos is due for a fix/corruption rant thread which is the lock of the weekend if the Dogs lose the game/penalty count.
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 29184
Posted: #10

Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:



this is such a horrible argument, who do you want them to play the 1972 miami dolphins?

You could make excuses for pretty much any team about who they've beaten.

Oh my god who have the knights beaten? the terrifail raiders, the choking warriors etc etc.

There is a reason the dogs have the best points differential in the comp and the knights have one of -4.


If the Dogs belt Newcastle in Newcastle, I will stand corrected that they really are 'light years better' than the Knights.

 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2006
Posts: 29184
Posted: #11

Quote Originally Posted by Django:

I was leaning Dogs to cover or 1-12 but seeing emkee, phatty and snake are all on Knights I'm not so sure now.

I agree on paper the Dogs are a better side but sides do have let down weeks after road trips, short turn arounds, big wins and can either sink or swim on losing a key player or two, being able to pick those anomaly games is a key to consistent winning. With the exception of Parramatta they are all professional athletes and any team can win on their day.

Plus Rostos is due for a fix/corruption rant thread which is the lock of the weekend if the Dogs lose the game/penalty count.

I don't know, he's already started making excuses before the games even kicked-off.

Sydney may be spared a shotting spree after all

Rostos, come back son

 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 15753
Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by Aussie Battler:

I don't know, he's already started making excuses before the games even kicked-off.

Sydney may be spared a shotting spree after all

Rostos, come back son

 
Legend
Participation Meter
Joined: Feb, 2005
Posts: 102561
Posted: #13
Doggies LUCK factor will ensure they win tonight
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 1079
Posted: #14


If Storm loses and screws my 4 teamer of my strongest h2h picks for the weekend there will be one in Melbourne.
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by Django:

I was leaning Dogs to cover or 1-12 but seeing emkee, phatty and snake are all on Knights I'm not so sure now.

I agree on paper the Dogs are a better side but sides do have let down weeks after road trips, short turn arounds, big wins and can either sink or swim on losing a key player or two, being able to pick those anomaly games is a key to consistent winning. With the exception of Parramatta they are all professional athletes and any team can win on their day.

Plus Rostos is due for a fix/corruption rant thread which is the lock of the weekend if the Dogs lose the game/penalty count.


Don't let anyone elses picks influence or change your mind. That's something I've learned. It would have been so easy to talk myself out of taking the dogs against the sea eagles a few weeks back but I decided that it's much better to go with what you think is right
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2012
Posts: 1079
Posted: #16
Yeah I generally do just go with what my feel for the game, on a game like this where there's smart money going on the other side I'd rather lay off than follow others, rather not make a bet than make a dumb bet, especially when I've taken Storm to cover -12 and have a bunch of other bets riding on other sports.  With rugby league most of you guys follow it far more intently than I have over the years and have a better handle on the players and teams and how they sit for the season. This is only my second season of betting on League week in week out. I fall into the trap at just playing what side is better on paper/historically and am struggling to hit 50%, lucky to be in the +

Albeit I played some stupid margin/total doubles early in the season and play margins a lot.

League gets about as much TV coverage in Melbourne as bacon ads in Saudi Arabia. If I have time I watch 1 or 2 games at most a week, mostly a turdy MNF stream if I miss the Friday night games on free tv or the late night sat night replays, just read the NRL.com previews, look for late mail on LU and study past history on nrlstats.


 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #17
good game fellas
 
MVP
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2010
Posts: 15753
Posted: #18
didnt watch the game at all as was watching my chiefs but nicce call on the Doggies
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #19
cheers mate, was watching the chiefs also had chiefs 13+
 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #20
night all, hope not too many off us were on the knights.

beautiful KNIGHT
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2008
Posts: 7556
Posted: #21
Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

night all, hope not too many off us were on the knights.

beautiful KNIGHT

we come nearest to the great when we are great in humility 





 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #22
not sure what you are getting at there, but hope everyone had a good night

CHIEFS, finally I've waited for this soooo long
 
Captain
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2008
Posts: 7556
Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by davopnz:

not sure what you are getting at there, but hope everyone had a good night

CHIEFS, finally I've waited for this soooo long

win humble and don't remind those on the other side that they lost. 

 
Banned
Participation Meter
Joined: Sep, 2010
Posts: 6686
Posted: #24
not having a go at those who lost just had an awesome night, and those who had at dig at me pre game well good game fellas 
 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2012
Posts: 931
Posted: #25
nice work you dirty person the pitbulls are due a loss next weekend what a fluke
All Forums | Rugby
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2025 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.