Thursday, January 19 (Messi vs Ronaldo + EPL Picks)

2023 Soccer Betting: 2-1 ATS (+$2520)

Thursday, January 19

Friendly

Paris Saint Germain -1.5 -138 ($1380 to win $1000)

For the last time maybe ever we will get to see Lionel Messi versus Cristinano Ronaldo and this should be some can't miss TV. Some of the VIP tickets for this event being played in Saudi Arabia are going for gazillions of dollars and I don't think either side will disappoint. The Al-Nassr/Al-Hilal All-Stars have players beyond Ronaldo but how organized are they going to be and what awful timing to be playing PSG. I won't be going big on this one just because of the unknowns but I do know that Messi, Mbappe and Neymar are likely to start and likely to get significant playing time in this match. You have to understand that PSG are coming off an embarrassing 1-0 loss to Rennes in Ligue 1 action and as a unit they are looking for a bounce back even if in an exhibition. CR7 hasn't even touched the pitch with his new squad let alone a mixed bag of random players. I think this will be a fun one but I think PSG scores a ton of goals and win this by 2+.

English Premier League

Tottenham Hotspur +1.5 -110 ($2200 to win $2000)

Alright so I lost my Tottenham wager on the weekend backing them against Arsenal and as bad as they looked in that match I thought I deserved a better result. The team is loaded with talent but not doing much under Conte these days. So why back them here? The thing for me here is the pressure is on Manchester City and not on Tottenham. You will find pundits and handicappers everywhere with score lines of 4-0 Man City and 3-0 Man City and maybe even 3-1 Man City but why? Both squads are struggling right now and for the first time in forever City are coming off two straight losses (Southampton and Manchester United) and are facing a Tottenham side that for whatever reason has given them tons of issues over the last few season. The Spurs beat Man City 3-2 at the Etihad last February, they beat them at home 1-0 in August of last season and they have won 3 of their last 5 five against Pep. In their last 6 visits to the Etihad the Spurs have lost just once by 2+ goals. I think this game is a lot closer than many anticipate because Tottenham lost 2-0 to Arsenal on the weekend but Manchester City aren't playing any better and could be vulnerable again.

what a horrible beat on PSG, right side but they sosnt care

you cant trust that kind of game.. a friendly in saudi arabia.. 11 times out of 10, in a real match psg wins that game to nil by 4-5 goals. They made ronaldo look like he was in CL in real madrid..

the fact that its a friendly.. in saudi land.. some under the table money to make the game seem competitive to promote their league is not out of the question.. 

That was a horrible beat. I played PSG game over 4.5 goals and team total over 1.5 goals (juiced but in a parlay) before match started and then PSG +115 live when tied up 1-1. Any idea what the PSG ML was before the match started? I wasn't planning on picking a side only the totals and frankly forgot, if I even looked.

Hope that Tottenham +1.5 comes through or you. The line has moved Tottenhams way all day long before the start of the match.

Probably fair. 

Where were you able to find lines for the PSG game? Downloaded DraftKings, Caesars, FanDuel, Barstool and couldn't find it anywhere...

@Striker14

It was available for a short bit on Casers. Right before the start of the match. Then off and on during the 1H of the match there would be a live line and they would quickly take it down. Then the entire 2H no line available, presumably because the books knew people would hammer the over.