Posted:
#1
Solid day yesterday in CL, Europa a whole different kind of beast. Oh so many games, I liked when they broke it out over two days, this is like doing your takes. But, so many games, opens the door for chaos and some /favorites to fall..
Going to spew some thoughts on every match, will post finalized investments as they get booked...
Villareal-Maccabi - Villareal is through as group leader, they are at home and Maccabi has yet to score a goal in EL group play. And yet, the number is only -143 for the home team. Seems short and while I get they might not be motivated, most teams never like to lose at home in any competition. I wouldn't touch this game, cutting room floor. PASS
Slavia Praha-Astana - Plain and simple, winner moves on, loser goes gome. Actually, a tie for Praha gets them through, but I don't see a draw in this once, the way Astana plays. Very tough home team, with only one loss in their last 32 league games, but this is Europa, and they're facing a team, who in their own league carries a +53 goal differential. Astana will attack and press and not let up until the final whistle. My book doesn't have this match up for some reason, but lean to Over and Astana in some form
Kyiv-Partizan - Both these teams are through (I think), but I imagine both sides would like taking the group. Friendlies aside, Partizan is on a 32 game road unbeaten streak. That's pretty nasty and yet Kyiv is a -160 at home. Take note this number relative to Villareal. With a likely diluted motivation, yet still some interest in winning the group, lean to Partizan and the over
0
Hot Forum Topics
