Dog Streak Chase 2014

Question

Hello friends. I am going to be running the 5 Run, Home Fav and Dog Streak chases for Cisco this year. All three will be on the same doc. To avoid confusion, I will make a thread per system.

I am going to be posting plays on Google Doc with periodic updates on this thread. Since I cannot protect individual sheets in the new Google Docs, I will have the lock the entire spreadsheet to avoid people messing around. Once I can protect individual sheets, I will open up the Cave sheet so people can post their questions and comments in there. Until then, please use this thread.

Rules are posted on the spreadsheet.

Here is the link for the 2014 doc:
https://tinyurl.com/kcws6z8

Previous years results:

Dog Streak Past Results
2012	190-3 +130u
2013	181-1 +157.8

Bart_ · Answer

Hello friends. I am going to be running the 5 Run, Home Fav and Dog Streak chases for Cisco this year. All three will be on the same doc. To avoid confusion, I will make a thread per system.

I am going to be posting plays on Google Doc with periodic updates on this thread. Since I cannot protect individual sheets in the new Google Docs, I will have the lock the entire spreadsheet to avoid people messing around. Once I can protect individual sheets, I will open up the Cave sheet so people can post their questions and comments in there. Until then, please use this thread.

Rules are posted on the spreadsheet.

Here is the link for the 2014 doc:
https://tinyurl.com/kcws6z8

Previous years results:

Dog Streak Past Results
2012	190-3 +130u
2013	181-1 +157.8

JEFFTHEHAT · Answer

Rules for dog chase not posted anywhere

dbartoletbet · Answer

https://docs.google.com/spreadsheets/d/1KlKyCntP1Fp8e5nb3U2zCSAXn5852ecVAdHil2N775I/edit#gid=1292538285Same with this one.I corrected it for you

Bart_ · Answer

Rules tab, starting on line 21. Note that the rules have evolved slightly over the years. For example, when we started 2 years ago, we always skipped 2 games. Last year we changed it to the 7 day rule.

radar06 · Answer

In the Google docs of past results, which tab has the results of the Dog streak?

On the "chat" tab for this year's google docs cisco posted "playing dogs +1.5RL is the key to success". Is he referring to the Dog streak?

INTHEEND · Answer

I was looking into the Dog Chase with great interest. I tried adapting it to last years schedule and failed. When it says dog chase and 3 in a row are you following a dog for 3 gms meaning the Cubs would as a dog would have to win 3 in a row or lose 3 in a row. If that part is true does it have to be consecutive I read the rules but could not figure where the dog part fit in.

Bart_ · Answer

I will try and clean those up with the same formatting as this year. He is referring to the streaks and the 5 run chase.

Bart_ · Answer

For the dog chase there are 4 possible chases scenarios:HDW - Home Dog WinHDL - Home Dog LossRDW - Road Dog WinRDL  - Road Dog LossYou chase whatever the 3 game consecutive streak was under that scenario.  Using the 2013 Cubs as an example:April 1 - RDW (steak = 1)April 3 - RDL (streak = 1)April 4 - RDW (steak = 1)April 5 - RDL (streak = 1)April 6 - RDL (streak = 2)April 7 - RDL (streak = 3)Since they hit 3 consecutive games as RDL, we now wait for them to break the streak by winning as a RD, then skipping 2 games, then playing a 4 game chase to repeat the streak. April 8 to 18 they played at home so those games do not affect our RD plays. April 19-22 - all RDL (streak = 4 to 7)April 23 - RDW (streak broken, we call this Mark game)April 24 - RDL (skip 1)April 25 - RF - since they were a favorite, we ignore this game. April 26 - RDW (skip 2)April 27 &amp; 28 - RF - again, we ignore these two games because they were favorites. April 29 to May 8 - home stretch, ignore for RD. May 10 - RDL (streak 1) - this is our Game 1. Cubs lost, you won.

INTHEEND · Answer

Thank you, very nice explanation that clears up just about everything. One thing here. In the case of the Cubs example had that first game on April 4th not been a RD it would not have started the tracking correct. Meaning everything in the sequence has to match. A RD has to start the tracking in this case a RDW. Then next games were road dog losses. Then one had to wait for the RD win and skip 2 games of RD what ever the out come and now start. Everything has to follow the road dog sequence is my question.

Bart_ · Answer

Yes. You will have two main sequences. HD and RD. From there you will have W and L streaks

Bart_ · Answer

Slight correction to your post, April 4th game broke the L streak. April 5-22 RD&#39;s was the streak to follow. Let me know if you need other examples.

neilsy25 · Answer

Hi Bart to be sure i got this, using the 2013 twins, is this correct ?5/7 RDW5/8 RDW5/9 RDW5/20 RDL - Mark game5/23 RDL - we win the chasethanks !

neilsy25 · Answer

sorry, missed part of it, see below..is this correct ?

neilsy25 · Answer

sorry for all the questions, just want to make sure i got this so i can do some back testing pre 2012  ...given the scenario above, can chases overlap ?, by this i mean, during the mark game and skip games above we hit a 3 game RDL streak (5/20, 5/21,5/22)  our point game for this one was 5/25 .. and the 2 skip games would be 5/26 and our RDW on 5/27  ...so are we now on a RDL chase ?....thanks again !

Bart_ · Answer

Neilsy, the only thing you forgot is that we play RDW and HDW on the RL so MIN would have won the game on May 23rd and the series would be over.

I want to avoid the overlap of chases where possible. Cisco used to play the first streak that marked & waited on the second streak until the 1st was completed.

I am in favor of eliminating the plays if a +150 skip game would have hit. This way we avoid majority of overlapping plays. I will add that to the rules.

Keep in mind that we use Pinnacle's closing lines, not opening. The May 23rd MIN game opened at +163, but closed at +148.

I want to back test further too. Let me know what year you are working on and I'll pick a different year to save time.

neilsy25 · Answer

thanks for the clarification Bart, in am gonna get started on 2011  ..

Bart_ · Answer

sent you a friend request

da-Genius · Answer

this was 156-3 &#x2B;96 in 2011https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdHBGRVZQV2dBMjBKeFBZd3NRMUhiX0E&amp;authkey=CPL0zYgC&amp;hl=en&amp;authkey=CPL0zYgC#gid=30

da-Genius · Answer

ADG ran this system for Cisco in 2012here are his results.. little different than what you posted163-3 &#x2B;63.87https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdGNGTVNMZjZoUHlYaUdndHo0a2JWYXc&amp;usp=drive_web#gid=30

Bart_ · Answer

[Quote: Originally Posted by da-Genius]  ADG ran this system for Cisco in 2012here are his results.. little different than what you posted163-3 &#x2B;63.87https://docs.google.com/spreadsheet/ccc?key=0AkIdkXC0UBUbdGNGTVNMZjZoUHlYaUdndHo0a2JWYXc&amp;usp=drive_web#gid=30  [/Quote]Thanks man. I was using poor data to review those results. I will ask the mods to update the results in the first post to that.

Bart_ · Answer

Updated results:2011 163-3 &#x2B;63.872012 156-3 &#x2B;962013 181-1 &#x2B;157.8

Bart_ · Answer

SEA &#x2B;1.5 Game 1

Bart_ · Answer

Winner!

bbreit · Answer

Hey Bart....a little confused.  I had skip game 2 last night.  Game 1 today.  Pretty much the same as your spreadsheet?  Are we only skipping 1? Sorry the confusion.

bbreit · Answer

Sorry for the confusion.....now I&#39;m typing like buster.

Dog Streak Chase 2014

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