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2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

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Captain
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Posted: #726
dam great day guys, I ended up bouncing back a little bit at least I wasnt down at the end of the day.  If i ddint make those ML bets I would of done well but o well, at least Im not down and no red flags with the bookie...ill be back next week, just sucks I cant bet the 1H like you guys...
 
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Posted: #727

Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

Played only 1H. Was 12-3. Also hit a 7- team parlay for almost $9000 using Fav/over 1H in TCU, W Virg, Boise, and just the over in the Oregon 1H. Just missed an 8 team parlay when Nevada didn't cover the first half. Would have been $17000. I came back home after being out watching the games and found my account blocked at one place. I need to find out why tomorrow. I think I know already. Told you my bookie wasn't going to accept these bets after I got through with him this season. It's only week 6 and I've taken down almost $44K this year so far. I had told myself that I was going to get serious about this system this season but I had no idea this was going to happen.

Damn Kirby...wow!!!!  I thought I was doing good. But I guess I am since I can only play full games like some others on here.. which sucks.

Not bad yesterday on full games going 7-4 and going 8-4 (67%) +$1,440 for the week. 300.00/parlay (35-40% plays went 3-2)

YTD 32-11-1 (74%) +7,120.00

 
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Posted: #728
to be completely honest guys i would not post the critera for the 1h plays on here anymore. The books are def watching patterns, not sure if they go the long mile to monitor forums... but better to be careful than sorry. PM is much better that forums.
 
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Posted: #729
i killed my book this week little under 1700... wish i was talkin Kirbys doughon to next week making measly ass parlays... oh well...
 
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Posted: #730
erabitz and kirby I friend requested you guys would like to ask some questions in a PM if you can accept my friend request Thanks
 
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Posted: #731
looks like we have a good amount of games this week too, both 1H and full games...alot of noon games as well...cant wait to see some totals..
 
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Posted: #732
Kirby, will you add me as a friend so I can ask you about the 1H plays. Thanks
 
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Posted: #733

bw, send the request.

To update the year thru 6 weeks in NCAAF:

1st half plays: 70-33-2  67.8%   right in line with past years

2nd half plays after 1st half failure:  22-9  70.1%     I have no data for past years.

 
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Posted: #734
I sent it kirby, thanks
 
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Posted: #735
 
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Posted: #736
Kirby, am I showing up in your friends list? for some reason I still cant PM you
 
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Posted: #737
looks like 2h plays is going to be my bread winner from here on out...
 
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Posted: #738
Not there, bw. Sent you one back to try to get it to take but nothing yet. Maybe Covers having trouble with this feature today.
 
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Posted: #739
Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

bw, send the request.

To update the year thru 6 weeks in NCAAF:

1st half plays: 70-33-2  67.8%   right in line with past years

2nd half plays after 1st half failure:  22-9  70.1%     I have no data for past years.

looks like full games are hitting at the highest % yet, but not many games played compared to 1H plays

 
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Posted: #740

I've got full games at 38-17  69%

I still don't trust them though. 

 
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Posted: #741
yea full games were 7-4 last week, and if it wasnt for a couple last minute scored that killed us, we would have had a great week!  o well hopefully this week it goes the other way...I just wish I could play more 1H, should have a few this week though

 
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Posted: #742
1h lines starting to emerge...anyone on anything early??
 
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Posted: #743
i still dont see many 1H lines but here are all possible plays on saturday for full games...loks like we have 10 maybe, some are borderline...


 Boston College
@Florida State  -21.5 / 45.5 (48%)

 Western Michigan
@Notre Dame   -24 / 52 (46%)

 Wake Forest
@Virginia Tech   -22.5 / 56.5 (40%)

 Brigham Young
@Texas Christian  -29.5 / 48.5 (61%)

 Utah
@Wyoming          -20.5 / 53 (39%)

 Iowa State
@Oklahoma   -24 / 58.5 (41%)

 Arizona
@Washington State  -23.5 / 62 (38%)

 Boise State
@San Jose State  -39.5 / 59 (71%)

 Mississippi
@Alabama  -21 / 55 (38%)

 New Mexico State
@Fresno State  -31 / 56.5 (55%)
 
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Posted: #744
are you gonna play those borderline ones or are you gonna wait and see if the lines move into the 40% range?
 
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Posted: #745
k so i read most of the posts on this thread, and this may sound like a newbie question but what are local books/bookies? and how do you find them? does that mean casinos? ive only bet online before in the last 4 years and ive already read that they dont accept these bets online. thanks for the help guys
 
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Posted: #746
Quote Originally Posted by bwcareer:

are you gonna play those borderline ones or are you gonna wait and see if the lines move into the 40% range?


yes i will probably play all of them but will wait to see if i can get better lines....but others here only play above 40%, it will also depend on how many 1H I can play this week..
 
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Posted: #747
bomb, a local is your neighborhood guy that accepts bets in the local area probably out of a bar or home. Usually a friend of a friend will know one. Good luck.
 
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Posted: #748
There are going to be a ton of games for 1st half plays this week. I count 21 possible.
 
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Posted: #749
Yeah I have that many. I hope it is a big weekend!
 
 
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Posted: #750
Quote Originally Posted by kkirby99:

There are going to be a ton of games for 1st half plays this week. I count 21 possible.


 good luck wish i would play em too
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