08-04-2017:
West Bromwich Albion +1.5: €5,44 @1.17
Looking at the ML I am wondering why West Brom are home dogs. Their squad is complete and Southampton is missing some players, especially the loss of Romeu is a big loss. West Brom is really strong at home winning 5 of their last 6 home games (they won 8 of their last 10 home games this season). Also Southamption have lost 4 of their last 6 away games (winning 2). Games between these teams tend to be close (1-2, 3-0,0-0,1-0,0-0,1-0). Today I see the same happening: a very close game.
Espanyol +0.5: 2.72 @1.30
Espanyol is really strong at home, they have won 5 of their last 6 home games and scored at least 2 times in 5 of their last 6 home matches. Also Espanyol's performance against Alavas is good: they have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 matches against Alavas in all competitions and won their last 3 matches against Alavas in all competitions. Also the last few games between these teams have been close (0-1,1-0, 0-2, 0-0, 1-0) and Espanyol has not lost one of these games
1. FC Köln +1.5: 2.72 @1.13
Derby time. Have to go against my favorite German team here and go for the home side. Köln have been really strong at home this year (having the 6th best home record, staying undefeated in 14 of their last 15 home matches) and Gladbach is not the best away team (13th in the league). It's a derby and these games are on themselves, so all these statistics may be meaningless. Looking at the statistics of the derby itself: the last 6 meetings have been very close games (1-2,1-0,1-0,1-0,0-0). Also Köln have a really good stats at home: only 10 conceded in 13 matches and 20 scored. Gladbach on the other hand has a weak record on the road: 10 scored, 22 conceded in 13 games.
Hoffenheim +1.5: 2.72 @1.11
Hoffenheim is on fire with a unbelievable result against Munich. But maybe the real question is: is that result really that unbelievable? About the match: Hoffenheim boosts the 3th best away record in the league and Hamburg has been nothing but mediocre at home. Hoffenheim only conceded 15 on the road and scoring 21, in 13 matches. Hamburg scored 15 at home and conceded 21 in 13 games. An interesting statistic is that Hamburg won 6 of their last 7 home games, but only did with a 1 goal margin. I see Hoffenheim getting a result here today
Rennes +1.5: 2.72 @1.14
Rennes have drawed 9 of their last 11 games. They boost a good record against Nancy and actually I am thinking that they are gonna draw again today.
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