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Saturday German Super Cup

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Posted: #1
Looking ahead to tomorrow's big game in Germany, The German Super Cup.  I am a huge Bayern fan, but I have great respect for what Dortmund represent as opposition. I will only suggest a few key factors that i think will play a part in the end result, and let you decide the outcome. 
No Ribbery, No Neuer. 
Game played in Dortmund
Bayern are on a scary run the past 3 years
Never will you get Bayern @ 1.81 unless its against Barca in Spain
New Bayern coach with a knack for " possession" Football
Mueller, Mandzukic, Alaba, Schweinsteiger, Kroos, Robben,Thiago, Goetze.........vs Lewandowski, Reus and a few very good positional players.

Bayern    1.81

Still debating the over 2.5 @1.65

CFL Special for all the Canucks out there

Calgary   -6   ( Large )

Much discention among the Winnepg players. QB is benched. Should be a sound beating by Calgary

 
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Posted: #2
Both teams score
 
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Posted: #3
Quote Originally Posted by franz555:

Looking ahead to tomorrow's big game in Germany, The German Super Cup.  I am a huge Bayern fan, but I have great respect for what Dortmund represent as opposition. I will only suggest a few key factors that i think will play a part in the end result, and let you decide the outcome. 
No Ribbery, No Neuer. 
Game played in Dortmund
Bayern are on a scary run the past 3 years
Never will you get Bayern @ 1.81 unless its against Barca in Spain
New Bayern coach with a knack for " possession" Football
Mueller, Mandzukic, Alaba, Schweinsteiger, Kroos, Robben,Thiago, Goetze.........vs Lewandowski, Reus and a few very good positional players.

Bayern    1.81

Still debating the over 2.5 @1.65

CFL Special for all the Canucks out there

Calgary   -6   ( Large ).    

Much discention among the Winnepg players. QB is benched. Should be a sound beating by Calgary


Some days you wish would never end.  
 
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Posted: #4
Gotze is out
 
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Posted: #5
Great Analysis, I am on Bayern myself. Wish I would have read your CFL pick cause I would have definately tailed. BoL Today! 
 
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Posted: #6
Bayern at 2.00 odds @ pinny looks tasty. GL
 
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Posted: #7
Dortmund +0.5. Bayern always looks like crap and loses in Dortmund.
 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by I-love-to-win:

Dortmund +0.5. Bayern always looks like crap and loses in Dortmund.

REEEEAAAALLLY !!!

Obviously, you don't follow much soccer. just to update you :

Bayern won all 4 trophies available last year, and are the best team on the planet. There are 10's of thousands of teams who can only dream about " always looking like crap " . 
I encourage you to take Dortmund. 
 
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Posted: #9
bayern all day.. win or lose its the soccer pick of the day IMO... BOL

 
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Posted: #10
Ribery being out scares me more than anything....this guy is the most underrated player on the squad and just seeing that everyone on this forum and in the world is also in bayern is enough to scare me off this play

Late movement towards Dortmund...this has all the makings of a very very tight affair...I wish everyone well ill just watch and keep my money in my pocket until a match pops up I feel I have an edge on...this certainly does not look like one
 
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Posted: #11

Rivalry.

Bayern needs to show the world who's boss in Germany. 2-0 (??) Maybe Lewandowski nets one for the losers.

 
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Posted: #12
Got Bayern at -115 last night.  It's now -105


 
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Posted: #13
When you look to back a team like Man Utd in an EPL game, it will pay 1.10 to 1.50 at home. On the road, you may be able to get 1.70 or so if its at Spurs, Arsenal, Chelsea or Liverpool. 
Yes, Ribery is a great player who is being considered with Ronaldo and Messi as European Player of the year. But Bayern have a lot of very talented replacements to compliment the other 10 players on the field. ( Martinez, Kroos ans Shaquri to name 3 )

Its a great price at 1.81, and an even better price at 1.95.

 " look for a game I have an edge on " ??
Heck, how many teams do you know that had a 95% winning percentage ? 
If you can find one, please let all of us on Covers know, because those are opportunities we should jump at. 

 
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Posted: #14
 <--- GOOOOD LUCK FRANZ!!
 
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Posted: #15
Quote Originally Posted by franz555:


REEEEAAAALLLY !!!

Obviously, you don't follow much soccer. just to update you :

Bayern won all 4 trophies available last year, and are the best team on the planet. There are 10's of thousands of teams who can only dream about " always looking like crap " . 
I encourage you to take Dortmund. 


Bayern always plays like garbage when they play Dortmund in Dortmund.

2 Loses, 2 Draws and only 1 Win in the last 5 Games there.

Ribery out is a huge miss and there will be ~40 degree Celsius (Sahara like temperatures) in the stadium. The heat will kill the game.

 
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Posted: #16
Official Lineups:

Bayern:

Tom Starke (22)
Philipp Lahm (21)
Daniel van Buyten (5)
Jerome Boateng (17)
David Alaba (27)
Toni Kroos (39)
Thomas Müller (25)
Arjen Robben (10)
Xherdan Shaqiri (11)
Thiago (6)
Mario Mandzukic (9)


Dortmund:

Roman Weidenfeller (1)
Neven Subotic (4)
Mats Hummels (15)
Marcel Schmelzer (29)
Jakub Blaszczykowski (16)
Nuri Sahin (18)
Kevin Großkreutz (19)
Sven Bender (6)
Ilkay Gündogan (8)
Robert Lewandowski (9)
Marco Reus (11)
 
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Posted: #17
Quote Originally Posted by I-love-to-win:



Bayern always plays like garbage when they play Dortmund in Dortmund.

2 Loses, 2 Draws and only 1 Win in the last 5 Games there.

Ribery out is a huge miss and there will be ~40 degree Celsius (Sahara like temperatures) in the stadium. The heat will kill the game.


And this is why research is necessary when wagering.

They played only 1 game in Dortmund last year on May 4th. It ended in a 1 to 1 tie, with Bayern playing with only 10 men from the 64th min on. They also played without Ribbery, Schweinsteiger, Mandzukic and 20 minutes from Mueller. 
They played Dortmund 5 times last year and beat them out of The German Super Cup, The German Cup and The Final of Champions League. 

As for the temperature, both teams play in it, dont see your point? Usually the team that is in better condition, or has the deeper bench, will prevail in the end. 
 
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Posted: #18
No doubt about Bayern is the best team in the world. Dortmund did give them some trouble @ home begore. I think BTTS is the best bet here but I can't take my hds off the mouse when I see Bayern ML is +100. A few units to support my friend Franz here :)
 
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Posted: #19
Before * typo :)

 
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Posted: #20
Quote Originally Posted by happyshine:

No doubt about Bayern is the best team in the world. Dortmund did give them some trouble @ home begore. I think BTTS is the best bet here but I can't take my hds off the mouse when I see Bayern ML is +100. A few units to support my friend Franz here :)

Betting on Bayern has proven to be a very profitable thing to do. Why stop now. 
BOL and enjoy the game Happy 
 
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Posted: #21
Tailed you on Bayern franz...not over yet 
 
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Posted: #22
Oh it's over
 
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Posted: #23
Quote Originally Posted by DanTos8715:

Oh it's over

if I'm not mistaken, the game is 90 minutes, not 55
 
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Posted: #24
Draw at best. Lets be honest.
 
 
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Posted: #25

Tomorrow is another day. 
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