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    All Forums | Streak Survivor

    Serious Streak Survivor Strategies

    «First Previous 444546 ... 585586587 Next Last»
    smoothd20
    Quad_17
    bamabilly
    AVESON
    getrdonrite7
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    smoothd20
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 12:20 PM ET #1076

    BAMABILLY-Thats one scary Avatar you have on there! Good luck everybody with their picks! Go Lakers!!!
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    BAMABILLY-Thats one scary Avatar you have on there! Good luck everybody with their picks! Go Lakers!!!
     
    Quad_17
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 5:17 PM ET #1077

    I have been playing survivor for almost 2 1/2 years and all that I have is a .500 record.
    Thank you Tigers (last night) and Royals (today) for showing up. This game has proven to be very easy to lose and very hard to win.



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    I have been playing survivor for almost 2 1/2 years and all that I have is a .500 record.
    Thank you Tigers (last night) and Royals (today) for showing up. This game has proven to be very easy to lose and very hard to win.



     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 5:25 PM ET #1078

    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    BAMABILLY-Thats one scary Avatar you have on there! Good luck everybody with their picks! Go Lakers!!!
    Your powers of observation continue to serve you well, SmoothD. It is not, however, my intent to frighten. Go Lakers!
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    Quote Originally Posted by smoothd20:

    BAMABILLY-Thats one scary Avatar you have on there! Good luck everybody with their picks! Go Lakers!!!
    Your powers of observation continue to serve you well, SmoothD. It is not, however, my intent to frighten. Go Lakers!
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 5:35 PM ET #1079

    Has anyone ever noticed that when someone (whether It's a pro handi capper or an amateur one like myself) says a pick is a five star or can't miss play, then that play almost always loses? Strange thing, that.  ROYALS -116 = LOSS.  
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    Has anyone ever noticed that when someone (whether It's a pro handi capper or an amateur one like myself) says a pick is a five star or can't miss play, then that play almost always loses? Strange thing, that.  ROYALS -116 = LOSS.  
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 5:38 PM ET #1080

    Quote Originally Posted by Quad_17:

    I have been playing survivor for almost 2 1/2 years and all that I have is a .500 record.
    Thank you Tigers (last night) and Royals (today) for showing up. This game has proven to be very easy to lose and very hard to win.



      Very easy to lose indeed, my friend.   
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    Quote Originally Posted by Quad_17:

    I have been playing survivor for almost 2 1/2 years and all that I have is a .500 record.
    Thank you Tigers (last night) and Royals (today) for showing up. This game has proven to be very easy to lose and very hard to win.



      Very easy to lose indeed, my friend.   
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 6:32 PM ET #1081

    I agree it's very easy to lose. The key I'm beginning to believe is to go beyond the numbers. We have to look at other factors like BamaBilly said before. Weather, travel all these things contribute to wins and loses. 
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    I agree it's very easy to lose. The key I'm beginning to believe is to go beyond the numbers. We have to look at other factors like BamaBilly said before. Weather, travel all these things contribute to wins and loses. 
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 6:57 PM ET #1082

     Well said, Smooth. Here is a link to some excellent articles detailing strategies for late regular season NBA capping (irrelevant now I know, but good stuff anyway) as well as Playoff NBA capping. https://www.toplestotals.com/   There is also a great article there about early season MLB capping and perhaps the most useful article is the one they have about line movements. 
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     Well said, Smooth. Here is a link to some excellent articles detailing strategies for late regular season NBA capping (irrelevant now I know, but good stuff anyway) as well as Playoff NBA capping. https://www.toplestotals.com/   There is also a great article there about early season MLB capping and perhaps the most useful article is the one they have about line movements. 
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 7:22 PM ET #1083

    Here is another epiphany! Wow, two in one day! The idea is to look at the MLB standings (here is the best place to do that, IMO https://espn.go.com/mlb/standings ). I know that this is pretty much just common sense, but what we want to do is look at the teams with nice winning streaks and those with bad losing streaks and try to find the best matchup  of hot versus cold teams. This may make us pick a team with a worse record that is playing better now, but that is why we find the value. They also list teams records over the last 10 games. The other things on their standings page that I find valuable are the listings of RS (runs scored), RA (runs against), and differential. This is excellent for total picking as well as finding out who is blowing out opponents and who is just barely squeaking out wins. We will continue, of course, to use all of our normal strategies involving thing like. pitching matchups. Also, we cannot underestimate the power of playing at home. Common stuff, I know, but I hope this helps.   
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    Here is another epiphany! Wow, two in one day! The idea is to look at the MLB standings (here is the best place to do that, IMO https://espn.go.com/mlb/standings ). I know that this is pretty much just common sense, but what we want to do is look at the teams with nice winning streaks and those with bad losing streaks and try to find the best matchup  of hot versus cold teams. This may make us pick a team with a worse record that is playing better now, but that is why we find the value. They also list teams records over the last 10 games. The other things on their standings page that I find valuable are the listings of RS (runs scored), RA (runs against), and differential. This is excellent for total picking as well as finding out who is blowing out opponents and who is just barely squeaking out wins. We will continue, of course, to use all of our normal strategies involving thing like. pitching matchups. Also, we cannot underestimate the power of playing at home. Common stuff, I know, but I hope this helps.   
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 7:27 PM ET #1084

    I just wanted to add that Covers MLB Standings page has some excellent information that ESPN does not. We should use both to get the BIG picture. https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/standings/2011/league/standings.html
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    I just wanted to add that Covers MLB Standings page has some excellent information that ESPN does not. We should use both to get the BIG picture. https://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pageLoader.aspx?page=/data/mlb/standings/2011/league/standings.html
     
    AVESON
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:43 PM ET #1085

    THIS IS SO GAY
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    THIS IS SO GAY
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 17, 2011 - 11:57 PM ET #1086

    Congratulations on your first post, Aveson.
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    Congratulations on your first post, Aveson.
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 4:10 AM ET #1087

    Quote Originally Posted by AVESON:

    THIS IS SO GAY

    Thanks for stopping by and regardless of your sexual preference you're welcome to come back. We don't mind that you're gay!
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    Quote Originally Posted by AVESON:

    THIS IS SO GAY

    Thanks for stopping by and regardless of your sexual preference you're welcome to come back. We don't mind that you're gay!
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 4:13 AM ET #1088

    Rajerbear wins the Ultimate Race! With the Vancouver Canucks victory over the Chicago Blackhawks Rajerbear has clinched the top prize of $5000! Congratulations to Rajerbear! He needs to join the 25 Dime Club.
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    Rajerbear wins the Ultimate Race! With the Vancouver Canucks victory over the Chicago Blackhawks Rajerbear has clinched the top prize of $5000! Congratulations to Rajerbear! He needs to join the 25 Dime Club.
     
    getrdonrite7
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 5:39 AM ET #1089

    QUOTE Originally Posted by AVESON:

    THIS IS SO GAY

    Thanks for stopping by and regardless of your sexual preference you're welcome to come back. We don't mind that you're gay!

      keep coming back
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    QUOTE Originally Posted by AVESON:

    THIS IS SO GAY

    Thanks for stopping by and regardless of your sexual preference you're welcome to come back. We don't mind that you're gay!

      keep coming back
     
    getrdonrite7
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 5:40 AM ET #1090

    Congrats Rajerbear 
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    Congrats Rajerbear 
     
    getrdonrite7
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 5:55 AM ET #1091

    im still peeved by the orioles crappy effort that vaporize my W4 other day but I think despite the rain delay Gutherie was gonna choke anyway  dangerous Tribe caught me off guard. Im gonna move on as usual. I like that info you put out there bamabilly which many of us over look. I have a couple leans from a glance: Toronto OVER, 76ers +9,  Red Wings -105
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    im still peeved by the orioles crappy effort that vaporize my W4 other day but I think despite the rain delay Gutherie was gonna choke anyway  dangerous Tribe caught me off guard. Im gonna move on as usual. I like that info you put out there bamabilly which many of us over look. I have a couple leans from a glance: Toronto OVER, 76ers +9,  Red Wings -105
     
    Quad_17
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 11:31 AM ET #1092

    Today is the first day that we can pick form the NHL playoffs and I'm riding with the momentum of the Canadians. Montreal +101
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    Today is the first day that we can pick form the NHL playoffs and I'm riding with the momentum of the Canadians. Montreal +101
     
    JTmonayyy
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 1:16 PM ET #1093

    Quote Originally Posted by Quad_17:

    Today is the first day that we can pick form the NHL playoffs and I'm riding with the momentum of the Canadians. Montreal +101

     These were available the past few days as well...
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    Quote Originally Posted by Quad_17:

    Today is the first day that we can pick form the NHL playoffs and I'm riding with the momentum of the Canadians. Montreal +101

     These were available the past few days as well...
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 1:44 PM ET #1094

    Quote Originally Posted by JTmonayyy:


     These were available the past few days as well...
    Yes they have been available. I think sometimes you guys forget they're rotating picks constantly. For Hockey I notice that you have to wait till morning before they post. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by JTmonayyy:


     These were available the past few days as well...
    Yes they have been available. I think sometimes you guys forget they're rotating picks constantly. For Hockey I notice that you have to wait till morning before they post. 
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 1:53 PM ET #1095

    Speaking of NHL. I have an angle that I have been playing for years. I don't know if I would call it fool proof but it's probably  around 80% winner. Its only for the Playoffs and it involves the classic teams and its only when they play each other in the Playoffs. Montreal, Boston, Detroit, Chicago, Toronto (when they make it) NY Rangers and the Flyers. Now I know the Flyers aren't part of the original 6 but I throw them in anyway. The reason I didn't bring this up before because I didn't trust Montreal. I think they have played subpar this year and I remember when Boston blew them out 7-0 earlier. But the play is simple. When these teams face each other in the Playoffs bet the Under. It's not a guarantee but come Playoff time you will win 80% of these matchups. This year both games have come Under the number. So with that said Boston-Montreal Under tonight! Bank it!
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    Speaking of NHL. I have an angle that I have been playing for years. I don't know if I would call it fool proof but it's probably  around 80% winner. Its only for the Playoffs and it involves the classic teams and its only when they play each other in the Playoffs. Montreal, Boston, Detroit, Chicago, Toronto (when they make it) NY Rangers and the Flyers. Now I know the Flyers aren't part of the original 6 but I throw them in anyway. The reason I didn't bring this up before because I didn't trust Montreal. I think they have played subpar this year and I remember when Boston blew them out 7-0 earlier. But the play is simple. When these teams face each other in the Playoffs bet the Under. It's not a guarantee but come Playoff time you will win 80% of these matchups. This year both games have come Under the number. So with that said Boston-Montreal Under tonight! Bank it!
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 2:05 PM ET #1096

    I spoke the other day about the annual tradition of top NHL teams being thrown out in the 1st round by lower seeded teams. As we enter Game 3's. Three strong candidates have emerged for this dubious distinction. Candidate #1 Boston. Montreal basically has owned Boston for the past 2 years winning 6 out of 8 regular season games. Throw out that 7-0 shellacking that Boston gave them and it's been all Montreal for the most part.  Montreal now has a commanding 2-0 lead and they head home to finish the job. Break out the brooms Boston is in trouble. Candidate #2 My very own San Jose Sharks. It's an annual tradition for the Sharks to have all the talent in the world only to get trounced in the 1st or 2nd Round. The way they look Saturday against the Kings it looks like this might be a classic 1st round exit. I hope I'm wrong but that was some uninspired Hockey on Saturday. Candidate #3 The Philadelphia Flyers. Now this is a surprise but if you know Buffalo, they have a history of wiping out higher seeds in the Playoffs. Philadelphia better get its act together or they could be watching the Playoffs from the Bahamas ( not a bad idea actually). So in conclusion keep these candidates in mind if you're betting or risking your streaks on Hockey. Stay thirsty my friends!
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    I spoke the other day about the annual tradition of top NHL teams being thrown out in the 1st round by lower seeded teams. As we enter Game 3's. Three strong candidates have emerged for this dubious distinction. Candidate #1 Boston. Montreal basically has owned Boston for the past 2 years winning 6 out of 8 regular season games. Throw out that 7-0 shellacking that Boston gave them and it's been all Montreal for the most part.  Montreal now has a commanding 2-0 lead and they head home to finish the job. Break out the brooms Boston is in trouble. Candidate #2 My very own San Jose Sharks. It's an annual tradition for the Sharks to have all the talent in the world only to get trounced in the 1st or 2nd Round. The way they look Saturday against the Kings it looks like this might be a classic 1st round exit. I hope I'm wrong but that was some uninspired Hockey on Saturday. Candidate #3 The Philadelphia Flyers. Now this is a surprise but if you know Buffalo, they have a history of wiping out higher seeds in the Playoffs. Philadelphia better get its act together or they could be watching the Playoffs from the Bahamas ( not a bad idea actually). So in conclusion keep these candidates in mind if you're betting or risking your streaks on Hockey. Stay thirsty my friends!
     
    getrdonrite7
    getrdonrite7
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 3:00 PM ET #1097

    Miss a that early golden pick this morning the OVER 9.5 in Boston.   but DONT like playing totals. Aite I like Philly +9.5 tonite. Think they got confidence more ways than 1 when they feel they should have stole that Game 1. I also like the Canadiens +100 tonite.
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    Miss a that early golden pick this morning the OVER 9.5 in Boston.   but DONT like playing totals. Aite I like Philly +9.5 tonite. Think they got confidence more ways than 1 when they feel they should have stole that Game 1. I also like the Canadiens +100 tonite.
     
    bamabilly
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 6:53 PM ET #1098

    Great picks and info, Getrdonrite, Quad, and Smoothd! I like 'em all. Thanks for the good hockey total info, smooth. I am late to the party, but I am going with the Chicago Bulls -11.5 tonight. It is a total fanatic pick since the Bulls are my favorite team, but there are some good reasons to support it. I believe that that Chicago stood up to Indiana's best haymaker in game 1 and still won by  five. The Pacers certainly cannot be expected to shoot at a 46.5% clip from the field  and make 10 of 18 threes again. The Bulls will adjust and return to their strong defensive form. The Bulls beat the Pacers by 21 and 1Chicago is 25-11 ATS off a home win this season, and 23-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.9 points in their two previous home games against the Pacers. Even with the cover in game 1, the Pacers are just 13-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Finally, The Pacers defense has no answer for Derek Rose. He will score at will and look for the rest of the Bulls players to step up their shooting, as well. DA BULLS -11.5    also I am taking Montreal on SFTC
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    Great picks and info, Getrdonrite, Quad, and Smoothd! I like 'em all. Thanks for the good hockey total info, smooth. I am late to the party, but I am going with the Chicago Bulls -11.5 tonight. It is a total fanatic pick since the Bulls are my favorite team, but there are some good reasons to support it. I believe that that Chicago stood up to Indiana's best haymaker in game 1 and still won by  five. The Pacers certainly cannot be expected to shoot at a 46.5% clip from the field  and make 10 of 18 threes again. The Bulls will adjust and return to their strong defensive form. The Bulls beat the Pacers by 21 and 1Chicago is 25-11 ATS off a home win this season, and 23-9 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread this season.9 points in their two previous home games against the Pacers. Even with the cover in game 1, the Pacers are just 13-24 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points over the last 2 seasons. Finally, The Pacers defense has no answer for Derek Rose. He will score at will and look for the rest of the Bulls players to step up their shooting, as well. DA BULLS -11.5    also I am taking Montreal on SFTC
     
    bamabilly
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 7:00 PM ET #1099

    That was supposed to read The Bulls beat the Pacers by 21 and by 19 in their two previous home games against them. Good luck, everybody. 
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    That was supposed to read The Bulls beat the Pacers by 21 and by 19 in their two previous home games against them. Good luck, everybody. 
     
     
    smoothd20
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    Posted: Apr. 18, 2011 - 8:27 PM ET #1100

    I don't like the fact that Boston is up 2-0 on the road here. I would feel more comfortable if it 1-1 then both teams settle in for a defensive struggle. Now with Montreal down 2-0. They will be forced to open up and score which will lead them more vulnerable to Boston's counterattack. I am afraid that unless Montreal just shuts down offensively we might be lucky to get a push out of this. 
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    I don't like the fact that Boston is up 2-0 on the road here. I would feel more comfortable if it 1-1 then both teams settle in for a defensive struggle. Now with Montreal down 2-0. They will be forced to open up and score which will lead them more vulnerable to Boston's counterattack. I am afraid that unless Montreal just shuts down offensively we might be lucky to get a push out of this. 
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