Posted:
#1
Sunday is here and that means more plays, or in fact this time - only one play for me as I prefer to go a little 'bigger' rather than spreading my units out on leagues I am not really into. I found one game that I really like and am ready to take it for such a good price considering the circumstances. This does not mean that it is a sure winner, because nothing is ever safe in the gambling business but I like the chances.
Maritimo - Belenenses: Pick: Maritimo @ 2.05 (3 u)
Three units goes to Maritimo with confidence and it feels like only an early red card should be able to make this bet a losing one (something that have been a trend of mine in previous losses..my pick often getting red cards haha) however, I have to go with these odds:
Maritimo have put their early season struggles behind them and are playing very well at home. They are from the island of Madeira in Portugal, which is considered the hardest place to go to behind the "big 3" (Porto, Benfica, Sporting). Madeira is quite patriotic and has an atmosphere that makes it tough for visitors - perhaps extra hard on poor road teams like Belenenses who are 0-3-7 on the road with only 3 road goals scored. The question is if they have what it takes to handle a rather confident Maritimo team at their ground, who now has two home victories in a row (both clean sheets). Important right back Joao Diogo will be back for Maritimo which is good news
For Belenenses, poor travelers as they are, they have not scored in 9 of their last 10 league games and their offense is non existent. Their head coach has left the team due to health issues and they show no game plan, no structure and it is basically just a team playing for fun it looks like. They lack a leader and some discipline. Their two defensive midfielders Jonsson and Silva are both out. Other than that they have a full team. A couple of weeks ago, they played on the Madeira island against Nacional and lost 2-0. This will be a similar match and result, perhaps even worse. I will take my chances and these odds are too good not to take.
Another unit goes to the same game, but Maritimo with the -1 Asian handicap @ 3.00 (1 u)
Feels good, I do not see Belenenses stealing anything here unless Maritimo gets a red card or concedes a penalty early and giveaway a free goal. Go Maritimo and make this weekend a good one
Best of luck to all of you!
Maritimo - Belenenses: Pick: Maritimo @ 2.05 (3 u)
Three units goes to Maritimo with confidence and it feels like only an early red card should be able to make this bet a losing one (something that have been a trend of mine in previous losses..my pick often getting red cards haha) however, I have to go with these odds:
Maritimo have put their early season struggles behind them and are playing very well at home. They are from the island of Madeira in Portugal, which is considered the hardest place to go to behind the "big 3" (Porto, Benfica, Sporting). Madeira is quite patriotic and has an atmosphere that makes it tough for visitors - perhaps extra hard on poor road teams like Belenenses who are 0-3-7 on the road with only 3 road goals scored. The question is if they have what it takes to handle a rather confident Maritimo team at their ground, who now has two home victories in a row (both clean sheets). Important right back Joao Diogo will be back for Maritimo which is good news
For Belenenses, poor travelers as they are, they have not scored in 9 of their last 10 league games and their offense is non existent. Their head coach has left the team due to health issues and they show no game plan, no structure and it is basically just a team playing for fun it looks like. They lack a leader and some discipline. Their two defensive midfielders Jonsson and Silva are both out. Other than that they have a full team. A couple of weeks ago, they played on the Madeira island against Nacional and lost 2-0. This will be a similar match and result, perhaps even worse. I will take my chances and these odds are too good not to take.
Another unit goes to the same game, but Maritimo with the -1 Asian handicap @ 3.00 (1 u)
Feels good, I do not see Belenenses stealing anything here unless Maritimo gets a red card or concedes a penalty early and giveaway a free goal. Go Maritimo and make this weekend a good one
Best of luck to all of you!
0
+3.15 units
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