Hrabi_Pero would it be possible to list the teams that caused the losses in the "fading away team" results? Not sure if your database would spit those out, but would be great to know so we can look for a way to filter out some of those losses. Great research!
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Hrabi_Pero would it be possible to list the teams that caused the losses in the "fading away team" results? Not sure if your database would spit those out, but would be great to know so we can look for a way to filter out some of those losses. Great research!
As of right now, there are no filters. Trying to find them. If a team loses 3 straight on the road no matter when it is. There can be a home stand inbetween. As soon as that team picks up a win on the road, you chase them for 4 games to lose again. At home if they win 3 or more straight as soon as a loss comes, you chase for them to win again. My early idea is to maybe find the best teams to fit this system and maybe doubling up the units on just those teams. Im off to work but will do some more research tonight.
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As of right now, there are no filters. Trying to find them. If a team loses 3 straight on the road no matter when it is. There can be a home stand inbetween. As soon as that team picks up a win on the road, you chase them for 4 games to lose again. At home if they win 3 or more straight as soon as a loss comes, you chase for them to win again. My early idea is to maybe find the best teams to fit this system and maybe doubling up the units on just those teams. Im off to work but will do some more research tonight.
Ok heres how I'm ganna tweek this system to hopefully benefit my bankroll. Im making up something that i'm ganna call the MIDDLE NUMBER. When the season starts the middle number is ganna be 0. Every 20 games a team plays that middle number is ganna move +3 and -3 in each direction. At the end of the season the middle numbers for each team are ganna be +24 and -24. Right now since we are between 40 and 60 games the middle numbers for every team are +6 and -6. The + - represent games over or under .500. Everything is ganna be the same as it is now except when im chasing a home team to win and their record is above the middle number and every team they will face in the chase is blow the middle number, I chase for 2 units instead of 1. Same the other way. If im chasing a team to lose on the road and they are below the middle number and every team the face in the 4 game chase is above the middle number at the start of the chase, I double my units. This will start on Friday as there are no plays tormorrow. Remember the middle number will move to +9 - 9 when a team gets to 60 games. Until then it stays at +6 -6. Input would be great!
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Ok heres how I'm ganna tweek this system to hopefully benefit my bankroll. Im making up something that i'm ganna call the MIDDLE NUMBER. When the season starts the middle number is ganna be 0. Every 20 games a team plays that middle number is ganna move +3 and -3 in each direction. At the end of the season the middle numbers for each team are ganna be +24 and -24. Right now since we are between 40 and 60 games the middle numbers for every team are +6 and -6. The + - represent games over or under .500. Everything is ganna be the same as it is now except when im chasing a home team to win and their record is above the middle number and every team they will face in the chase is blow the middle number, I chase for 2 units instead of 1. Same the other way. If im chasing a team to lose on the road and they are below the middle number and every team the face in the 4 game chase is above the middle number at the start of the chase, I double my units. This will start on Friday as there are no plays tormorrow. Remember the middle number will move to +9 - 9 when a team gets to 60 games. Until then it stays at +6 -6. Input would be great!
Is system play chasing Milwuakee (2X unit) on Friday?
If so, if MIL is +7, which is over their +6 "middle number", and Cinnci is +7 as well, that means based on your middle-number system you don't double up. If FOR EXAMPLE they were playing Washington or Houston or some other bankroll-burning team under the -6 number, AND you were chasing a 2nd game, would you bet 4Xunit? or 2X +1?
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Is system play chasing Milwuakee (2X unit) on Friday?
If so, if MIL is +7, which is over their +6 "middle number", and Cinnci is +7 as well, that means based on your middle-number system you don't double up. If FOR EXAMPLE they were playing Washington or Houston or some other bankroll-burning team under the -6 number, AND you were chasing a 2nd game, would you bet 4Xunit? or 2X +1?
Is it possible for anyone to send me the data via email for this, I would like to test a few extra "theories" alongside these? PM me for address THANKS
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Is it possible for anyone to send me the data via email for this, I would like to test a few extra "theories" alongside these? PM me for address THANKS
I have a number of profitable systems and have contributed to these forums in the past.
You are neglecting to recognize the EXTREME nature of money line chase losses. Here is an example of the Chicago Cubs losing chase from 2008. I used the Cubs because they are traditionally a strong home team (a team that you would certainly include in any home chase system).
After 4 straight home wins in 2008 ... To win $100 ...
8/30/08 -132 Bet 132 Loss (-132) Cumulative Loss (-132)
8/31/08 -134 Bet 310 Loss (-310) Cumulative Loss (-442)
9/01/08 -114 Bet 617 Loss (-617) Cumulative Loss (-1059)
9/02/08 -201 Bet 2329 Loss (-2329) Cumulative Loss (-3388)
9/03/08 -214 Bet 3488 Loss (-3488) Cumulative Loss (-7464)
OK, so let's not say, "well, how would the sytem be if we pulled out the Cubs?" You WOULD include the Cubs because they consistently win over 50% at home.
OK, let's not say, "but it won in game six", because NO ONE is going to bet $7,564 to win a c-note!
Chase run lines and totals!
Good Luck to All !!!
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Just need to add something here ....
I have a number of profitable systems and have contributed to these forums in the past.
You are neglecting to recognize the EXTREME nature of money line chase losses. Here is an example of the Chicago Cubs losing chase from 2008. I used the Cubs because they are traditionally a strong home team (a team that you would certainly include in any home chase system).
After 4 straight home wins in 2008 ... To win $100 ...
8/30/08 -132 Bet 132 Loss (-132) Cumulative Loss (-132)
8/31/08 -134 Bet 310 Loss (-310) Cumulative Loss (-442)
9/01/08 -114 Bet 617 Loss (-617) Cumulative Loss (-1059)
9/02/08 -201 Bet 2329 Loss (-2329) Cumulative Loss (-3388)
9/03/08 -214 Bet 3488 Loss (-3488) Cumulative Loss (-7464)
OK, so let's not say, "well, how would the sytem be if we pulled out the Cubs?" You WOULD include the Cubs because they consistently win over 50% at home.
OK, let's not say, "but it won in game six", because NO ONE is going to bet $7,564 to win a c-note!
Tony - Why did you pick Milwaukee? How did the brewers qualify? I ask because they are coming off of two home losses, which I didn't think fit your system.
Still getting a grasp on it..
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Tony - Why did you pick Milwaukee? How did the brewers qualify? I ask because they are coming off of two home losses, which I didn't think fit your system.
Yes they lost 2 home games in a row but befor that they had 4 straight home wins so after the first loss after 3 or more home wins then you chase them to win again. The first game of the chase was a loss so now its game 2 of the chase
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Yes they lost 2 home games in a row but befor that they had 4 straight home wins so after the first loss after 3 or more home wins then you chase them to win again. The first game of the chase was a loss so now its game 2 of the chase
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Probability of winning apperently increases
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