Sat: Derby wknd, 3 BIG ones. that thought process of backing clubs playing their final home match has been blown into the Alps this year. and as a fan, you simply could not ask for a better present from the schedule-makers for this Round. will be doing my part to help out community so getting this out of way early and enjoy the wknd. just tossing out thoughts discussed and some plays.
Genoa/Atalanta - Genoa clinched their stay winning in Bologna few days ago. Bergamo side can still get knocked out of that CL slot if they arent careful. hosed me twice with those plays in recent rounds, time to adjust. paying heed to Gasperini, hes kind of switched up his approach/formation to 'protect' that 2nd place/CL position - a win here clincehs tht CL slot as they hold the tiebreaker vs us; so that would render the season ender vs Milan of lesser importance. Atalanta have been very patient to build up their offense of late instead of that 'bombs away' attitude. also, Coppa Final midweek. to prove this, just HALF of their matches since the stretch run starting in April have gone over the 2.5, yet theyve had the lead at the whistle in 7 of the 8 games. so im banking on what have seen of recent with them, get the early lead to clinch the CL slot, and pull his big guns late for some rest for the Final. these two played out a scoreless clunker back in Jan, wee bit juiced but I dont mind, this is all about motivation. Atalanta to win first half @-133.
Spezia/Torino - biggest suprise on Wed wasnt the fact Toro lost to AC (still annoyed at self, should have listened to you all), but conceding FIVE in 2nd half? both still not in clear with Benevento making things interesting (fyi, Toro hosts them final round). they shouldnt be at these prices, not on the road, and definitely not after getting torn apart. my melon thinking, when you concede 5 in the 2nd half you arent going to open things up 3 days later, especially when ur at risk of dropping down still. if you have major cajones, taking a stab with Spezia is worth the prices. ill stick to the draw @+235, and take the customary O1.5 @-105 again (2nd half) - 21-14 for another nice season profit out of this, line has actually started going the 'wrong way', should have waited.
(Part II).
this was supposed to be for the Scudetto, guess Inter didnt get my "memo" back in January (laughing). *** EDIT *** for those whom think Inter has nothing to play for? ... well, then you dont know much about Serie A . Inter (and their fans) would love NOTHING MORE than to shove that pitchfork right up you-know-where on us. a win/draw by them pretty much sends us to UEL. and our roster will not be the same next year, thats for certain. but truth of the matter is we have BIGGER problemos than not getting that CL slot. 
& Conte looks more likely on his way out. they beat us in round I but we knocked them out of Coppa. toss out stats, theyre meaningless, as always, not touching the sides, but that O/U is too ****-ing low considering we 'MUST' win and we are not cleansheeting them and this match is a free-shot with zero pressure for Inter. so its worth a stab. O2.5 @-112
Spec--gotta love those derbys...taking Atalanta 1st half--that Roma/Lazio draw looks tempting. thanks again for the write-up!
Spec-great day today!
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