NRL Week 25

NRL YTD 192-180-6 +14.50 units

Well has just been a horrible time of it lately but going to use Friday night as the turn around point and get me going back in the right direction to make money and have a lot more fun.

Friday Night Football Stats:

Favs Su: 28-14

Dogs ATS: 21-19-2

Totals: 19-23

Picks:

Raiders +4.0 2 units @ $1.90

This game should be a real cracker and im going to get on it now before there is any more line movement for the Raiders with players rumoured to be rested by the doggies for this game. Also on FNF dogs in this spread are 13-9-0 ATS so that is another really good sign for the Raiders for the game. I also believe that they have a lot more to play for with the top 8 birth on the line whethers the Doggies have top spot all but theirs. The raiders are 11-11 Su and 10-12-0 ATS for the season but have been in quite good form over the past couple months and will be strong in this game. The Doggies are riding a 12 game winning streak enough said really. They are 17-5 Su and 16-5-1 ATS for the season and backing agains them has not been smart at all really but all the same like the Green Machine in this battle.

Raiders Su 1 unit @ $2.40

BOL

Have been looking over the rest of what i had on the card tonight and have couple more to add to the pile.

Picks:

Broncos +6.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Like the Broncos to cover in this game and have the potential to get up for the win as well. They are playing for a top 8 spot and have not been to bad of late just have not found a way to win. Tonight could be that not and if not they should have the game to cover. Lets remember what happened that last time the Birds went off for a half. They where horrible over the next couple of weeks. The Broncos are 11-11 Su and 12-10-0 ATS for the season while the Birds are 14-8 Su and 10-11-1 ATS so the Broncos do have a slight edge and with a lot more to play for think they should have the goodies tonight.

Broncos/Sea Eagles under 40.0 2 units @ $1.90

This game has under written all over it. Both teams play very good and that has been the case over the past few weeks for the Broncos and the birds i expect will struggle to score after what they did on sunday arvo. The Broncos are 8-14 on totals for the season and the Brids are 10-12. Also to add to this as above FNF has been an unders night. So all points towards the under and i like the play a lot myself.

BOL

Haha yea need to get back to the well, have gone away and losing big time

Thanks Phatty BOL on what you come up with bud

Lunchbox

Good man i believe that this line is overinflatted big time due to what the Birds did to the knights, when look at this game really should be a PK they way the Broncos have been losing to good teams in recent times

Well Have been thinking over the games tonight and like the broncos a lot so here goes,

Pick:

Broncos +6.0 2 units @ $1.90

Broncso Su 1 unit @ $2.70

BOL

Phatty

Yea and we dont even get the Raiders game live man so that is very hard to handle for my brother who is die hard Green Machine

wehere

NRL YTD 195-182-6 +15.60 units

Raiders

Broncos

Under

NRL YTD 195-182-6 +16.50 units

Under was actually for couple units thats my bad

Well have been looking over the 3 game card for tonight and this is what have come up with,

Picks:

Panthers +4.5 1 unit @ $1.90

Well the titans have it all to play for and the panthers have to make the trip back from NZ this week. With that in mind still like the panthers to cover the numebr tonight. They have been much improved to finish the season, really since coute made the move to the 6 jumper and at home today i expect them to be good. The Panthers are 7-15 Su and 9-13-0 ATS for the season while the titans are 10-12 Su and 11-9-2 ATS so do have an advantage their but still like the panthers to be good enough off the win last start to keep the game close and get the possible win.

Titans/Panthers under 42.0 1 unit @ $1.90

This game has under written all over it. Both teams play D well and at times can struggle to put points on the board. The Panthers D was awsome last week against the Warriors and really see no reason for that to change this week. The Panthers are 11-10-1 on totals for the season while the Titans are 7-15 on totals for the season. So the numbers support the under play and that is a strong gut feeling for me as well.

Warriros +6.0 1 unit @ $1.90

Change on coach should really say it all in this game but there is more people. MNF underdogs that lose the next week are 4-9 Su and 5-8 ATS so that give me a lot of confidence in the Warriors tonight as well as they have a new coach and that usually means the players turn up and play harder and want it more as they know they are playing for a spot next year. Also the 2 guys the Warrirors are targeting have been invited to the game tonight. The Warrriors are 8-14 Su and ATS for the season while Saints are 9-13 Su and 7-15 ATS for the season so Warriors have the ATS advantage and they are my gut play as well.

Knights +10.0 1 unit @ $1.90

This play is largely based around 2 factors for me. Bounce back and the MNF factor. Teams that where MNF favs and win the next are 5-7 Su and 4-8-0 ATS which is the cowgurls. Also really can the knights be as bad as their where last week, i think not. They also will know that if they win they could be back in the race and that should be enough to cover the DD;s spread. The Knights are 10-12 Su and ATS for the season while the cowgurls are 13-9 Su and 12-10-0 ATS so they have been good but just cant see them covering a DD's number.

BOL