nope..cos sportsdatabase doesnt have NHL, sweet numbers for NBA betting against Under streaks though..
won't be able to get this in tommorow afternoon so just placed it now for tommorow
Level 2 play - St.Louis U7 +105 ..3 units to win 3units..
- first game in for 3 units..hopefully a good sign !
Thank you sir 
Did some querying on sportsdatabase , looking into the scenario of waiting till a team has hit 3 straight overs, chasing under the next 4 .and the numbers came out VERY profitable . I know this is nothing groundbreaking, people have talked about these kind of chases before..but the numbers look very good, almost TO good,makes me think i may be missing something .. below is based on using the grand martingale for a 4 game chase (1-3-7-15) meaning each loss is a loss of 26 units .. for simplicity purposes i am counting each win as 1 unit however with the grand martingale, wins are often more than one unit ..so here are the numbers..
2010 to date
247 streaks of 3 overs
- 3 have gone to 8 games
- Profit= 247 - (3*26)=164 units
2009
489 streaks of 3 overs
14 went to 8 overs
Profit = 489 - (14*26) = 125 units
2008
455 streaks of 3 overs
4 went to 8 overs
Profit= 455( 4*26) = 341 units
2007
484 streaks of 3 overs
9 went to 8 overs
Profit = 484 - ( 9*26) = 250 units
2006
582 streaks of 3 overs
8 went to 8 overs
Profit = 582 - (8*26) = 374 units
2005
457 streaks of 3 overs
18 went to 8 overs
Profit = 457 - (18*26) = -11 units
I also tried the opposite (chasing after 3 unders.)..but it wasnt nearly as profitable.
pushes do factor in, and may end up in another chase loss or 2 ..otherwise , what am i missing ??
Maybe check the same with unders? Go with the trend rather than opposite. Say after 2 unders in a row, chase a third? Or, after 3 unders in a row, chase for a fourth? I don't know, just throwing some ideas out there.
It seems like we are always looking to chase an opposite of a three or four game run. Why not go with the streak?
Like I said, I wish I knew more how to run the queries, otherwise I would try checking myself! If you do have the time to look at a few different angles that would be great.
Thanks
Hey Neil
I don't know if you have looked already, but what about chasing the over after 3 staight overs rather than chasing the under? Or, with the amount of 3 overs in a row, what if we chased for an over after 2 in a row?
its a good idea..i was doing something similar to this earlier in this season using Labouchere...it got to be a lot of units in play...tommorow when i have time i am gonna try to fine tune this, or find a better angle ..theres gotta be $$ in this somewhere..lol .
yes.. i guess i worded it wrong..but the stats are still the same, using the query on sportsatabase
season=2010 and p:O and pp:O and ppp:O and pppp:O and ppppp:O and pppppp:O and ppppppp:O
thats what sportsdatabase gave me...i suppose the 2 difference could be the difference in lines used.. does vegasinsider use opening lines ? ..not sure which sportsdatabase uses.. I will try ot find the difference tommorow when i have time to do some queries
hey dlunc .. i want to research and verify this a bit more, and try to find the most optimal approach, and start up after the all-star break ..the numbers still seem awfully good to be true, and there has been enough doubt and questions raised that i think a little more scrutiny is needed.. gl
Neilsy,
Just looked at your query vs what I tested. I looked at 3 overs then chased 4 games to get a win to get the numbers I did. It looks like your data is based on an 8 Over streak which would be a 5 game chase, but you calculated the units lost on only chasing for four.
Neilsy,
Just looked at your query vs what I tested. I looked at 3 overs then chased 4 games to get a win to get the numbers I did. It looks like your data is based on an 8 Over streak which would be a 5 game chase, but you calculated the units lost on only chasing for four.
you"re right.. damn, how did i miss that 
.. i knew there had to be something off..cos i backtested so many of these types of chases a few years back..all manually before i heard of sportsdatabase..and never found these kinda results.
dlunc ..the site is www.sportsdatabase.com
- incredible the queries you can run on this site
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