I wanted to give my thoughts on the Over/Unders, particularly the standard "Over/Under 2.5" propositions that are typically offered.
I look for the angle to play an under, either pre-match or live-wagering because of one alluring aspect:
The "value" of my wager increases with time, rather than decreases. Meaning, the 'time' is with my wager rather than working against it.
This of course is variable and a great wager in the 50th minute of the match can be blown out of the water in the 51st minute with a goal.
That being said, there are many opportune times to place a wager on the Under 2.5. A few key factors to consider when I will almost always play a wager of Under 2.5
A. 0-0 game after 30 minutes.
B. 1-1 game after 75 minutes.
C. 0-1 game after 45 minutes.
I consider "Riskier" wagers as follows:
A. 1-0 game after 40 minutes (home side, favored, could easily be 2-1 or maybe a 3-0.
B. Any 2-0 game after 60 minutes.
C. 1-1 game at HT
I personally have found that the above situations are likely to fall Over/Under 2.5 and have usually been successful in these scenarios. Certainly, there's the odd "get out of hand" game where there's a 0-1 scoreline, and then suddenly home team comes alive and it ends 3-1 or something, but that is usually the extraneous result.
I haven't posted much, but wanted to share and would welcome any insight on those bettors who enjoy playing overs.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Hello Everyone:
I wanted to give my thoughts on the Over/Unders, particularly the standard "Over/Under 2.5" propositions that are typically offered.
I look for the angle to play an under, either pre-match or live-wagering because of one alluring aspect:
The "value" of my wager increases with time, rather than decreases. Meaning, the 'time' is with my wager rather than working against it.
This of course is variable and a great wager in the 50th minute of the match can be blown out of the water in the 51st minute with a goal.
That being said, there are many opportune times to place a wager on the Under 2.5. A few key factors to consider when I will almost always play a wager of Under 2.5
A. 0-0 game after 30 minutes.
B. 1-1 game after 75 minutes.
C. 0-1 game after 45 minutes.
I consider "Riskier" wagers as follows:
A. 1-0 game after 40 minutes (home side, favored, could easily be 2-1 or maybe a 3-0.
B. Any 2-0 game after 60 minutes.
C. 1-1 game at HT
I personally have found that the above situations are likely to fall Over/Under 2.5 and have usually been successful in these scenarios. Certainly, there's the odd "get out of hand" game where there's a 0-1 scoreline, and then suddenly home team comes alive and it ends 3-1 or something, but that is usually the extraneous result.
I haven't posted much, but wanted to share and would welcome any insight on those bettors who enjoy playing overs.
I have found success with ingame wagering on games at about the 15 minute mark. If there are situations where it's 1-1 or 2-0 after the 15 minute mark, there is a very good chance of 4 goals or more in that game. Both teams have shown an ability to score, and that is very important. I like the 2-0 situation particularly if the home team is down 0-2.
Also, usually the oddsmakers will tell you what is expected to happen. I've seen ingame lines of 2.5o -150 at the 30 minute mark of a 0-0 game. Chances are it will be 1-0 at the half, and then 2 or three more in the 2h.
I tend to play more overs, just because I hate having a game that is a dead under spoiled by an own goal, or a penalty.
Just my two cents.
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Interesting points.
I have found success with ingame wagering on games at about the 15 minute mark. If there are situations where it's 1-1 or 2-0 after the 15 minute mark, there is a very good chance of 4 goals or more in that game. Both teams have shown an ability to score, and that is very important. I like the 2-0 situation particularly if the home team is down 0-2.
Also, usually the oddsmakers will tell you what is expected to happen. I've seen ingame lines of 2.5o -150 at the 30 minute mark of a 0-0 game. Chances are it will be 1-0 at the half, and then 2 or three more in the 2h.
I tend to play more overs, just because I hate having a game that is a dead under spoiled by an own goal, or a penalty.
I have found success with ingame wagering on games at about the 15 minute mark. If there are situations where it's 1-1 or 2-0 after the 15 minute mark, there is a very good chance of 4 goals or more in that game. Both teams have shown an ability to score, and that is very important. I like the 2-0 situation particularly if the home team is down 0-2.
Also, usually the oddsmakers will tell you what is expected to happen. I've seen ingame lines of 2.5o -150 at the 30 minute mark of a 0-0 game. Chances are it will be 1-0 at the half, and then 2 or three more in the 2h.
I tend to play more overs, just because I hate having a game that is a dead under spoiled by an own goal, or a penalty.
Just my two cents.
I agree with you, I think that live betting is the more positive approach.
If I would master Unders, then filter what I wouldn't play which doesn't fit the Under Criteria, then I'd by default begin to hit overs as well!
LOL
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Quote Originally Posted by xar86413:
Interesting points.
I have found success with ingame wagering on games at about the 15 minute mark. If there are situations where it's 1-1 or 2-0 after the 15 minute mark, there is a very good chance of 4 goals or more in that game. Both teams have shown an ability to score, and that is very important. I like the 2-0 situation particularly if the home team is down 0-2.
Also, usually the oddsmakers will tell you what is expected to happen. I've seen ingame lines of 2.5o -150 at the 30 minute mark of a 0-0 game. Chances are it will be 1-0 at the half, and then 2 or three more in the 2h.
I tend to play more overs, just because I hate having a game that is a dead under spoiled by an own goal, or a penalty.
Just my two cents.
I agree with you, I think that live betting is the more positive approach.
If I would master Unders, then filter what I wouldn't play which doesn't fit the Under Criteria, then I'd by default begin to hit overs as well!
So last week was a pretty good week with a lot of Unders occuring in games. I'm not sure if it was a fluke or luck, or combo of both of them.
Today's games are tough since there's not really a 'meaningful' match. La Liga, both teams have established table positions. EPL, probably an Over game, unless Tottenham score first.
Germany, it's actually a relegation battle, but everything is juiced to the over, so there's probably a reason. (Though I would think defenses might be important in this relegation battle match).
Italy, places are set, so no real reason for a defensive encounter in those two matches.
Anyone see anything that jumps out at you?
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So last week was a pretty good week with a lot of Unders occuring in games. I'm not sure if it was a fluke or luck, or combo of both of them.
Today's games are tough since there's not really a 'meaningful' match. La Liga, both teams have established table positions. EPL, probably an Over game, unless Tottenham score first.
Germany, it's actually a relegation battle, but everything is juiced to the over, so there's probably a reason. (Though I would think defenses might be important in this relegation battle match).
Italy, places are set, so no real reason for a defensive encounter in those two matches.
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