There are two consistent teams in the comp - Storm and Broncos. Betting any other team is russian roulette. Last couple of years the NRL has become the hardest sport to gamble on...
You know why it has become a lottery? there are anumber of factors..
Firstly, the wrestle has resulted in set defenses...Cracking set defenses is very difficlut, this has resulted in overal closer scores...What differentiates teams? Whoever is luckier on the day...
Just watch this opening 25 mins, and you will see the sharks have scored 2 of there 3 tries directly off luck
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Quote Originally Posted by emkee:
There are two consistent teams in the comp - Storm and Broncos. Betting any other team is russian roulette. Last couple of years the NRL has become the hardest sport to gamble on...
You know why it has become a lottery? there are anumber of factors..
Firstly, the wrestle has resulted in set defenses...Cracking set defenses is very difficlut, this has resulted in overal closer scores...What differentiates teams? Whoever is luckier on the day...
Just watch this opening 25 mins, and you will see the sharks have scored 2 of there 3 tries directly off luck
You know why it has become a lottery? there are anumber of factors..
Firstly, the wrestle has resulted in set defenses...Cracking set defenses is very difficlut, this has resulted in overal closer scores...What differentiates teams? Whoever is luckier on the day...
Just watch this opening 25 mins, and you will see the sharks have scored 2 of there 3 tries directly off luck
hey wait on wait on, I thought every game was scripted for the fix ??
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Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
You know why it has become a lottery? there are anumber of factors..
Firstly, the wrestle has resulted in set defenses...Cracking set defenses is very difficlut, this has resulted in overal closer scores...What differentiates teams? Whoever is luckier on the day...
Just watch this opening 25 mins, and you will see the sharks have scored 2 of there 3 tries directly off luck
hey wait on wait on, I thought every game was scripted for the fix ??
23:54 TRY SHARKS - Carney's cross-field bomb is batted back by Pomeroy before being knocked on by Blair. The ball then bounces off Bukuya's head before being grounded by the second-rower. Flukey try.
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23:54 TRY SHARKS - Carney's cross-field bomb is batted back by Pomeroy before being knocked on by Blair. The ball then bounces off Bukuya's head before being grounded by the second-rower. Flukey try.
23:54 TRY SHARKS - Carney's cross-field bomb is batted back by Pomeroy before being knocked on by Blair. The ball then bounces off Bukuya's head before being grounded by the second-rower. Flukey try.
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Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
23:54 TRY SHARKS - Carney's cross-field bomb is batted back by Pomeroy before being knocked on by Blair. The ball then bounces off Bukuya's head before being grounded by the second-rower. Flukey try.
NBA is easily my most consistent sport and is easier to create a model (i.e situation, motivation etc). NRL is a fucking crapshoot and has gotten worse since the introduction of the blatant bookie influence...
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Quote Originally Posted by Luckylunchbox:
Still think NBA is worse
NBA is easily my most consistent sport and is easier to create a model (i.e situation, motivation etc). NRL is a fucking crapshoot and has gotten worse since the introduction of the blatant bookie influence...
23:54 TRY SHARKS - Carney's cross-field bomb is batted back by Pomeroy before being knocked on by Blair. The ball then bounces off Bukuya's head before being grounded by the second-rower. Flukey try.
yet you continue to invest
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Quote Originally Posted by Rostos:
23:54 TRY SHARKS - Carney's cross-field bomb is batted back by Pomeroy before being knocked on by Blair. The ball then bounces off Bukuya's head before being grounded by the second-rower. Flukey try.
NBA is easily my most consistent sport and is easier to create a model (i.e situation, motivation etc). NRL is a fucking crapshoot and has gotten worse since the introduction of the blatant bookie influence...
'Reverse odds analysis' is the only way I win on the NBA .... If you bet "value" in that league you'll get absolutely shredded.
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Quote Originally Posted by emkee:
NBA is easily my most consistent sport and is easier to create a model (i.e situation, motivation etc). NRL is a fucking crapshoot and has gotten worse since the introduction of the blatant bookie influence...
'Reverse odds analysis' is the only way I win on the NBA .... If you bet "value" in that league you'll get absolutely shredded.
NBA is easily my most consistent sport and is easier to create a model (i.e situation, motivation etc). NRL is a fucking crapshoot and has gotten worse since the introduction of the blatant bookie influence...
putting on a clinic
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Quote Originally Posted by emkee:
NBA is easily my most consistent sport and is easier to create a model (i.e situation, motivation etc). NRL is a fucking crapshoot and has gotten worse since the introduction of the blatant bookie influence...
The NRL did balance itself out through Round 10 - Finals last season though after a horror first few rounds.
Right now teams are still unsettled, injuries, coaching adjustments, ref adaptions.
Goal is to not throw away too much money in the early rounds and get a roll on late, easier said than done at the moment, not seeing it at all well...
I had my best punting years in 01-07...
Since the wrestle has become prevailant, it has brought the sides closer together...The NRL allows the wrestle because they are obssessed with a close comp...Gallop has said many times the main goal is a close comp....
This closeness means that teams are generally seperated by penalties, bounce of the ball, ref decisions and luck.......
I would say league is now 50% luck / refs - 50% skill / attitude..
Earlier last decade, it was 85% skill / attitude, 15% luck / refs
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Quote Originally Posted by emkee:
The NRL did balance itself out through Round 10 - Finals last season though after a horror first few rounds.
Right now teams are still unsettled, injuries, coaching adjustments, ref adaptions.
Goal is to not throw away too much money in the early rounds and get a roll on late, easier said than done at the moment, not seeing it at all well...
I had my best punting years in 01-07...
Since the wrestle has become prevailant, it has brought the sides closer together...The NRL allows the wrestle because they are obssessed with a close comp...Gallop has said many times the main goal is a close comp....
This closeness means that teams are generally seperated by penalties, bounce of the ball, ref decisions and luck.......
I would say league is now 50% luck / refs - 50% skill / attitude..
Earlier last decade, it was 85% skill / attitude, 15% luck / refs
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