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2010 NCAA Fave/Over - Dog/Under % Correlation Parlays Thread

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Prospect
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Posted: #1301
Quote Originally Posted by gentruchi:



What criteria are you using? I would've considered Wisconsin and Ohio st. as plays.

I may have missed a few 1H lines due to them posting late on the site i use with my book....here's what I played. I should probably pay closer attention but from the way things turned out I'm glad I missed a few. Also I am only playing 41% and higher on both the 1H and final.

Week 2
 
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Posted: #1302
Quote Originally Posted by primetime27:

and usf full game was a no play. i do 41 and higher

Yea, i missed the thursday night game, I didnt realize it qualified? The only one my book had down yest. was the much st first half, which of course hit. And I played the sf game as I had it at exactly 40%. I guess i should stick to 41% or higher.. Also woulda been great to push on that utep game!

I ended up breaking even basically on the day. Sounds like if i played my cards right with the three i mentioned above, I could have been up $520 rather then putting in a million bets just to break even 

Oh well... lots of football left.. hopefully it gets back to form next week.
 
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Posted: #1303
It is frustrating putting in a ton of bets only to break even, but i will take that any day when you are supposedly having a bad day. what did you get the smu game at, -11.5?
 
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Posted: #1304

I went 4-4 this past weekend which means I lost...can only work with full games.

I got into this thing late in the season last year when it starting going downhill. 

And like last year, the only thing keeping me even is that I am winning my regular picks.

I guess I will start using the 41% or higher percentage.  I am starting to wonder if teams/coaches are no longer running up the scores like they used to when this thing was winning so much?  I saw it with Fla, S. Fla and Mich St this past weekend.  All 3 of those teams could have put up any number they wanted but completely let off the throttle. 

 
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Posted: #1305
The problem that is hurting us this year is that the underdogs aren't putting up anything. I've about had it with these kickers. It looks like they're pulling random guys off the street to kick for some of these teams on Saturdays. Duke tried two different clowns and both missed everything they tried.
 
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Posted: #1306
I completely agree, the dogs haven't been helpful at all. Most getting blanked which is the biggest difference from last year. 10-10 full games is a rough start, looking deeper into it the problem is from the 60-69% group 1-4, but 22-13 1st halves is not to shabby.
 
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Posted: #1307

You guys are right.  The dogs have been worse than anyone could have predicted.  My local knows I lost on this late last year and was like, "are you sure you want to do this again?". 

 
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Posted: #1308
Let me know if I'm missing any...this is off the posted lines as of thursday night. There are still quite a few totals not posted yet.

Week 3


 
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Posted: #1309
I have 6 full games and 14 1st halves ( could be 16 with OK st and if a bama total comes out)
 
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Posted: #1310
hello,, i think there are more 1H bet.
 
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Posted: #1311
Quote Originally Posted by FFCJ82:

Let me know if I'm missing any...this is off the posted lines as of thursday night. There are still quite a few totals not posted yet.

Week 3



Most that play this system play the 40% rule for the full games, but not the half bets. For the half bets, any spread up 7 with a total of 24 or less is a play. Any spread of 7.5+ up to 35 is a play. BOL
 
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Posted: #1312
 6109 BOISE -19½ & game over 60½
+244      
 6110 TOLEDO +19½ or game under 60½ -287      
 6111 BOISE -19½ & game under 60½
+281      
 6112 TOLEDO +19½ or game over 60½ -341      
 6113 TOLEDO +19½ & game over 60½
+311      
 6114 BOISE -19½ or game under 60½ -371      
 6115 TOLEDO +19½ & game under 60½
+260      
 6116 BOISE -19½ or game over 60½ -320









5DIMES has these for PROPS!!!
 
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Posted: #1313
oh since it is a nationally televised game, they are allowing the correlated parlays. 
 
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Posted: #1314
this full game did not meet the requirements for our correlated parlays... This game falls a little above 32%, nowhere near the 40% mark..
 
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Posted: #1315
Quote Originally Posted by dlunc3:


Most that play this system play the 40% rule for the full games, but not the half bets. For the half bets, any spread up 7 with a total of 24 or less is a play. Any spread of 7.5+ up to 35 is a play. BOL

So let me get this straight, greater than 7spr with less than 24tot is a play, 7.5spr or more with 35.5tot or less is play?


 
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Posted: #1316
Alright, think i got it.

WEEK 3
 
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Posted: #1317
i don't touch 7 for the 1st half.
 
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Posted: #1318
Alabama v UNT first half total is out. 31.5 


 
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Posted: #1319
Quote Originally Posted by powerade:

2009 stats

57-27-3 total, 65%

41-50%  35-11-2    -winning at 72.9%!!!!
51-60%  9-8-1
61-70%  4-5
71% and up  9-3 



2010 STATS

40%         5-2
41-50%    33-12-2   -winning at 70.2%
(50% -2-1)
51-60%    12-6
61-70%    9-7
71% up     4-3

41%ers 70.2% +330 +2780
TOTAL 63-30-2 66% +4740

 

I'm hoping back on board but only playing the 40-50%-ers myself. The 50-70%s can be hit or miss, they will end up around 50-50 or slightly above by the end though.

 
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Posted: #1320
Arkansas state Fuck job!!! This is becoming a pattern.


 
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Posted: #1321
Since some of these first half bets are under 33%, can you wager them online?
 
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Posted: #1322
Quote Originally Posted by bwcareer:

Arkansas state Fuck job!!! This is becoming a pattern.



did i miss something, it was a W for us
 
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Posted: #1323
I know! my bitching and whinning lead to that missed FG!!! Thank me later!! 
 
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Posted: #1324
FFCJ82, you missed Boise First Half on Friday
 
 
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Posted: #1325
you guys playing the tulsa first half? 7.5 / 34.5 
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