Nice job! What are you using to decide the initial play to chase. Thanks for any info that can be provided. Looks good
well, it is difficult to determine which play to go with when there are several games going on at the same time, so i look at the line movement of a point and a half or more and if it is going in the same direction the whole day and night before the game up to gametime, i'll chase that direction first and second half. if it is a reverse line move, then i pick that game over other line movers.. if there is more than one reverse line at the same time like that, i use my capping to pick which one to play the chase. so yesterday i had a choice between miami side or the was/tb under... i didn't trust miami, but they did do it, and i just went with the tb unders which came through on the second half. now tonight's game looks like the reverse line move to take the unders, but the consensus on the over is less than 60%, so it really doesn't look very strong yet. it is the only game tonight, and if this was a C, D bet, I might skip it to find a better game. if there isn't line movement on a game, then i will use some capping tools to pick a side or o/u. i am working on a spreadsheet to track halftime numbers and lines. it should help me pick the games in the future. i'm trying to figure out which games flip flop the sides and/or o/u's, and which games have the sides and o/u's stay the same each half. it is not easy, so if anybody has any input or insight, please let me know what you advise! thanks!
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Quote Originally Posted by pokerfacedjoker:
Nice job! What are you using to decide the initial play to chase. Thanks for any info that can be provided. Looks good
well, it is difficult to determine which play to go with when there are several games going on at the same time, so i look at the line movement of a point and a half or more and if it is going in the same direction the whole day and night before the game up to gametime, i'll chase that direction first and second half. if it is a reverse line move, then i pick that game over other line movers.. if there is more than one reverse line at the same time like that, i use my capping to pick which one to play the chase. so yesterday i had a choice between miami side or the was/tb under... i didn't trust miami, but they did do it, and i just went with the tb unders which came through on the second half. now tonight's game looks like the reverse line move to take the unders, but the consensus on the over is less than 60%, so it really doesn't look very strong yet. it is the only game tonight, and if this was a C, D bet, I might skip it to find a better game. if there isn't line movement on a game, then i will use some capping tools to pick a side or o/u. i am working on a spreadsheet to track halftime numbers and lines. it should help me pick the games in the future. i'm trying to figure out which games flip flop the sides and/or o/u's, and which games have the sides and o/u's stay the same each half. it is not easy, so if anybody has any input or insight, please let me know what you advise! thanks!
i'm gonna do one other chase method on a new thread starting tomorrow. it is a 3 game chase, that should have at least one play a day at reasonable odds (+125 to -125), so the total risk is about 10 units ABC to win that one unit. i like the 4 half chase, but i need a little more action. these chases require patience, which is hard to come by some days! i've tried some other methods and systems on here in the past with little success, so if you are going to play along, tread carefully! i know the 3 full-game chase will do good in the long run, but it could experience some clustered losses... like two months out of twelve might be bad, so bankroll managment is key.
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i'm gonna do one other chase method on a new thread starting tomorrow. it is a 3 game chase, that should have at least one play a day at reasonable odds (+125 to -125), so the total risk is about 10 units ABC to win that one unit. i like the 4 half chase, but i need a little more action. these chases require patience, which is hard to come by some days! i've tried some other methods and systems on here in the past with little success, so if you are going to play along, tread carefully! i know the 3 full-game chase will do good in the long run, but it could experience some clustered losses... like two months out of twelve might be bad, so bankroll managment is key.
somebody should start an nfl and ncaaf rpi halftime A/B chase system like the a/b/c mlb one and see how it goes. i'd do it, but i got my hands full now.
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somebody should start an nfl and ncaaf rpi halftime A/B chase system like the a/b/c mlb one and see how it goes. i'd do it, but i got my hands full now.
that cuse over should've hit the first half dang it, but i do see that i shouldn't have made any play on the over since the consensus was pretty even. well, navy (C) will right the ship!
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that cuse over should've hit the first half dang it, but i do see that i shouldn't have made any play on the over since the consensus was pretty even. well, navy (C) will right the ship!
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