NRL Week 23

NRL YTD 177-149-4 +34.90 units

Well poor week of capping last weekend but that is ok because tonight is bounce back night. So have been working all week on these games for the weekend so have the right frame of mind going into them to make some money.

Friday Night Football Stats:

Favs Su: 25-13

Favs ATS: 19-18-1

Totals: 17-20

Picks:

Sea Eagles Su 1 unit @ $2.00

This seems like the right plat to me tonight. They have been playing well over the past couple weeks even with the travel and think they are really coming home strong. They have had good wins as have the bunnies but also believe that no GI and luke will slightly catch up with them this week and may cost them a little. The Birds are 12-8 Su and 8-11-1 ATS for the season while the Bunnies are 14-6 Su and 10-10-0 ATS for the season so both teams relatively the same ATS and thought may as well take the Su with little value at +1.5

Bunnies/Sea Eagles over 38.5 2 units @ $2.00

THIS GAME WILL BE A TRACK MEET. There you go ROD eat your heart out mate. This game will be full of running all over the park and should be in the over almost at half time. Both these teams love to attack and do it really well. Also predicting a small let down spot on D for the Bunnies after the way they defended last week just cant trust that team to do that 2 weeks in a row. The Bunnies are 10-9 on totals for the season and the Birds are  9-11 on totals so no real trend on that front more a gut play and playing what i see and feel.

Storm -8.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Well the Storm found their game last week all be it against a weak Panthers team but they should be up and running again now and at home they will be unbeatable and just cant see the titans sticking with them tonight. The Storm are 13-7-0 Su and ATS for the season while the Titans are 9-11 Su and 11-9-0 ATS so the Storm does have slight edge ATS and just have that feeling that the Storm are starting their run home and good style.

May have a few more plays later in the day like prop bets but for now this is what im going with.

BOL

Yea saw that after made the play. Not sure why i thought he wasnt maybe becasue matty Johns said it on NRL on Fox. I dont know but all the same he wont be match fit and only coming off the bench as well. So still like the play a lot.

Emkee

NFL Preseason starts today yea buddy

Yea think both games should go in the over tonight. Last week had a lot of the games go close to the total but stay under so this week should be good to the over and tonight should be a good start.

Phatty

Bevo

Hearing Matai and King are out. Lussick is also suspended.

Luke back for Soufs.

I backed Manly last week, BUT, i really think they will feel the travel over the last 2 weeks combined with last weeks absolute bruiser in humid conditions against the cows....

In terms of over and under, its basically Armageddon in Sydney today. Dare i say the central coast would be copping something similar........

Yea was not i know about the weather but still like the over play here. Some games still go over all the same.

Thinking that may up the Play on the Storm though as well.

Going to go ahead and add both these plays for the games tonight,

Picks:

Storm HT/FT 2 units @ $1.80

Bunnies/Brids No Trys before 8 mins 30 secs 2 units @ $1.90

BOL

The game is in Gosford. My mate is at the ground and said the rain has stopped. However , you do realise the TAB is actually the weather.......

Blackcrow

wehere

Rostos

Davo

i think there wont be any early tries in the game but think the points will begin to come as the D gets a little tired the points should start to flow

Adding this to finish off the night,

Picks:

Sea Eagles 1-12 margin 1 unit @ $3.00

Sea Eagles +1.5 1 unit @ $1.90

BOL

NRL YTD 179-153-5 +29.80 units

Time of Try

Storm HTFT

Sea Eagles

Over

Storm Push

Well what a just bloody horrible way to start the weekend. The brids score in the last minute to blow the 1-12 and Storm have great chance to finidh the game and cover and what happens. Man oh man hope this isnt the way the weekend is going to go.

Well up early watching the PGA Championship so thought would put some early leans on paper and see what people think.

Leans:

Chooks -1.5

Saints +4.0

Warriors +8.5

Warriors/Cowgurls over 45.5

What are your feelings about the games tonight. Will have a few stats in write ups later on for these plays.