Central Coast home games have been an under bettors dream. 6 games, 6 unders. They've scored just 4 goals in these 6 games, while conceding just 2.
Perth is about bad as one can be, with 0 wins in their 5 away matches and just two goals scored on the road.. They have been too terrible defensively, with just 7 conceded during these away matches..
All signs point to another under...
BUT..
why is this line so fishy? Under 2.5 is just -130? We've seen juicier lines for this bet, and if anything, this one should be -150... the o2.5 is sitting at +115? This ought to be +130, +140 at least..
I'm going to go against the sensible play (u2.5), and take the o2.5
The Mariners ML is getting hit hard, down all the way to -170.. and the draw is at a whopping +310 .. I don't trust the Mariners enough to lay -170, though the -1 @ +105 seems like a decent bet.. and -1.5 @ +173 is tempting, but this isn't the kind of team I trust to win by 2..
so, despite looking like a bone-headed move, Over 2.5 @ +117 for me.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Central Coast home games have been an under bettors dream. 6 games, 6 unders. They've scored just 4 goals in these 6 games, while conceding just 2.
Perth is about bad as one can be, with 0 wins in their 5 away matches and just two goals scored on the road.. They have been too terrible defensively, with just 7 conceded during these away matches..
All signs point to another under...
BUT..
why is this line so fishy? Under 2.5 is just -130? We've seen juicier lines for this bet, and if anything, this one should be -150... the o2.5 is sitting at +115? This ought to be +130, +140 at least..
I'm going to go against the sensible play (u2.5), and take the o2.5
The Mariners ML is getting hit hard, down all the way to -170.. and the draw is at a whopping +310 .. I don't trust the Mariners enough to lay -170, though the -1 @ +105 seems like a decent bet.. and -1.5 @ +173 is tempting, but this isn't the kind of team I trust to win by 2..
so, despite looking like a bone-headed move, Over 2.5 @ +117 for me.
CCM had so many chances to push it to a two or three goal lead..
but it truly is disheartening to see how lazy their midfield is. A handful of great counterattacks fizzled out because no one was running up to support the strikers. It isn't surprising to see them underperform this year, they are ridiculously lazy...
I hope the coach lays into them at the half...or shows them some film so they can see how lazy they look.. but boy do I feel dumb for taking this o2.5 despite all the facts saying this goes under.. .
I probably should buy out of this with a 2H under... but the # of chances they are getting against Perth's backline keeps me from doing so.. going to have to just let this ride and make a note that aside from the Roar and maybe,M Victory & Adelaide..I should just bet the under for everyone else. the plus money on u2's will probably come out ahead vs the plus money on o2.5's..
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Quote Originally Posted by koesiu:
i hate early goals and then nothing
CCM had so many chances to push it to a two or three goal lead..
but it truly is disheartening to see how lazy their midfield is. A handful of great counterattacks fizzled out because no one was running up to support the strikers. It isn't surprising to see them underperform this year, they are ridiculously lazy...
I hope the coach lays into them at the half...or shows them some film so they can see how lazy they look.. but boy do I feel dumb for taking this o2.5 despite all the facts saying this goes under.. .
I probably should buy out of this with a 2H under... but the # of chances they are getting against Perth's backline keeps me from doing so.. going to have to just let this ride and make a note that aside from the Roar and maybe,M Victory & Adelaide..I should just bet the under for everyone else. the plus money on u2's will probably come out ahead vs the plus money on o2.5's..
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