Doggies @ 2.10 centrebet Both teams come into this game with good form and Manly with the edge in
semi final experience. However like the Dogs since they have beaten
Manly at their ground which is very hard to do where they tried to bash
the Dogs but they held firm. Even if Toovey tries the same tactic, still
like the Dogs to withstand them and given that they have the edge in
the forwards with their ability to offload as well as make the extra
yards, then give their backs like Barba to make further inroads in their
defence. The concern for the Manly side is how they tend to switch off
in periods of their games which is not what they want at this time of
year, and also believe that Hasler is the better coach of the two.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Doggies @ 2.10 centrebet Both teams come into this game with good form and Manly with the edge in
semi final experience. However like the Dogs since they have beaten
Manly at their ground which is very hard to do where they tried to bash
the Dogs but they held firm. Even if Toovey tries the same tactic, still
like the Dogs to withstand them and given that they have the edge in
the forwards with their ability to offload as well as make the extra
yards, then give their backs like Barba to make further inroads in their
defence. The concern for the Manly side is how they tend to switch off
in periods of their games which is not what they want at this time of
year, and also believe that Hasler is the better coach of the two.
Souths @ 2.25 centrebet Like Manly last night, expect the Melbourne Storm to look to impose
themselves early on by trying to bash the hell out of Souths and focus
on their semi final inexperience. But doubt that will hurt them as their
are some big forwards who can give as good as they get, and once they
settle down, like the Souths forwards to dominate the ruck area. They
have some good players who can offload while the Storm game is very much
one dimensional: get the yards and then get the ball to Cronk, Slater
or Smith to do something. But Souths also have players in those
positions of similar ability, as well as having other players who have
done well for them this year. Nullify the bif three for the Storm and
not much left to make something happen, so like the bunnies even though
their record in Melbourne is not good, still believe they have enough to
win this.
North Qld -7.5 @ 1.98 centrebet
Cowboys have won 4 straight and have the talent to do very well in these
semi finals. Thurston and Bowen are very good attacking players
especially close to the line, and behind a very big, mobile forward
pack, they should have plenty of room to cut the Broncos up. Tate and
Linnett in the centres have also done well for them, and like them to be
too good here. The Broncos had lost 6 straight before beating Penrith
last week, but their defence, which was a highlight in the first half
of the season, has deserted them, and teams are finding gaps all over
the place. With the Cowboys two little men pulling the strings, hard to
see the Broncos keeping this close
Record: 1-0 (+1.10)
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Quote Originally Posted by blackcrow:
Doggies @ 2.10
Souths @ 2.25 centrebet Like Manly last night, expect the Melbourne Storm to look to impose
themselves early on by trying to bash the hell out of Souths and focus
on their semi final inexperience. But doubt that will hurt them as their
are some big forwards who can give as good as they get, and once they
settle down, like the Souths forwards to dominate the ruck area. They
have some good players who can offload while the Storm game is very much
one dimensional: get the yards and then get the ball to Cronk, Slater
or Smith to do something. But Souths also have players in those
positions of similar ability, as well as having other players who have
done well for them this year. Nullify the bif three for the Storm and
not much left to make something happen, so like the bunnies even though
their record in Melbourne is not good, still believe they have enough to
win this.
North Qld -7.5 @ 1.98 centrebet
Cowboys have won 4 straight and have the talent to do very well in these
semi finals. Thurston and Bowen are very good attacking players
especially close to the line, and behind a very big, mobile forward
pack, they should have plenty of room to cut the Broncos up. Tate and
Linnett in the centres have also done well for them, and like them to be
too good here. The Broncos had lost 6 straight before beating Penrith
last week, but their defence, which was a highlight in the first half
of the season, has deserted them, and teams are finding gaps all over
the place. With the Cowboys two little men pulling the strings, hard to
see the Broncos keeping this close
North Qld -1.5 @ 2.00 centrebet North Qld with plenty of confidence coming into this game and they will
use their forwards to batter Manly. No different to what Manly will do,
as they too will look to soften them up, so not much between the two
packs, but the fear for Manly is when, and not if, the Cowboys move the
ball wide, then they are in trouble. Matai is out, and Lyon is looking
likely to play injured, and with a calf injury, it is hard to push off,
so can see Tate and Linnett getting around him. Morris easily got around
Lyon last week to set up the opening for the Bulldogs and expect the
Cowboys to direct traffic through Manly's make shift centres. The other
problem for Manly is that they tend to lose their focus in the second
halfs and with players like Bowen ad Thurston who can cut teams in an
instant then believe the Cowboys have the players to win this one, and
would not be surprised if they blow them out
Record: 3-1 (+2.44)
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North Qld -1.5 @ 2.00 centrebet North Qld with plenty of confidence coming into this game and they will
use their forwards to batter Manly. No different to what Manly will do,
as they too will look to soften them up, so not much between the two
packs, but the fear for Manly is when, and not if, the Cowboys move the
ball wide, then they are in trouble. Matai is out, and Lyon is looking
likely to play injured, and with a calf injury, it is hard to push off,
so can see Tate and Linnett getting around him. Morris easily got around
Lyon last week to set up the opening for the Bulldogs and expect the
Cowboys to direct traffic through Manly's make shift centres. The other
problem for Manly is that they tend to lose their focus in the second
halfs and with players like Bowen ad Thurston who can cut teams in an
instant then believe the Cowboys have the players to win this one, and
would not be surprised if they blow them out
After the bullshit last night, not confident in the Rabbits covering the spread or the Raiders winning. More like the possibility after last nights grinding game between two good defensive sides, that tonight could be a case of a more expansive game from both sides with points being scored.
Souths - Canberra over 44.5 @ 2.15 sportsbet
Record: 3-2 (+1.44)
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Quote Originally Posted by blackcrow:
North Qld -1.5 @ 2.00
After the bullshit last night, not confident in the Rabbits covering the spread or the Raiders winning. More like the possibility after last nights grinding game between two good defensive sides, that tonight could be a case of a more expansive game from both sides with points being scored.
Normally would have gone with the Raiders tonight, but after last nights debacle, not sure what to think will happen tonight. Just an insight how i think it will play out:
Souths have won 9 of their last 15 games to teams who did not make the
top 8 but lost 5 of these to teams who did make it. Like the Raiders,
who have won 6 straight to target them out wide with Ferguson and Earl, and some of their bigger and more mobile forwards like Papali
targeting the Souths centres and wingers as not too confident in them in
defence. In return, with Croker out, like Taylor to target Thompson's
mobility out wide, as he has moved from the forwards to the centres for
this game. Souths beat them 36-18 during the season at ANZ, and though they
have struggled to put up points in there last few games, like them to
bring some spark back in this must win game while Canberra have scored
34+ points in their last 3 games and have scored 40, 36, 20 and 42
points in their last 4 road games against the likes of Melbourne,
Cronulla, Penrith and the NZ Warriors
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Normally would have gone with the Raiders tonight, but after last nights debacle, not sure what to think will happen tonight. Just an insight how i think it will play out:
Souths have won 9 of their last 15 games to teams who did not make the
top 8 but lost 5 of these to teams who did make it. Like the Raiders,
who have won 6 straight to target them out wide with Ferguson and Earl, and some of their bigger and more mobile forwards like Papali
targeting the Souths centres and wingers as not too confident in them in
defence. In return, with Croker out, like Taylor to target Thompson's
mobility out wide, as he has moved from the forwards to the centres for
this game. Souths beat them 36-18 during the season at ANZ, and though they
have struggled to put up points in there last few games, like them to
bring some spark back in this must win game while Canberra have scored
34+ points in their last 3 games and have scored 40, 36, 20 and 42
points in their last 4 road games against the likes of Melbourne,
Cronulla, Penrith and the NZ Warriors
Melbourne -5.5 @ 2.10 centrebet Melbourne -13.5 @ 4.05 centrebet
Melbourne have won their last 6 games and are starting to peak with
their run into the finals as they have gotten over their mid year slump.
Two weeks ago they showed their class in easily beating the Rabbitohs,
24-6, with their big three in very good form for them. Both forward
packs are solid and expect them to sort each other out, and Manly will
look to bash the Strom forwards early, but they are up against the best
"wrestlers" in the league, and can see the Storm winning the battle
there. Neither forward pack generates much yards going forward but the
Storm pack is more structured and disciplined, making less errors and
giving away less stupid penalties. In the backline, Manly may have the
edge apart from Slater and Cronk, but the Storm backline play better as a
unit, while the Manly backs can undo much of their good work. The
Storm beat the Sea Eagles earlier this year 26-22 at Brookvale with
Manly reducing the margin by 4 points right at the end, and this was a
top result in a very tough place to win at and that was with Slater out
for the game, so now on their home turf, where they are very strong
themselves, and Manly do not have a good record there, like them to win,
and would not be surprised that they blow them out.
Record: 4-2 (+2.59)
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Melbourne -5.5 @ 2.10 centrebet Melbourne -13.5 @ 4.05 centrebet
Melbourne have won their last 6 games and are starting to peak with
their run into the finals as they have gotten over their mid year slump.
Two weeks ago they showed their class in easily beating the Rabbitohs,
24-6, with their big three in very good form for them. Both forward
packs are solid and expect them to sort each other out, and Manly will
look to bash the Strom forwards early, but they are up against the best
"wrestlers" in the league, and can see the Storm winning the battle
there. Neither forward pack generates much yards going forward but the
Storm pack is more structured and disciplined, making less errors and
giving away less stupid penalties. In the backline, Manly may have the
edge apart from Slater and Cronk, but the Storm backline play better as a
unit, while the Manly backs can undo much of their good work. The
Storm beat the Sea Eagles earlier this year 26-22 at Brookvale with
Manly reducing the margin by 4 points right at the end, and this was a
top result in a very tough place to win at and that was with Slater out
for the game, so now on their home turf, where they are very strong
themselves, and Manly do not have a good record there, like them to win,
and would not be surprised that they blow them out.
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