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Who's FADING F-Dog?

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Views: 826
Posts: 19
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2007
Posts: 242
Posted: #1
Let's make a poll here.
 
Captain
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Joined: Feb, 2007
Posts: 9270
Posted: #2
no one
 
Prospect
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Posts: 242
Posted: #3
Wow, is that pick THAT GOOD?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Mar, 2007
Posts: 41
Posted: #4
I'll fade him. Sorry dude but baseball over/under would'nt have been my pick. Do hope Freightdog pulls through u just never know though? I've studied his selection and i think this game will be 6-4 Baltimore. Hope i'm wrong dude.||quiet.gif' border=0>
 
Veteran
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Posts: 2844
Posted: #5
Whats funny is a guy I follow made the opposite pick! cotts16 is 40-15 or 73% his last 55 picks (all hes made) and hes VERY successful, obviously. You could argue freightdog is even more successful, which is probably true. But cotts16 bet the over and i can definitely see it going over, but freights gotten 20 in a row, so who are ANY of us to doubt him!!!??? Oaklands avg game total is 6.78 and Baltimores is 8.62. The avg between the two is 7.7 runs. Thats not quite 1 run less than the line. Oaklands starting pitcher has pitched 0 runs vs Angels, 4 runs vs Yanks and 2 runs vs Angels. Baltimores starting pitcher has pitched the following number of runs per team: Tampa 4, Kansas City 1, NYY 4, Minnesota 7. Number of total runs in Oaklands last 10 games and who it was against: Texas 7, 7, 20 LAA 3, 5, NYY 9, 7, 9 CHW 9, 3 4 of 10 exceeded 8.5 runs 2 of 10 went Over Baltimores last 10: TOR 10, 7, 9 TB 10, 10, 16 KC 10, 9, 3 Det 5 7 of 10 exceeded 8.5 runs 6 of 10 went Over Oakland ranked 3rd (3.06 runs) in Defense, 24th (3.72 runs)in Offense Baltimore ranked 11th (3.79 runs)in Defense, 8th (4.83 runs)in Offense Looks like Oakland, w/ the additional help of their pitcher pushing down on the avg, could hold Baltimore to 4 runs. Oakland looks like theyll have about 3 runs. So the total is 7. He's got a 1 run cushion. ||cool.gif' border=0> Of course, I dont know what Im talking about, but thats my crude, VERY crude, assessment. You guys know about any injuries, etc?
 
Veteran
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Posted: #6
personally, i think his chances are like this. Toss a coin 8 times. If you can get heads 3 or more times, you win!
 
Prospect
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Posts: 53
Posted: #7
I am fading it, but I have a few more wins to go to get into the money. Go scoring.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 242
Posted: #8
It has dropped to Under 8 now.
 
Prospect
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Posts: 15
Posted: #9
LISTEN !!!!!!!! DONT BET THIS I THINK THESE GUYS ALWAYS LOSE THEIR LAST PICK BECAUSE THEYRE MAKING THE BAD PICK ON SURVIVOR AND BETTING CASH ON THE OTHER SIDE************ &&&&&&&& read READDDDDDDDDD THIS ||win.gif' border=0>
 
Veteran
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Posted: #10
why would they risk toonnnnssss of money when they can get it free at wagerline???? And why cant they bet on their survivor pick???
 
Veteran
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Posted: #11
i initially thought it was an over w/ baltimore on fire, but the stats kinda point to the under. But, i know streaks are also good things to consider.
 
Veteran
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Posted: #12
so bet 50k on the over and if you win you win 50k. if you lose you win 100k and you pay off the 50k loss, right? or am i backward?
 
Prospect
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Joined: Nov, 2003
Posts: 2
Posted: #13
its a smart bet with the over being +110, he will hedge and make some nice cash either way!
 
Prospect
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Posted: #14
and i dont think he will bet 50K, i would bet around 30 or 40 since he will have to pay taxes on the 100K.
 
Prospect
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Posted: #15
Good run F-dog. I know you're still 50k richer today :)
 
Veteran
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Posted: #16
||moneybag.gif' border=0> nice hedge||win.gif' border=0>
 
Rookie
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Joined: Feb, 2006
Posts: 635
Posted: #17
why does everyone assume this guy has 30-50 k just sitting around the house....thats a shit load of money, i seriously doubt he made 50 k tonight...just my opinion
 
Prospect
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Posted: #18
Do you guys need to show your books 50k in order to place 50k bet?
 
 
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Posts: 1268
Posted: #19
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