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2012 Opening Game Favorite

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Posted: #326
Huge night tonight

Going to start tagging reverse line moves on here to see what percentage they are hitting.  May become a filter in the future..


 
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Posted: #327
 
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Posted: #328
 
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Posted: #329
Unbelievable how this system is doing this year. Would have been such great fade material if not for its past record.

Maybe that old saying 'all systems eventually fail' is taking its effect now???
 
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Posted: #330
I think the philosophy of the system is still sound. Its not whether the teams win individual games its whether they win the chase by not getting swept at home. Vegas does seem to be skewing the odds in favour of the home team a little too much to start a series. I was surprised that Boston was that much of a favourite over Tampa Bay. A few other lines seemed fishy too.


 
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Posted: #331
Getting absolutely pounded this year guys.  Sorry for posting this crap.  I am heading out of town today.  I think everyone knows the plays for this weekend, so chase at your own risk.  Still not exactly sure what I am going to do to try to recoup the losses from last night, the labby lines are completely loaded and it is creating a vicious cycle of huge losses compounding on each other.  This thing usually bounces a little forward then a bit back and then forward while generating a profit. This year has had crazy losses come in bunches....  If nothing else, I think this season has shown it is probably best to just have fewer plays and focus on those that you really like and/or pass the over/under filter in game 1....

 
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Posted: #332
most likely a futile effort, but I just put in a parlay of all 5 teams for 2U
that will pay 35U or so.  I know this is like giving money to the book but I am just going to throw it out there.  I don't want to have an astronomical amount of units in play today.  Good luck to everyone.  Hopefully there is someone out there fading this system and doing very well this year


 
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Posted: #333
Still got games tomorrow with STL and Atl.  If they win, it's a good weekend overall.
 
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Posted: #334
I think the system says a maximum of 3 chases. The Cardinals lost their 3rd last night and I think that counts as an official loss.

I'm not really excited about betting on the Braves as they are a small favourite and the value seems like its on the Nationals.
 
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Posted: #335

Plays for 5/24-7

SEASON RECORD: 43-7                                       -29.5U
AL: 21-2 (G1:13, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 25-5 (G1:17, G2: 7, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0  (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 9-0 (G1:5, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser#49 (G2) 7:00    sf@ MIA -141        137/4.6U    G2

!Ser#50 (G2) 8:00    phi @ STL +110    137/4.6U   loss

*Ser#51 (G1) 7:00    tb @ BOS -159  9  139/4.7U  G2

!Ser#52 (G1) 7:00     col @ CIN -150  8    78/2.6U   G2

Ser#53 (G1) 7:30      was @ ATL -150 7   105/3.5U  loss

!Ser#54 (G1) 10:00    hou @ LAD -210 6    74/2.46U    G2

* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves




Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70                                               78-105      
x-x-x                                             74-63-105     
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

22-23

22-23

22-23

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posted: #336
Lost 22U over the weekend and could have been worse.  I am going to walk away from the regular plays and focus on filtered plays only.  Going to play each to win 2U in a hope to at least get back to even before the end of the season.  I will keep track of the other series as well and may situationally play a few parlays with those to recoup some of the losses.
 
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Posted: #337

Plays for 5/28

SEASON RECORD: 43-7                                       -29.5U
AL: 21-2 (G1:13, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 25-5 (G1:17, G2: 7, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0  (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 9-0 (G1:5, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

*Ser#55 (G1) 8:00    sea@ TEX -192    10      60/2U


* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves




Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70-330                                      330-78-105      
x-x-x                                             74-63-105     
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

30-30

30-30

30-30

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posted: #338
No regular games today

Played TEX -1 at -150
 
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Posted: #339
No worries Rizz, still  good system.
 
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Posted: #340
There were some games today. Looks like there is a b game with the Brewers and the Giants won their A game.
 
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Posted: #341

Plays for 5/28

SEASON RECORD: 44-7                                       -27.5U
AL: 22-2 (G1:14, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 25-5 (G1:17, G2: 7, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0  (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 10-0 (G1:6, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

*Ser#55 (G1) 8:00    sea@ TEX -192    10      60/2U


* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves




Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70-330                                      330-78-105      
x-x-x                                             74-63-105     
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

30-30   +60

30-30

30-30

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posted: #342
Last round of series

TB Game 1
SF Game 1
MIL Game 2
 
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Posted: #343

Plays for 6/5

SEASON RECORD: 51-7                                       -27.5U
AL: 23-2 (G1:15, G2: 7, G3:1, L:2)
NL: 27-5 (G1:18, G2: 8, G3:1, L:5)

IL: 1-0  (G1: 1, G2:, G3: )
O/U Filter: 10-0 (G1:6, G2: 4, G3:0)

Series Game Time Line o/u towin

Ser#59 (G2) 10:00    sea@ LAA -148

*Ser#60 (G1) 7:00      cle @ DET -157   9     60/2U

*Ser#61 (G1) 7:00      bal @ BOS -167  9      60/2U

Ser#62 (G1) 7:00      nym @ WAS -157  7       


* denotes plays passing the o/u filter of 9+ for game 1

! fishy line moves




Labby Lines
AL:                                                  NL:
59-70-330                                      330-78-105      
x-x-x                                             74-63-105     
15-86-75-66-75                            99-62-80-90

*O/U Filter Plays

30-30  

30-30

30-30

Base 1U = 30
 
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Posted: #344
Keep going Rizz, thanks.
 
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Posted: #345
BOS and DET to win 157/5.3U
 
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Posted: #346
NYY, MIL, ARI were the plays for tonight.
 
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Posted: #347
I've noticed that slowly this system is becoming consistent and hitting winner after winner.
 
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Posted: #348

NYY 

 MIL

ARI

 
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Posted: #349

oops

NYY 

 MIL 

ARI 

[/Quote]
 
 
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Posted: #350

WTF!!!

NYY 

 MIL

ARI

[/Quote]
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