Alaves/Espanyol - A relegation 6-pointer. As much as I prefer taking goals in battles at the top, think there’s fair value at the bottom, too. Watching the Leicester/Brentford postgame show, one of the Robbies pointed out that gaining points at home is what ensures securing survival in the top flight. After a start to the season that had people thinking they could be last year’s Girona this season, Alaves has really fizzled out as they find themselves second to the bottom of the table. To be fair, they’ve actually put up some solid performances against the top dogs this season and have shown the potential for scoring outbursts including in their last match when they put up 3 in Leganes. Do I see a goalfest like the reverse fixture today? No but think the total at 2 at +107 is off. Unless this finishes 0-0, there should be a minimum of 2 goals as that first goal will really open things up as seen in another relegation battle between Espanyol and Valladolid a month ago. Just to be safe, decided to divide the game into halves as usual and took the 1H over 0.75 at -115. If it’s goalless at the half will probably double dip on the total of 1 at halftime. Oh and expect cards to fly if either team find themselves down with 10-15 minutes left. Total banker.
Ipswich/Tottenham - Probably goals here meaning there should be a generous number of chances at both ends, the perfect recipe to find value in the shots market. Initially looked at Delap’s offerings but seems like the books adjusted the lines on all attackers in this game so don’t see much value there. The nice thing though is that Ange’s style renders opportunities to his defenders to join in on the attack and Djed Spence has been a huge beneficiary of his manager’s tactics and the team’s growing list of injuries. The wingback has been one of Tott’s best performers since being inserted into the starting 11 and has had a shot recorded in each of his last five games including a SOT in his last two, which is why I jumped on his 1+ SOG at +500 and 2+ shots at +428 (book unfortunately didn’t offer 1+ shot as I would’ve preferred that over 2+ shots). He’s come close to finding the scoresheet and feel that he’s very much due soon.
Kiel/Leverkusen - Who would’ve thought Xabi’s Kusen would be involved in two straight goalless matches. They screwed me last week (and I’m pretty sure the week before). There has to be a 1H goal here and I’m almost certain it will come early. Hoping to grab the 1H over 1 and 0.75 runner, but may need to just make a smaller play on 1H over 1.5. Either way, just expect a minimum a 1H goal against a leaky but just as able to find the back of net Kiel side.
0-1. I'll take that
I thought that game was going to end 0-0 lol glad you cashed 
Excellent call
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