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douglas_d_pick_will_cash

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Views: 2648
Posts: 37
 
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Posted: #26
I was up 1.08 units but I am not going to count that unit.
So my running balance is minus 3.3 units.
 
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Posted: #27
Yea it is a mathematical formula I came up with I know absolutely 
nothing about the players etc. I just look for what line or odds 
gives me a long run advantage.  

My focus is on the Home team underdogs in all sports I want the 
worst team at home playing the best team on the board for all
sports. Only the house will be hoping I win nobody else the line
will be coming my way.
If I get 2 or 3 plays in one day I will try to get it down to one play.
I have had only 1 day where I had to play 2 HTD. It was the perfect
situation I look for. The opening line was -1 or -1.5 for both HTD. 
They became HTD early in the morning I did not have to look for 
them they stuck out so bad all day long. So I put 3 units on each game taking the points and 1 unit on each game taking the M/L
since they both opened as favorites I assumed they would win 
the game. Then I played the Live in play for half a unit every time
the odds were in my favor and I assumed my team was going to
win the game no matter how bad it looked so I got some really
big M/L odds and points on a lot of plays. Both teams won the game by 8 or more points that way all the teasers are destroyed the
books love it.

I will be looking at MLB NHL and NBA as we get closer to the 
playoffs there should be some good opportunities to cash on these 
type of plays. 
 
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Posted: #28
First time caller.
Had to reiterate the live betting opportunities that crop up.
NBA  last night  Toronto was -7.5 to start the game, Mil goes on a run, spread drops to -2.5. The spread did get to +2.5 but there is a delay with my book so I couldn't get it as a bucket was scored. No waiting for commercials here.  The ML on that game moved substantially as well during that run by Mil.

Doesn't happen all the time - having good teams run on where you and the bookies know they have a good chance to come back.  Why bet a game at -7.5 when you can get it at -2.5 or even +2.5?

Live betting adds more excitement and action to the game. Certainly isn't a system though.  Sometimes they don't come back.

- Steve

 
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Posted: #29
True I added some safety to these plays 1 unit NBA
NY Knicks + 18.5
Mi. +6.5

LA Lakers + 28
LAC  - 3
 
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Posted: #30
Live In-Play NBA 1 unit each
At. Hawks +20
Ind. Pacers +5

Ok. City Thunder +10
Phx. Suns +15
 
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Posted: #31
Ind. Pacers + 8.5
 
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Posted: #32
 +14  + 18
 
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Posted: #33
Down 6.6 units I will now just concentrate on my HTD picks.
 
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Posted: #34
They don't always come back. Ind +3.5
 
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Posted: #35
The above system was working pretty good for about a month then
when I decide to post it big loser. I am pretty much done with that
system.
 
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Posted: #36
hey DD lil tip in NBA this time of year your going to get teams NOT playing full tilt to get more lottery balls for next year.

they are to be faded until they achieve the lowest win % they can than maybe final game of year they might win vs a team that's out of playoffs and is packing golf clubs for final roadie

I clean up every NBA season this way fading teams who are dumping games 76ers i went ML on their losing streak i won so much money fading them it was riduculous


 
 
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Posted: #37
Thanks for the tip when do the playoffs start for NBA and NHL.
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