cjm
Loyola-Chicago +5 WIN ML
Nice job Ken. Always good to see a new system have great success. This is especially good for me since I usually ignore college hoops.
Been playing this conservatively on a labby line with nice results.
Nice job Ken. Always good to see a new system have great success. This is especially good for me since I usually ignore college hoops.
Been playing this conservatively on a labby line with nice results.
Nice job Ken. Always good to see a new system have great success. This is especially good for me since I usually ignore college hoops.
Been playing this conservatively on a labby line with nice results.
[/Quote,Nice job Ken. Always good to see a new system have great success. This is especially good for me since I usually ignore college hoops.
Been playing this conservatively on a labby line with nice results.
[/Quote,1st Halfs
1st Halfs
S_N, I have been working on separating the bets based on spread ranges. +.5 to +3, +3.5 to +5 and so on because I'd like to develop a better MM strategy than flat betting them all. I'm going to flat bet them through february, but it may be something to try next year as well. Here is the link to the google drive sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P7zGI5Qz83cIZxtrEE9vp-0EYwoJ6MIX-glhHdu7yZQ/edit#gid=0
Note that I am tracking all games without regard to where the public money is, so there are games in my stats that ken has left out of the system. Also, I use the lines when they close, so some of us have lost a game or 2 by a half point or a point, but the closing line was a winner, so I've used the closing line as a control. With this system one thing is clear, the later you wait to place the bet, generally the better line you get.
As far as pure stats from January 1,2016 to present is:
ATS:
Game: (50-33-1) 32 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (52-31-1) 30 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (45-37-2) 32 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (41-43)
1st Half: (42-42)
2nd Half: (44-38-2)
Spread is .5>3
ATS:
Game: (12-7-1) 12 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (11-9) 10 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (10-9-1) 10 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (8-12)
1st Half: (9-11)
2nd Half: (11-9)
Spread is 3.5>5
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (8-6-4) 7 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (11-7) 10 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (8-10) 8 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (11-7)
1st Half: (11-7)
2nd Half: (13-5)
Spread is 5.5>10
ATS:
Game: (20-12) 10 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (19-13) 7 ML wins and 3 push for dogs
2nd Half: (19-12-1) 11 ML and 1 push wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (17-15)
1st Half: (18-14)
2nd Half: (13-17-2)
Spread is 10.5>15
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (7-3) 3 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (8-1-1) 3 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (7-3) 3 ML wins and 1 pushfor dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (3-7)
1st Half: (2-8)
2nd Half: (5-5)
Spread is 15+
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (3-1) 0 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (3-1) 0 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (1-3) 0 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (2-2)
1st Half: (2-2)
2nd Half: (2-2)
thank you
S_N, I have been working on separating the bets based on spread ranges. +.5 to +3, +3.5 to +5 and so on because I'd like to develop a better MM strategy than flat betting them all. I'm going to flat bet them through february, but it may be something to try next year as well. Here is the link to the google drive sheet: https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1P7zGI5Qz83cIZxtrEE9vp-0EYwoJ6MIX-glhHdu7yZQ/edit#gid=0
Note that I am tracking all games without regard to where the public money is, so there are games in my stats that ken has left out of the system. Also, I use the lines when they close, so some of us have lost a game or 2 by a half point or a point, but the closing line was a winner, so I've used the closing line as a control. With this system one thing is clear, the later you wait to place the bet, generally the better line you get.
As far as pure stats from January 1,2016 to present is:
ATS:
Game: (50-33-1) 32 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (52-31-1) 30 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (45-37-2) 32 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (41-43)
1st Half: (42-42)
2nd Half: (44-38-2)
Spread is .5>3
ATS:
Game: (12-7-1) 12 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (11-9) 10 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (10-9-1) 10 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (8-12)
1st Half: (9-11)
2nd Half: (11-9)
Spread is 3.5>5
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (8-6-4) 7 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (11-7) 10 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (8-10) 8 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (11-7)
1st Half: (11-7)
2nd Half: (13-5)
Spread is 5.5>10
ATS:
Game: (20-12) 10 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (19-13) 7 ML wins and 3 push for dogs
2nd Half: (19-12-1) 11 ML and 1 push wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (17-15)
1st Half: (18-14)
2nd Half: (13-17-2)
Spread is 10.5>15
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (7-3) 3 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (8-1-1) 3 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (7-3) 3 ML wins and 1 pushfor dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (3-7)
1st Half: (2-8)
2nd Half: (5-5)
Spread is 15+
ATS: (using where the lines closed for previous games)
Game: (3-1) 0 ML wins for dogs
1st Half: (3-1) 0 ML wins for dogs
2nd Half: (1-3) 0 ML wins for dogs
Over-Under:
Game: (2-2)
1st Half: (2-2)
2nd Half: (2-2)
thank you
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