ENGLAND Premier League Picks

SAT AUG 12

1. Bournemouth/West Ham OVER 2.5 @ 1.87/-115 (1u) Bet365

Out of the last 5 head to head meetings 4 have gone over the total. Last season Bournemouth games averaged 2.84 goals per game and west Ham 2.55. Add to that the new added time rules gives this total value.

2. Crystal Palace PK @ 1.70/-143 (1u) Pinnacle

I typically do not like paying this much juice but I really wanted to cover myself in case of a draw. This is a fade of Sheffield United who I have power ranked last in the EPL. They have a worse squad then last season in the Championship and are my pick to be relegated this season.

3. Aston Villa +0.5 @ 2.21/+121 (1u) Pinnacle

These sides have just met in the summer series with the outcome being a 3-3 draw. I see Newcastle taking a step back this season. Even with their unlimited bank roll they have not spent much and failed to sign anyone of significance this offseason. 

 DJ

@I-Got-5-On-It

@DiamondJack

DJ

GL DJ    

Agree with all of them,  and the Newcastle season outlook too. Just took them Under 67.5 points for final table

Let’s go, hope you cash

@DiamondJack

 No way that game should of stated under 

@Brooklyncapper

 win some lose some 

@B Lugosi

@G8RB8

 Even with that win I still think you are right. Having to play in Europe is going to stretch that team thin this season

@SPERRL

@docpj72

@archtown

@BIGDTITLE

After Round 1

1-2   -115

Do you like Nottingham Forest tomorrow Diamond? 

@monkeebooger

 yes but, waiting for lineups and hoping to get plus money on the ML

FRI AUG 18

4. Nott. Forest ML @ 1.98/-102 (1u) Pinnacle

Once again just like last week I'm fading the blades who I consider the poorest side in the premiership. Forest lost a close one 2-1 to Arsenal in London to start the season but this is a sneaky good squad especially at home where they beat the likes of Arsenal, Liverpool & Spurs last season.

SAT AUG 19

5. Wolves +0.5 @ 2.03/+103 (1u) Bet365

Wolves were robbed at Man United last week with that uncalled penalty. They looked good in the whole match. They have a great young manager (O'Neil) that Bournemouth should have kept. They are in good home form being unbeaten in past 7 games. I think they can nick a point or more in their home opener.

6. Manchester City ML @ 1.74/-135 (1u) Marathon

7. Manchester City/Newcastle OVER 2.5 @ 1.75/-133 (1u) Pinnacle

Here we have an overreaction in price as the public suffers from recency bias with that big Newcastle win & City having to go the distance in the Super Cup. Last season City hosted Bayern Munich, Inter Milan and Real Madrid all 3 had shorter odds then Newcastle. Is Newcastle as good as the best teams in Europe? NO... the odds opened at 1.42/-244 area and that is a fair price.

Numbers wise City's games averaged 3.34 goals per game & Newcastle 2.66.Four of the past 5 head to head games went over 2.5 goals. The goal line should be set at 3 here, so a tad of value there as well.

SUN AUG 20

8. Chelsea ML @ 2.16/+116 (1u) Pinnacle

I expect Chelsea to be much better this year after last year debacle. West ham on the other hand were almost relegated and their season was saved by that Conference League title. They lost their best player and I expect them to be in a relegation battle this season as well.

SAT AUG 26

9. Brentford ML @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Unibet

10. West Ham +1.25 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Bet365

DJ

@DiamondJack

 Hope you cash, D …

Nice win on West Hamilton, D…

DJ 

AUG 27

11. Liverpool +0.25 @ 1.96/-104 (1u) Bet365