Wishing everyone a happy new year!
Brentford/Arsenal - A lot I like here given recent trends, particularly for Brentford. Shut out the last 2 games, I don't see that happening here, even against Arsenal whose defense this season hasn't exactly been as impenetrable as last season. Call them the kings of btts as the Bees had been involved in such games in league play all season except at Everton (not surprising) and most recently against Nottingham (not surprising) and Brighton (ok, that was disappointingly unexpected). Brentford's backline is decimated w/ injuries, including to its' probable best defensive player in Ethan Pinnock as well as serviceable backup Mee, w/ newbie Kim Ji-Soo likely to start after just earning his first 10+ minutes in EPL play at the tail end on Friday. Not exactly an ideal scenario even w/ Arsenal's inconsistent attack on the front. Would expect Thomas Frank to try to create some level of chaos early on and nick a goal as his team has done multiple times already this season as falling behind could make things get ugly in a hurry. Oh, and Brentford has been shutout at home against Arsenal in 3 straight matches dating back to early 2022/23 season. GTech Community has seen the most number of goals out of any stadium this season so over 3 looks like a push at worst. Took the over 2.5 + btts + 1H over 0.5 SGP for +110. Think the Arsenal TT over 2.5 at +140 is tasty but rather wait for an in-game opportunity at over 1.5 instead.
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