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#1
Been up studying the games gathering information and put together plays from Portugal as it is a league I follow. 7-1-3 overall in 2014 so far, hoping to continue the run here today. Feel free to fade, tail or stay away ^^
Penafiel - Trofense: Pick: Penafiel @ 1.75
The hosts can take over the league lead with a victory here as they look to continue their good stretch of unbeaten games in the league. After Moreirense lost yesterday, the first place is now up for grabs - an opportunity Penafiel would be eager to take. They are very good at the moment, clearly looking like a side that should be a promotion team - they offered a fight against Sporting Lisbon but came up short in the Cup, however against a Trofense side who ranks third from the bottom, chances for a victory are good for Penafiel who will be motivated to gain points in the top. Trofense will be without their regular keeper and their best midfielder. Penafiel only have 1 loss at home this season, so they are a tough opponent when they play home. Motivation and class should be enough to carry home 3 points!
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Aves - Atletico CP: Pick: Aves @ 1.72
Massive massive massive points for Aves here who would need all three in order to establish themselves as promotion candidates, and with 5 straight wins - they have built some momentum in the team and moreover, have played brilliant as of late. Aves are solid at home with their 7-2-4 record, and have won 3 straight home games. The same pattern should continue against Atletico CP who are at the very bottom, low finances and a squad that is not good enough for the league. Motivation is clearly on the home side who has the better roster overall, much more to play for, and to do it at home is just a bonus. Pretty generous odds are offered in my opinion and I will take them for Aves. Atletico CP are 1-3-9 on the road and should not be able to cause any damage to a high flying Aves side. 2 units here
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Santa Clara - Sporting B: Pick: Sporting B DnB @ 1.75
The pick is based on the situation of the home team. I will explain it further. Santa Clara are in big financial struggles, which has seen players leave the team, and they now have a very short squad to elaborate with. They also struggle to find new players in the current transfer window because they simply can not afford to pay regular salaries anymore, which makes them an unattractive destination for players to come to. Sporting B on the other side are an upper-table side, who could use some players from the real "Sporting" team who plays in the highest division, some good upcoming prospects are playing here and they may be the most talented side in the entire league. To my mind, they should have decent chances to overcome a struggling Santa Clara team consisting of unmotivated players who barely gets paid anymore, and a very short roster. Quality is simply on Sporting B here, who are a better organized team with more soccer in them. Santa Clara are the second worst home team in the league and they are in a critical situation which is why I bet against them. PS: I would consider a straight play on Sporting here too, but I will safe it up with DNB and raise my stake to 3 units
Penafiel - Trofense: Pick: Penafiel @ 1.75
The hosts can take over the league lead with a victory here as they look to continue their good stretch of unbeaten games in the league. After Moreirense lost yesterday, the first place is now up for grabs - an opportunity Penafiel would be eager to take. They are very good at the moment, clearly looking like a side that should be a promotion team - they offered a fight against Sporting Lisbon but came up short in the Cup, however against a Trofense side who ranks third from the bottom, chances for a victory are good for Penafiel who will be motivated to gain points in the top. Trofense will be without their regular keeper and their best midfielder. Penafiel only have 1 loss at home this season, so they are a tough opponent when they play home. Motivation and class should be enough to carry home 3 points!
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Aves - Atletico CP: Pick: Aves @ 1.72
Massive massive massive points for Aves here who would need all three in order to establish themselves as promotion candidates, and with 5 straight wins - they have built some momentum in the team and moreover, have played brilliant as of late. Aves are solid at home with their 7-2-4 record, and have won 3 straight home games. The same pattern should continue against Atletico CP who are at the very bottom, low finances and a squad that is not good enough for the league. Motivation is clearly on the home side who has the better roster overall, much more to play for, and to do it at home is just a bonus. Pretty generous odds are offered in my opinion and I will take them for Aves. Atletico CP are 1-3-9 on the road and should not be able to cause any damage to a high flying Aves side. 2 units here
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Santa Clara - Sporting B: Pick: Sporting B DnB @ 1.75
The pick is based on the situation of the home team. I will explain it further. Santa Clara are in big financial struggles, which has seen players leave the team, and they now have a very short squad to elaborate with. They also struggle to find new players in the current transfer window because they simply can not afford to pay regular salaries anymore, which makes them an unattractive destination for players to come to. Sporting B on the other side are an upper-table side, who could use some players from the real "Sporting" team who plays in the highest division, some good upcoming prospects are playing here and they may be the most talented side in the entire league. To my mind, they should have decent chances to overcome a struggling Santa Clara team consisting of unmotivated players who barely gets paid anymore, and a very short roster. Quality is simply on Sporting B here, who are a better organized team with more soccer in them. Santa Clara are the second worst home team in the league and they are in a critical situation which is why I bet against them. PS: I would consider a straight play on Sporting here too, but I will safe it up with DNB and raise my stake to 3 units
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