WED Apr 23rd Picks

Greetings everyone...I had a great day Tuesday looking for more of the same today. I may add a Champions League game bet later, but for now;

1. Lyon ML @ 2.75/+175 (FRA) 2 Units

A play based on home & road form. In the past 9 home games Toulouse have only 1 win in the same span Lyon have only lost 1 away game. Since there is no real motivation for Toulouse and Lyon can still catch St Etienne for 4th spot. I'm surprised at the great odds available in this match.

2. Evian +1.75 @ 2.14/+114 (FRA) 2 Units

Thinking PSG will have a Coupe de la Ligue "Hangover". The last time these sides met Evian won 2-0. Motta is suspended and Ibra is injured. Evian is battling for survival in 16th spot where as PSG have all but won the League. I'm thinking the visitors keep this tight having more rest than PSG who won the cup on the weekend. Evian comes into the game having won 2 and tied 2 of its past 4 games.

APR

58-75-1    -14.00 Units

YTD

202-232-5  +43.60 Units

GL

3. Real Madrid to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (UEFA CL) 1 Unit

4. Real Madrid CORRECT SCORE 2-2 @ 12.00/+1100 (UEFA CL) 1 Unit

Usually when a fav is getting +150 there is a high chance of a Draw possibility, especially in the first leg of a knockout competition. Here the odds should have been +210/+310 for a DRAW thus value. We have the best offense in Spain & the best offense in Germany. Munich have scored in 14 straight CL away games totalling 26 thats 1.85 gpg. Madrid have scored in 17 straight home CL games scoring 55 thats 3.23 gpg. Madrid matches average 3.82 goals per game in the league, Bayern averages 3.35. Bayern have not recorded a 2-2 Draw in over 70 straight Champions League games in the same stretch Real have recorded that score 6 times. The books will clean up with this result. I have the 2-2 scoreline propability at 23% and the DRAW @ 43% worth to drop a unit on each.

I was already taking Lyon and I'm going to tail the Real Madrid to DRAW @ 3.50/+250 (UEFA CL)

GL everyone!!!