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Views: 28248
Posts: 404
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #176

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  26-0

Overall record 26-12

(A)70-70-70-70

MIL @ LAC 1H -2 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140

(B)70-70-70-70

Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $11,939.45
 
Rookie
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Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 812
Posted: #177
Quote Originally Posted by angelobruno:

hey johnnymega

i just want to give you your props i like what u been doing

keep it up bro!!!   



thanks bro  


I gotta say, though, I've been trying out Wknap's system on the side, using my own picks instead of the consensus picks and its been working out great.

Thanks wknap!




 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #178

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  26-0

Overall record 26-12

(A)70-70-70-70

MIL @ LAC 1H -2 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140 (PUSH)

(B)70-70-70-70

MIL @LAC 2H -1 (-100) Risk 154 to win 140

Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $11,939.45
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #179
MIL @LAC 2H -1 (-100) Risk 154 to win 140

**Correction should be (-110)
 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Nov, 2010
Posts: 28
Posted: #180
Bankroll: $10,285.94
Record: 13-15
Profit: $285.94

Hockey is back in session - which means soon I can get back above .500

However, no moneyline plays for a few days - for those who care, my strategy is centered around the idea of hockey as a game of momentum, and the numbers I focus on are the ones over the last 5 games to see who is hot and who is not, and see if I can catch teams on an upswing (like I managed to do with Vancouver) getting a winning team at a value price. Coming off of the all star break, everyone's in the same category, everyone's had the same number of days rest, and numbers from games that were a week ago mean nothing now.

That being said, I've looked more at mathematics for predicting the O/U plays in hockey, and hopefully i'll be able to make a few plays on those. My approach for this is using the theory that Hockey scoring is a Poisson process, and i'll be using that to see if I can't find value in playing something other than the moneyline. While I test this out these will all be 1% plays.

Play today:

Calgary Flames @ Nashville Predators UNDER 5 (+105)
       $102.85 to win $107.99

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 812
Posted: #181
02/01


Yesterday: 0-1
(NJ Nets U205.5  -101  -$370)

Record 15-8
Bank $12,352.95


Today's Play:
Sac Kings O193  -101  359 to win 355.45

bolta 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #182
(A)70-70-70-70

MIL @ LAC 1H -2 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140 (PUSH)

(B)70-70-70-70

MIL @LAC 2H -1 (-100) Risk 154 to win 140

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  27-0

Overall record 27-12

(A)70-70-70-70

(B)x-70-70-x


Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $12,079.45





 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Jun, 2008
Posts: 812
Posted: #183
02/02

Yesterday 0-1

(Sac Kings O193  -101  -359)

Record 15-9
Bank $11,612.95 (the previous post was not updated)


That's probably it for me. It was fun. GL.


 
Prospect
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2009
Posts: 434
Posted: #184
JONNY - hope you reconsider staying on - look forward
to your plays everyday. Didn't get to post anything earlier
as I have been having computer issues.

I did notice a while back that you had your own thread going.
Will you keep posting in there?? HOPE SO!!

MCSI - ditto for you too - you guys have been rock solid!!
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #185
Thanks for the kind words BN727! 

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  27-0

Overall record 27-12

(A)70-70-70-70

DAL @ NYK 1H -1 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140

POR @ DEN 1H -4.5 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140

(B)x-70-70-x


Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $12,079.45

 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #186
DAL @ NYK 1H -1 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140

(B)x-70-70-154

DAL @ NYK 2H -1.5(-115) Risk 257.60 to win 224
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #187
POR @ DEN 2H -6.5 (-110) Risk 246.40 to win 224
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #188
DAL @ NYK 1H -1 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140

POR @ DEN 1H -4.5 (-110) Risk 154 to win 140

DAL @ NYK 2H -1.5(-115) Risk 257.60 to win 224

POR @ DEN 2H -6.5 (-110) Risk 246.40 to win 224

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  28-0 (DAL pending)

Overall record 28-15

(A)95-95-95-95

(B)95-95-95-95

Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $11,737.85

 
Veteran
Participation Meter
Joined: Mar, 2009
Posts: 3144
Posted: #189
Quote Originally Posted by dj_destroyer:


DJ's Golden Quarters
Methodology: 25% plays
Record: 1-0-0
Starting Bankroll: $10000.00
Current Bankroll: $11488.10
Net: +$1488.10

01/30
Play: Gent [-125] *Pinnacle*
Wager: $2872.03 to win 2297.62  


DJ's Golden Quarters
Methodology: 25% plays
Record: 1-1-0
Starting Bankroll: $10000.00
Current Bankroll: $8616.07
Net: -$1383.93

02/04
Play: Bursaspor -1 [-160] *Pinnacle*
Wager: $2154.02 to win 1346.26
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #190

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  28-0 (DAL pending)

Overall record 28-15

(A)95-95-95-95

DAL @ BOS 1H -3.5 (-110) Risk 209 to win 190

(B)95-95-95-95

Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $11,737.85
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #191
DAL @ BOS 1H -3.5 (-110) Risk 209 to win 190

DAL @ BOS 24 -6(-110) Risk 324.50 to win 295
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #192
DAL @ BOS 1H -3.5 (-110) Risk 209 to win 190

DAL @ BOS 24 -6(-110) Risk 324.50 to win 295


Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  28-0 (DAL pending)

Overall record 28-17

(A)161-161-161-161

DAL @ CHA 1H +1.5 (-110) Risk 354.20 to win 322

(B)161-161-161-161


NBA

DAL -3 (-107) Risk 107 to win 100

ATL -2.5 (-103) Risk 103 to win 100


Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $11,204.35
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #193
DAL @ CHA 1H +1.5 (-110) Risk 354.20 to win 322

(B)191-191-191-191-177

DAL @ CHA 2H -1.5 (-110) Risk 404.80 to win 368

This was the first time in 79 series this season that it even went to the 5th play. Looks like this could be the first loss.

also adding...

NBA 

CHI -3.5 (-107) Risk 107 to win 100
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #194
DAL @ CHA 2H -1.5 (-110) Risk 404.80 to win 368

NBA

DAL -3 (-107) Risk 107 to win 100

ATL -2.5 (-103) Risk 103 to win 100

CHI -3.5 (-107) Risk 107 to win 100
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #195

Tony1 NBA Road system

Record as of Jan. 4 since posting in challenge thread.
 
Series record  28-1

Overall record 28-19



Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $10,538.35

Well, this system finally had a loss, which isn't that big of a surprise. It has had at least 1 loss the past 5 seasons. I have accumulated quite a few units since the beginning of the season. Gave some back in the past week, but still happy with what i have. The question now is do I want to continue? There are some pretty good teams coming up in the next couple weeks that  I would hate to fade. I'm going to lay off tonight's play and think about what i wanna do from here.


 NBA

BOS -4 (-108) Risk 108 to win 100

N.O. -8 (-105) Risk 105 to win 100

UTAH -2 (-105) Risk 105 to win 100
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #196
BOS -4 (-108) Risk 108 to win 100

N.O. -8 (-105) Risk 105 to win 100

UTAH -2 (-105) Risk 105 to win 100


Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $10,425.35


NBA

S.A. -6.5 (-107)  Risk 107 to win 100

HOU 1H -5 (-110) Risk 110 to win 100
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #197
HOU 2H -7 (-110) Risk 165 to win 150
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #198
S.A. -6.5 (-107)  Risk 107 to win 100

HOU 1H -5 (-110) Risk 110 to win 100

HOU 2H -7 (-110) Risk 165 to win 150

So Minnesota had won 2 road games all season. I bet against them and they win back to back games on the road. FML

NBA

DET +1.5 (-103) Risk 103 to win 100

S.A. -7.5 (-108) Risk 108 to win 100

DAL -5 (-103) Risk 103 to win 100


Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $10,250.35
 
Rookie
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Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #199
DET +1.5 (-103) Risk 103 to win 100

S.A. -7.5 (-108) Risk 108 to win 100

DAL -5 (-103) Risk 103 to win 100


Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $10,347.35


No plays today.


 
 
Rookie
Participation Meter
Joined: Apr, 2010
Posts: 657
Posted: #200
Starting Bankroll $10,000.00

Current Bankroll $10,347.35

NBA

S.A. -3 (-106) Risk 106 to win 100

POR -3.5 (-105) Risk 105 to win 100


Wanted to get these in. Will be back after i run my numbers on the later games.
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