Seems like every time there is a big line drop in game 1 of our series we have issues. This is what happened with ATL and here we are at a G3. Hopefully, they pull it out. I am considering dropping plays that open at -145 or higher but do not stay above -140??? Especially when there is a reverse line movement where covers shows 60% on ATL and there line is dropping,
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Seems like every time there is a big line drop in game 1 of our series we have issues. This is what happened with ATL and here we are at a G3. Hopefully, they pull it out. I am considering dropping plays that open at -145 or higher but do not stay above -140??? Especially when there is a reverse line movement where covers shows 60% on ATL and there line is dropping,
Hey rizz, love your system. Do you have backtest results for seasons other than the 2010 one?
Check the first page of this thread. There is a link to last years thread. The first few pages have all of the backtested data you can imagine for the last 4 years or so..... I just wish these game 1's would pick it up. They are running 10-15% below average for the year which is really costing us.
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Quote Originally Posted by devon4:
Hey rizz, love your system. Do you have backtest results for seasons other than the 2010 one?
Check the first page of this thread. There is a link to last years thread. The first few pages have all of the backtested data you can imagine for the last 4 years or so..... I just wish these game 1's would pick it up. They are running 10-15% below average for the year which is really costing us.
makes sense. thanks rizz. gotta love those o/u 9 home gms. so far.
at your convienence, would ya happen to have a w/l breakdown of those 22 home gms. so far (over gms.1,2,3)?
Wow, this was interesting! G1-10, G2-10, G3-6. Not sure why but there were 4 plays I did not account for in the running record for o/u filter plays including the 2 from IL??
G1:10-16 (38%)
G2: 10-6 (63%)
G3: 6-0 (100%)
Would have been nice to have faded those G1's.
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Quote Originally Posted by jphil:
makes sense. thanks rizz. gotta love those o/u 9 home gms. so far.
at your convienence, would ya happen to have a w/l breakdown of those 22 home gms. so far (over gms.1,2,3)?
Wow, this was interesting! G1-10, G2-10, G3-6. Not sure why but there were 4 plays I did not account for in the running record for o/u filter plays including the 2 from IL??
Wow, this was interesting! G1-10, G2-10, G3-6. Not sure why but there were 4 plays I did not account for in the running record for o/u filter plays including the 2 from IL??
G1:10-16 (38%)
G2: 10-6 (63%)
G3: 6-0 (100%)
Would have been nice to have faded those G1's.
Glad i asked then. We were both enlightened. I've been playin just gms. 2 & 3 on those, & wasn't sure how the gm. 1's had done so far. Hopefully another 89-2 or better record this year using that filter. Thanx again.
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Quote Originally Posted by therizz:
Wow, this was interesting! G1-10, G2-10, G3-6. Not sure why but there were 4 plays I did not account for in the running record for o/u filter plays including the 2 from IL??
G1:10-16 (38%)
G2: 10-6 (63%)
G3: 6-0 (100%)
Would have been nice to have faded those G1's.
Glad i asked then. We were both enlightened. I've been playin just gms. 2 & 3 on those, & wasn't sure how the gm. 1's had done so far. Hopefully another 89-2 or better record this year using that filter. Thanx again.
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