Chase systems are tough. My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day.
I changed my betting strategy to two 2-game chases. This lightens the load on large wagers with games 3 & 4.
Although profitable at +43.36 units I've decided to pick on the poor performing teams. (Teams playing under .470 win %) This system is 36-0 +27.26 units. Why is 36-0 not +36 units or more? Because 2 of the games went to a game 3 and 1 game went to game 4 and I take a loss if I don't hit in the first two games.
Chase systems are tough. In the end you wind up losing.
My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day. I changed my betting strategy.
I'm not telling anyone to bet using this system, just follow along and see if it makes money from here on out.
I may pop in here from time to time but the rules are in the spreadsheet.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Chase systems are tough. My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day.
I changed my betting strategy to two 2-game chases. This lightens the load on large wagers with games 3 & 4.
Although profitable at +43.36 units I've decided to pick on the poor performing teams. (Teams playing under .470 win %) This system is 36-0 +27.26 units. Why is 36-0 not +36 units or more? Because 2 of the games went to a game 3 and 1 game went to game 4 and I take a loss if I don't hit in the first two games.
Chase systems are tough. In the end you wind up losing.
My 5 run chase system is 113-6 +43.36 units but that could change any day. I changed my betting strategy.
I'm not telling anyone to bet using this system, just follow along and see if it makes money from here on out.
Good to see you over here Cisco. I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM. I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years. I'll be watching this for sure.
Leprechaun
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Good to see you over here Cisco. I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM. I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years. I'll be watching this for sure.
Good to see you over here Cisco. I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM. I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years. I'll be watching this for sure.
Leprechaun
I don't know why it works either!
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Quote Originally Posted by Leprechaun:
Good to see you over here Cisco. I played this system in '06 and '07 when you were over at CM. I don't know why it works, but I remember making some pretty good dough off of it one of those years. I'll be watching this for sure.
The ‘Stros trotted out four first-year position players – Jason Bourgeois in center field, Chris Johnson at third base, Jason Castro at catcher and Oswaldo Navarro at shortstop – that had combined for 33 big league at-bats. The quatrain went 2-for-14 with four strikeouts.
These numbers are prior to the Sunday night game. Looks like Houston has packed it in for the season. Expect huge odds against them from here on out.
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Beware playing the Astros.
The ‘Stros trotted out four first-year position players – Jason Bourgeois in center field, Chris Johnson at third base, Jason Castro at catcher and Oswaldo Navarro at shortstop – that had combined for 33 big league at-bats. The quatrain went 2-for-14 with four strikeouts.
These numbers are prior to the Sunday night game. Looks like Houston has packed it in for the season. Expect huge odds against them from here on out.
So what do we do about the CIN-PHI? Both won by 5+ runs on Friday. Skip 2 games and here we are on Monday and both teams facing each other.
Philly won 11-2 yesterday. Skip another 2 games.
The play is on Philly today. If Cincy wins gms 1 & 2, take a 2-gm loss and play Philly again on 6/30.
If one team is already in the chase, gms 2-3 or 4, you have to bet against that team.
If two teams going against each other.
If both are on gm 1 it's a judgement call (I would play the favorite) or leave the game alone and chase the gm 1 winner. This will happen but not very often.
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Quote Originally Posted by the_vig:
So what do we do about the CIN-PHI? Both won by 5+ runs on Friday. Skip 2 games and here we are on Monday and both teams facing each other.
Philly won 11-2 yesterday. Skip another 2 games.
The play is on Philly today. If Cincy wins gms 1 & 2, take a 2-gm loss and play Philly again on 6/30.
If one team is already in the chase, gms 2-3 or 4, you have to bet against that team.
If two teams going against each other.
If both are on gm 1 it's a judgement call (I would play the favorite) or leave the game alone and chase the gm 1 winner. This will happen but not very often.
Nothing more to tell. The plays are listed. The rules are there for you to read.
2-1 last night +.80 units
Special thanks to cwin32 for finding the many errors in my spreadsheet resulting in over 5 units to the plus side. They are highlighted in blue on the tally sheet. (All in April/May.) When I was on vacation in the states I kept it up daily but I forgot to save the info on my flash drive. Thanks again cwin32!
5 games today-
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Nothing more to tell. The plays are listed. The rules are there for you to read.
2-1 last night +.80 units
Special thanks to cwin32 for finding the many errors in my spreadsheet resulting in over 5 units to the plus side. They are highlighted in blue on the tally sheet. (All in April/May.) When I was on vacation in the states I kept it up daily but I forgot to save the info on my flash drive. Thanks again cwin32!
If you went 2-1 last night you must be playing the games "action" because Oak pitching change cancelled play if you had Braden listed.
It's a system pick and the system doesn't care who's pitching, who's playing, who's hurt, who the umpire is, what the weather is like, who got drunk last night or who didn't get laid last night. The system picked Oakland and I'm happy for those who bet with Mazarro.
Can you believe the system picked Cincy to beat Halladay today?
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Quote Originally Posted by smitler:
If you went 2-1 last night you must be playing the games "action" because Oak pitching change cancelled play if you had Braden listed.
It's a system pick and the system doesn't care who's pitching, who's playing, who's hurt, who the umpire is, what the weather is like, who got drunk last night or who didn't get laid last night. The system picked Oakland and I'm happy for those who bet with Mazarro.
Can you believe the system picked Cincy to beat Halladay today?
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