Early College Trend

Question

Teams that lost by more than 28&#x2B; points beyond the final posted spread are 6-1 ATS the following week this year. It is a small sample size but it might continue.SJS, MN, UNLV, UAB, Marshall, BYU all covered their next game after being blown out the preceding week. Only Ole Miss did not cover vs GA. Not an advocate of chasing but might be worthy of keeping an eye on this possibility.This trend applies only to normal board/lined teams vs other similar teams. Games like Oregon St losing to Sac St were not considered. Not even Hawaii losing SU at UNLV and then covering against a non-board team were considered. Hard to find books that take action on such games.Army appears to the only play this week. Kansas got blown out two weeks ago but had a bye this past weekend. Could be a play if one wanted to expand the parameters this week.Something to follow similar to the trend I posted (NFL section) last year about playing NFL teams that are on a two game roadie and not covering the first game. It was a good trend last year, and early indications  appear to be the same this year.Good luck.

Luckydan · Answer

Teams that lost by more than 28&#x2B; points beyond the final posted spread are 6-1 ATS the following week this year. It is a small sample size but it might continue.SJS, MN, UNLV, UAB, Marshall, BYU all covered their next game after being blown out the preceding week. Only Ole Miss did not cover vs GA. Not an advocate of chasing but might be worthy of keeping an eye on this possibility.This trend applies only to normal board/lined teams vs other similar teams. Games like Oregon St losing to Sac St were not considered. Not even Hawaii losing SU at UNLV and then covering against a non-board team were considered. Hard to find books that take action on such games.Army appears to the only play this week. Kansas got blown out two weeks ago but had a bye this past weekend. Could be a play if one wanted to expand the parameters this week.Something to follow similar to the trend I posted (NFL section) last year about playing NFL teams that are on a two game roadie and not covering the first game. It was a good trend last year, and early indications  appear to be the same this year.Good luck.

kenkean89 · Answer

yeah, thanks dan, long time reader, infrequent poster, but saw the 2 game roadie last week which went a very cool 3-1 this past Sunday. Thanks bro!!

djcool · Answer

here&#x27;s something that i&#x27;ve been tracking for the past 2 weeks in college. teams that lose by more than 3 tds and then go on the road.MEMPHIS lost by 42 last week and covered &#x2B;22.5 on the road today.IDAHO lost by 24 last week and covered &#x2B;16.5 on the road today.ARIZONA lost by 25 last week and covered &#x2B;12.5 on the road today.RICE lost by 25 last week and did not cover &#x2B;14.5 on the road today.3-1 ATS for week 5in week 4......UAB lost by 39 in week 3 and covered &#x2B;16.5 on the road in week 4.TULSA lost by 26 in week 3 and covered &#x2B;27.5 on the road in week 4.UCLA lost by 29 in week 3 and covered &#x2B;3.5 on the road in week 4.EMICH LOST BY 28 in week 3 and covered &#x2B;28.5 on the road in week 4.TOL lost by 25 in week 3 and pushed &#x2B;3 on the road in week 4.CMICH lost by 30 in week 3 and did not cover in week 4.4-1-1 ATS in week 47-2-1 ATS for the past 2 weeks

djcool · Answer

teams for week 6FLA lost by 28 and will be @ LSUIOWST lost by 23 and will be @ BAYBGREEN lost by 45 and will be @ WMICHKENTY lost by 28 and will be @ SCARTEMPLE lost by 23 and will be @ BALSTMINN lost by 58 and will be @ PUR

lazyclouds · Answer

Hi there, I am quite interested at what you got here. But I don&#x27;t really get it. Care to elaborate a little more? Thanks!

djcool · Answer

for example, yesterday MIN was &#x2B;21 against MICH.  They lost 0-58.58 - 21 = 3737 is more than 28 points beyond the final spread, therefore MIN would qualify for week 6.

Luckydan · Answer

Army was the only play this week and they easily won/covered.This week:Temple MinnesotaTulaneSeason to date is 7-1 ATS.Good luck

djcool · Answer

i like how these games are spread apart on saturday.  if MIN looks like it&#x27;s a loser, then double up on TEM.  if both lose, then chase with TUL.  good luck!12pm MIN &#x2B;102pm TEM -9.58pm TUL &#x2B;10

djcool · Answer

i left out a team from last week.KENTY lost by 38 in week 4 and covered 29.5 on the road last week.8-2-1 ATS for the past 2 weeks

Luckydan · Answer

2-1 day. 9-2 ytd ats.This week:East CarolinaBall StPittNavyFresno StWyomingGood Luck.

Air1 · Answer

These are plays on Oct 15?

djcool · Answer

great week

Luckydan · Answer

5-1 week. 14-3 ats ytd.This week:TulaneW MichiganTroyGood Luck.

glefkb01 · Answer

Another Trend I was lookin that I took for THURSDAY games...

When the Fav wins the total has gone UNDER 5-0

When the Dog wins the total has gone OVER 4-0

Took the under on the Thursday night game Cal/USC game because I was leaning on UCS (fav) to win

buntyketti · Answer

hey luckydan any plays on the nfl system?i think eagles qualify?

Luckydan · Answer

PHA is a play on the 2nd game of a 2 NFL road trip system. This system has not taken off like last year yet it is still worth keeping an eye on. Big line move in this game. Good Luck.

bassaholicman · Answer

hey dan,thx for the work you put in.  is troy a play against navy?  they are idle this week.

Luckydan · Answer

Troy will be a play on 10/25 vs Fla Int. Tulane and W. Michigan go this Saturday.Good Luck.

DaKid · Answer

Central Mich lost by 29 last week.  The final spread was &#x2B;1.5 for CM which makes a difference of 27.5.  If the criteria is a difference of more than 28 how is C. Mich a play?

Luckydan · Answer

Central Mich is not a play. W Mich is. They lost by 29 in the game vs N Illinois, and their number was anywhere from -2 to +2.5. I took in consideration various closing numbers, and feel that a play on W Mich is warranted. Hopefully it will hit this week.

Good Luck

GreenMachine22 · Answer

System results look great so far.

Western Michigan appears to be a solid wager but Tulane is garbage...especially as a 12 point favorite vs. Memphis. Memphis has covered the spread in the past 5 meetings in this match up.

...no line set for the Troy game at time of post

DaKid · Answer

I meant W. Mich. Just trying to get a handle on what your parameters are. You specifially mentioned you only go by the closing number and I checked at least 2 places (even Covers showed W. Mich closed at +1').

GL2U.

djcool · Answer

0-2 last saturday.....TROY &#x2B;6 tomorrowOKLA -13.5UCLA &#x2B;5WVA -7TULANE &#x2B;16.5Luckydan....can you confirm these plays?

Luckydan · Answer

1-2 for the week. 15-5 ats ytd.As noted above, plays this week:UCLAWVAOKLAHOMATULANEGood Luck.

Luckydan · Answer

3-1 for the week. 18-6 ats ydt.This week:UABTTKANSAS STSMUMTSUGood Luck.

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