All Forums | Soccer

My 0-0, draw system

...
Participants:
Search model icon
Views: 3162
Posts: 34
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #1
For those that didn't see it I made a very nice profit during the world cup. (+62 units and that's after starting 0-22) link here
I will do the same as during world cup. 
draw - 1unit $25
0-0-  1 unit $25
if everything goes according to plan i might raise my unit prices.
I strictly use 5dimes and they do not post a lot of 0-0 bets.
When i see it I will play it.  All plays that i will play will be posted here.  Let the fun begin

8/18
Chelsea vs Burnley

Record:
lost: $
won:$
TOTAL:

Chelsea vs Burnley
draw:+404 $25.00 To Win $101
0-0 +1085 $25.00 To Win $271.25

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 14212
Posted: #2
very interesting, saw u made a nice profit during the world cup.

I dont think you'll have the same success in EPL games as there's no knockout stages where teams often play ultra defensive and cautiously.

Quickly looked at the amount of 0-0's in last season's EPL, it was 7% of games and 9% the season before so on that basis you'll need a price of around 12-1 just to make a profit if we're looking at around 8%

BOL though
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #3
bollox-  Where did you find the data? 
Also, in WC i missed most of the games ( missed 2 days when on vacation) in this case i will be playing EPL, Champions League, La Liga, etc. 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Oct, 2009
Posts: 14212
Posted: #4
soccerstats.com, only goes back 2 years though

so are u going to pick and choose EPL games or just bet this blind ? I take it you didnt play any of the saturday or sunday games ?
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 240
Posted: #5
Good game so far.
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 362
Posted: #6
Good luck Luke,  Hope you stick to it like you did in WC. 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #7
8/19
Record: 0-2
lost: $50
won:$0
TOTAL: -2 units $50

Athletic Bilbao vs Napoli
draw:+262 $25.00 To Win $65.50
0-0 +1000 $25.00 To Win $250

Atletico Madrid vs Real Madrid
draw:+338 $25.00 To Win $84.50
0-0 +1325 $25.00 To Win $331.25
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by mr_bollox:

so are u going to pick and choose EPL games or just bet this blind ? I take it you didnt play any of the saturday or sunday games ?


I will choose games that I see 0-0 available on 5dimes (obviously there is only few games per week)
I will not go out of my way to bet every single game.  Will try to do as many as i can.  Will try this out for 50 games (2 bets per game) and see how it goes.

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2013
Posts: 2751
Posted: #9
this is good system i might try it aswell GOOD LUCK
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: May, 2013
Posts: 2751
Posted: #10
does someone know how can i check statistics for italian serie b i know they play draw alot maybe this system could be used to play Fulltime draw and Halftime 0-0 correct score
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2013
Posts: 213
Posted: #11
i can NOT imagine this system working in league play and having success anywhere near what it did in the WC....Mr. Bollox is right, there are no knockout stages (except later in the Champions League) and there is absolutely no reason for teams to play so defensively and cautiously as they did in the World Cup....good luck but I don't see this ending well at all....maybe 0-0 draws in the 1st half of Champions League or EPL games, but full time 0-0 scores will be few and far between
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #12
Quote Originally Posted by p6y1:

i can NOT imagine this system working in league play and having success anywhere near what it did in the WC....Mr. Bollox is right, there are no knockout stages (except later in the Champions League) and there is absolutely no reason for teams to play so defensively and cautiously as they did in the World Cup....good luck but I don't see this ending well at all....maybe 0-0 draws in the 1st half of Champions League or EPL games, but full time 0-0 scores will be few and far between


I respect your opinion but i heard the same thing during my world cup run.  I started 0-22  finished +64 units.
I understand what you mean but knockout stage but please understand that instead of +600-800 for 0-0 i will be getting +1300 and more.  Lines for knockout stage were very low.  As far as teams not having a need to play defensive style- i totally disagree.  When lower standing team is playing away game they are much in favor to leave the pitch with a point.

Please note that this is somewhat of an experiment  (that's the reason for small unit price $25)
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #13
Record: 2-4
lost: $100
won:$150
TOTAL: +2 units $50

8/20

FC Porto vs Lille
draw:+219 $25.00 To Win $54.75
0-0 +575 $25.00 To Win $143.75
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #14
Record: 2-6
lost: $150
won:$150
TOTAL: +0 units -even

8/25

Liverpool vs Manchester City 
draw:+276 $25.00 To Win $69
0-0 +1300 $25.00 To Win $325
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2013
Posts: 1671
Posted: #15
i think athletico draw has some good value
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #16
Record: 2-8
lost: $100
won:$0
TOTAL: -4 units $100

8/27
Athletic Bilbao vs Napoli
draw:+247 $25.00 To Win $61.75
0-0 +800 $25.00 To Win $200
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Jul, 2011
Posts: 1999
Posted: #17
Good luck but how exactly is this a "system"? You are basically just blindly betting all the 0-0 games 5dimes put up? Either way I'll be watching. GL
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Aug, 2014
Posts: 1
Posted: #18

I tried this in WC with a little success. It won't work in league play because the game are soooo much more wide open. This is not Japan and Greece here. The teams are stacked with dangerous players at the club level. WC a draw makes sense most of the time because the lack of familiarity and fluidity amongst the int. teams.

To WIN with this system in league play.......

You should throw in a few BIG!  DNB's on  the team's whom you think have a chance for an upset (the underdog's).

 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #19
Quote Originally Posted by JonnyTwoTime:

Good luck but how exactly is this a "system"? You are basically just blindly betting all the 0-0 games 5dimes put up? Either way I'll be watching. GL


I call it a "system" for the sake of just calling it.  It's something that was original and new (during world cup)  When i wrote about it pre world cup i was critisized that it would never work.  As mentioned before i started 0-22 and at the end was +62units.
I am only betting $25 per game.  its more of a "survey" to see how it will work out.  I staying away from choosing random games.  I try to pick my spots when capping the games.  When it "fits my system" i place the wager.
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #20
Record: 2-10
lost: $150
won:$0
TOTAL: -6 units $150

9/17
Manchester City vs Bayern Munchen
draw:+341 $25.00 To Win $85.25
0-0 +1325 $25.00 To Win $331.25

Chelsea vs Schalke
draw:+532 $25.00 To Win $133
0-0 +1360 $25.00 To Win $340
 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Dec, 2012
Posts: 1106
Posted: #21
I would just be more selective on games for your system.  It seems like a decent system, but why bet liverpool vs man city or any game with chelsea so far.  Barclays for 0-0 games (where your big money will be) I would go with teams like Hull City, Villa, Crystal Palace, Stoke and teams that play more defensively to win play each other....Liverpool, Man City, Everton and Chelsea this year (as opposed to last 2 years) are teams you wouldn't want to bet the 0-0 because they play so much more attacking style.  Go after  leagues in other countries that are very low-scoring and play more draws and you will have a better percentage...Just my take on it, good luck to you brother
 
Hall of Fame
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2004
Posts: 22557
Posted: #22
0-22 & u made a profit? I believe it cause Mr B says so.

Luke I just don't see it in this n EPL ..... but 

GOOOOOD LUCK!!
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by melosjumper7:

I would just be more selective on games for your system.  It seems like a decent system, but why bet liverpool vs man city or any game with chelsea so far.  Barclays for 0-0 games (where your big money will be) I would go with teams like Hull City, Villa, Crystal Palace, Stoke and teams that play more defensively to win play each other....Liverpool, Man City, Everton and Chelsea this year (as opposed to last 2 years) are teams you wouldn't want to bet the 0-0 because they play so much more attacking style.  Go after  leagues in other countries that are very low-scoring and play more draws and you will have a better percentage...Just my take on it, good luck to you brother


I understand you questioning why i bet games like Chelsea or other offensive powerhouses.  Simple. the odds are much grater than Hull vs CP (prob +500) than Chelsea (1000+)
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #24
Quote Originally Posted by billyloco:

0-22 & u made a profit? I believe it cause Mr B says so.

Luke I just don't see it in this n EPL ..... but 

GOOOOOD LUCK!!


not only a small profit +62 unit profit
 
 
All-Star
Participation Meter
Joined: Jan, 2003
Posts: 12654
Posted: #25
update:
Record: 3-13
lost: $225
won:$133
TOTAL: -3.68 units $92

Hit 1 draw today for +532 
Man City-Bayern i was seconds away from hitting it big on this game.  Extra time goal killed the 0-0
All Forums | Soccer
About Us
Contact Us
Careers
Our Team
Brand
Testimonials
Betting Guides
Sportsbook Reviews
Sports Betting News
Podcasts
Responsible Gaming
Sports Betting
US Betting Sites
Canada Betting Sites
Canada Casinos
Best Betting Apps
Contests
Streak Survivor
King of Covers
Ultimate Race
Office Pools
The Covers community has
618,670
lifetime members worldwide
Covers 25 Years Logo Established in 1995,
Covers is the world
leader in sports
betting information.
Site Map Help Privacy Terms of Service youtube logo facebook logo twitter logo instagram logo linkedin logo google news logo
Covers is verified safe by: Evalon Logo GPWA Logo GDPR Logo GeoTrust Logo Evalon Logo
Copyright © 1995 - 2024 CS Media Limited All Rights Reserved.

If you choose to make use of any information on this website including online sports betting services from any websites that may be featured on this website, we strongly recommend that you carefully check your local laws before doing so.It is your sole responsibility to understand your local laws and observe them strictly.Covers does not provide any advice or guidance as to the legality of online sports betting or other online gambling activities within your jurisdiction and you are responsible for complying with laws that are applicable to you in your relevant locality.Covers disclaims all liability associated with your use of this website and use of any information contained on it.As a condition of using this website, you agree to hold the owner of this website harmless from any claims arising from your use of any services on any third party website that may be featured by Covers.