Adding one more because i like the lineups put out. I am not a fan of the -145 juice on either of these games one bit. It really waters down the value and you have to win at such a high rate if you continue to bet that high of juice in the long run.
Southampton/Aston Villa O2.5 (-145). Bet $725 to win $500.
0
Adding one more because i like the lineups put out. I am not a fan of the -145 juice on either of these games one bit. It really waters down the value and you have to win at such a high rate if you continue to bet that high of juice in the long run.
Southampton/Aston Villa O2.5 (-145). Bet $725 to win $500.
Tough day today, but tomorrow and Sunday so many good games to choose from! Good luck this weekend! Let’s kill it this weekend! Good luck and god bless!
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@sfeedking
Tough day today, but tomorrow and Sunday so many good games to choose from! Good luck this weekend! Let’s kill it this weekend! Good luck and god bless!
Yeah it was a rough going. A day like that was going to happen eventually. And i even said i didnt like the -145s yet still bet them. I need to start following my own advice haha
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@Lewis1218
Yeah it was a rough going. A day like that was going to happen eventually. And i even said i didnt like the -145s yet still bet them. I need to start following my own advice haha
Will be changing tactics a bit and will no longer be betting lines over -140, it is just a losing game over time. Even 140 is high. The exception will be when I add parlay tips that include heavy juice which i will start to do soon. Best of luck everyone, lets get these losses back this weekend.
Overall 44-29. $16,495 (+$6,495)
Yesterdays results:
Mainz/Monchengladbach O2.5 (-145). Bet $725 to win $500.
El Paso/Oakland Roots O3.5 (+110). Bet $500 to win $550.
Southampton/Aston Villa O2.5 (-145). Bet $725 to win $500.
0
Will be changing tactics a bit and will no longer be betting lines over -140, it is just a losing game over time. Even 140 is high. The exception will be when I add parlay tips that include heavy juice which i will start to do soon. Best of luck everyone, lets get these losses back this weekend.
Overall 44-29. $16,495 (+$6,495)
Yesterdays results:
Mainz/Monchengladbach O2.5 (-145). Bet $725 to win $500.
El Paso/Oakland Roots O3.5 (+110). Bet $500 to win $550.
Southampton/Aston Villa O2.5 (-145). Bet $725 to win $500.
Most of these teams in the top 6 leagues have had 3 games in 7 days. Lots of tired legs and it shows. The rate of unders on these leagues today combined is a crazy number. I do not have anymore plays today unfortunately.
1
Most of these teams in the top 6 leagues have had 3 games in 7 days. Lots of tired legs and it shows. The rate of unders on these leagues today combined is a crazy number. I do not have anymore plays today unfortunately.
Last week was definitely rough. The heavy schedules dont bode well for overs and I did not factor that in as much as i should have. Live and learn. I do not see any value in betting the 1.5. I do not know what the juice is on those but id assume extremely high, meaning you have to win at an alarming rate to make profit in the long run. I dont like any lines over -140 and am even skeptical for -120 to -140. I enjoy the + odds market and will continue to try to find some value in those. Thanks for the post!
1
@Luhmi
Last week was definitely rough. The heavy schedules dont bode well for overs and I did not factor that in as much as i should have. Live and learn. I do not see any value in betting the 1.5. I do not know what the juice is on those but id assume extremely high, meaning you have to win at an alarming rate to make profit in the long run. I dont like any lines over -140 and am even skeptical for -120 to -140. I enjoy the + odds market and will continue to try to find some value in those. Thanks for the post!
Yes, it’s better not to bet than to bet on stupid games you don’t know much about, I’ve done that so much! That’s the reason why I almost always end losing at the end of the year! If I stuck to 2-3 plays that have good value I would actually win, but oh well, I consider this a hobby, and losing a few thousand per year is fine, I enjoy it. But the World Cup qualifiers in south and North America are good for me, I really like them, the spreads are more predictable, that’s what I usually play, I don’t play unders or overs much in those.
0
@sfeedking
Yes, it’s better not to bet than to bet on stupid games you don’t know much about, I’ve done that so much! That’s the reason why I almost always end losing at the end of the year! If I stuck to 2-3 plays that have good value I would actually win, but oh well, I consider this a hobby, and losing a few thousand per year is fine, I enjoy it. But the World Cup qualifiers in south and North America are good for me, I really like them, the spreads are more predictable, that’s what I usually play, I don’t play unders or overs much in those.
Lyon/Bayern (W) O3.5 (+125). Bet $500 to win $625.
Barcelona/Hoffenheim (W) O6.5 (+550). Bet $500 to win $2750.
Arsenal/HB Koege (W) O3.5 (-105). Bet $525 to win $500.
Goal is to be hitting 55%, even with the rough slide I am hitting that number. 14 games left to first 100, looking for at least 8 winners in those 14. I will have a pretty big slate tomorrow with the qualifiers. Good luck all, if you've been fading you have been killing it lol. If not, it will turn around, still making profit but really dug into that ROI these last 20 plays.
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Overall 47-39. $12,645 (+$2,645)
Todays results:
Lyon/Bayern (W) O3.5 (+125). Bet $500 to win $625.
Barcelona/Hoffenheim (W) O6.5 (+550). Bet $500 to win $2750.
Arsenal/HB Koege (W) O3.5 (-105). Bet $525 to win $500.
Goal is to be hitting 55%, even with the rough slide I am hitting that number. 14 games left to first 100, looking for at least 8 winners in those 14. I will have a pretty big slate tomorrow with the qualifiers. Good luck all, if you've been fading you have been killing it lol. If not, it will turn around, still making profit but really dug into that ROI these last 20 plays.
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