This is a trial run of taking the home team, as long as they are within 10 rpi points of there visitors, to win a game in a 3 or 4 game series. The basis is that the home team will not get swept by a team playing at the same level.
EX last night (Monday the 22) WAS was within 10 rpi of ARZ and won
Record 1-0
A 1-0
B 0-0
C 0-0
Tonights play is FLA as they are at home and are .03 RPI behind CIN. FLA are losers of 5 straight so they are struggling, but like I said this is a trail so if you want to bet on them do a small wager like I am doing!
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
This is a trial run of taking the home team, as long as they are within 10 rpi points of there visitors, to win a game in a 3 or 4 game series. The basis is that the home team will not get swept by a team playing at the same level.
EX last night (Monday the 22) WAS was within 10 rpi of ARZ and won
Record 1-0
A 1-0
B 0-0
C 0-0
Tonights play is FLA as they are at home and are .03 RPI behind CIN. FLA are losers of 5 straight so they are struggling, but like I said this is a trail so if you want to bet on them do a small wager like I am doing!
Yes thats exactly right. This way the lower RPI team has home field advantage. So since this is just a trial and since SD won on the weekend I'm going to add them into the record as well.
Record 2-0
A 2-1
B 0-0
C 0-0
Todays bet is FLA B game #1 and if not a winner then FLA C game #2
This won't have as many plays as bettor2wins system, but hopefully it works out nicely and we can add it to our portfolio. I want 4 or 5 good systems to use this way I can make modest bets and if 1 happens to lose the others will make up for it. Now I have to decide if the play is the dog if its best to take the ML or the RL....
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Yes thats exactly right. This way the lower RPI team has home field advantage. So since this is just a trial and since SD won on the weekend I'm going to add them into the record as well.
Record 2-0
A 2-1
B 0-0
C 0-0
Todays bet is FLA B game #1 and if not a winner then FLA C game #2
This won't have as many plays as bettor2wins system, but hopefully it works out nicely and we can add it to our portfolio. I want 4 or 5 good systems to use this way I can make modest bets and if 1 happens to lose the others will make up for it. Now I have to decide if the play is the dog if its best to take the ML or the RL....
Im going to write espn an email and see if we cant get RPI ratings from earlier this yr. Maybe they could guide me to a link or something. That way we could back track this and see if it can show a profit prior to the all star game since the rpi bounces so much early. I will let u know what they say w/in a couple days if they respond. keep it up realitycheck, there will prob be some losse but @ low juice and some ++juice wins.
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Im going to write espn an email and see if we cant get RPI ratings from earlier this yr. Maybe they could guide me to a link or something. That way we could back track this and see if it can show a profit prior to the all star game since the rpi bounces so much early. I will let u know what they say w/in a couple days if they respond. keep it up realitycheck, there will prob be some losse but @ low juice and some ++juice wins.
TOR and SEA both got swept by the higher RPI team. Which leads me to believe the higher RPI team and being at home should prove to be very profitable. Will have to look into it for now. This was just a trial run, might keep it going just to see the results for the rest of the year.
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Record 5-2
A 4-3
B 1-2
C 0-2
TOR and SEA both got swept by the higher RPI team. Which leads me to believe the higher RPI team and being at home should prove to be very profitable. Will have to look into it for now. This was just a trial run, might keep it going just to see the results for the rest of the year.
Ok we all know MLB teams go on hot and cold streaks during the season. Lets look at lowly BAL for an example. They swept MIN 4 games and went into NY and won the first 2 against the Yankees. What did the NYY do the previous series? They were 1-2 vs OAK. So with NYY obvioulsy having the higher RPI and they did squeak out the wins. I'm thinking on taking teams with the higher RPI and have a better record in the previous series then there opponent.
So we are looking for 1 win in the series.
Todays plays!
CLE -115
DET -175
CHI -178
ARZ -145
LAA -122
LAD -167
SF -230
Special situation. CIN is 4-0 in last 4 games and they are at home. PHI is 2-2 in last 4. I am wondering if CIN +136 the dog can get a win like BAL did to NYY. Lets see what happens!
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Something new! Trial run!
Ok we all know MLB teams go on hot and cold streaks during the season. Lets look at lowly BAL for an example. They swept MIN 4 games and went into NY and won the first 2 against the Yankees. What did the NYY do the previous series? They were 1-2 vs OAK. So with NYY obvioulsy having the higher RPI and they did squeak out the wins. I'm thinking on taking teams with the higher RPI and have a better record in the previous series then there opponent.
So we are looking for 1 win in the series.
Todays plays!
CLE -115
DET -175
CHI -178
ARZ -145
LAA -122
LAD -167
SF -230
Special situation. CIN is 4-0 in last 4 games and they are at home. PHI is 2-2 in last 4. I am wondering if CIN +136 the dog can get a win like BAL did to NYY. Lets see what happens!
Not a bad start 4-3 Whats up with SF lately? Also HOU had more wins then PIT last series, but PIT had the higher RPI so I didn't count it, but HOU did win!
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CLE -115 H
DET -175 H
CHI -178 H
ARZ -145 H
LAA -122 R
LAD -167 H
SF -230 H
Not a bad start 4-3 Whats up with SF lately? Also HOU had more wins then PIT last series, but PIT had the higher RPI so I didn't count it, but HOU did win!
OK 2 nice wins last night, as for the losses the writing is on the wall! All we have to do is read it. Lets start with struggling SF. SF was struggling with the bottom feeder HOU last series. SF went 2-2 and only scored 8 runs in 4 games. So in comes the CUBS and SF is now 0-2 and still struggling. Well it shouldn't be a surprise since the CUBS have a higher RPI then HOU. So since they struggled with HOU they will also struggle with the CUBS playing at a higher level. The same could be said about the ATL loss. As they went 3-1 vs the CUBS in the previous series, well WAS has a higher RPI then the CUBS so they would need to step it up to compete. The same could be said with the MIL loss. They had swept the CUBS 3-0 but are now playing a higher RPI team in STL. While I still think they will get a win in the series, it has to be more then a coincidence that these teams lost. To sum it up what we are looking for is a team to have swept or won the previous series vs a team that lost there previous series and this opponent has to have a lower RPI then the previous team that they swept or won the series against. Kind of hard to follow huh?
EX. MIL swept the CUBS 3-0 MIL is now playing STL which would be a no play because there RPI was higher then the CUBS.
If say MIL swept the CUBS 3-0 and there next opponent was HOU which had lost there last series it would be a play because HOU's RPI is under the CUBS.
So basically you want to play a bad team and bet on them to win a game if they play an even worse team for the next series. I think this will do well!!!
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ATL -193 H "A"
MIL -142 H "A"
DET -176 H "B"
LAA -130 R "B"
SF -137 H "B"
Record 6-0
A 4-5
B 2-1
C
D
OK 2 nice wins last night, as for the losses the writing is on the wall! All we have to do is read it. Lets start with struggling SF. SF was struggling with the bottom feeder HOU last series. SF went 2-2 and only scored 8 runs in 4 games. So in comes the CUBS and SF is now 0-2 and still struggling. Well it shouldn't be a surprise since the CUBS have a higher RPI then HOU. So since they struggled with HOU they will also struggle with the CUBS playing at a higher level. The same could be said about the ATL loss. As they went 3-1 vs the CUBS in the previous series, well WAS has a higher RPI then the CUBS so they would need to step it up to compete. The same could be said with the MIL loss. They had swept the CUBS 3-0 but are now playing a higher RPI team in STL. While I still think they will get a win in the series, it has to be more then a coincidence that these teams lost. To sum it up what we are looking for is a team to have swept or won the previous series vs a team that lost there previous series and this opponent has to have a lower RPI then the previous team that they swept or won the series against. Kind of hard to follow huh?
EX. MIL swept the CUBS 3-0 MIL is now playing STL which would be a no play because there RPI was higher then the CUBS.
If say MIL swept the CUBS 3-0 and there next opponent was HOU which had lost there last series it would be a play because HOU's RPI is under the CUBS.
So basically you want to play a bad team and bet on them to win a game if they play an even worse team for the next series. I think this will do well!!!
A word about Mr. Martingale and multiple bets.... If your taking multiple bets on the Martingale system and you have a couple of losing nights, tomorrow is gonna be an expensive day. To illustrate lets take four 1 unit bets @ $100 unit a piece with a -150 bet line for all lines on two nights.
Start bankroll = $5,000 total loss = -$900 End bankroll = $4,100 swing 18% in 2 days Next outlay = $1,725 (Assuming 4 games and -150 bet lines)
Its easy to see from this example that you need a LARGE amount of bankroll to chase 4 games at one time. I would suggest always having at least 40x to 50x your unit bet to win, aka $5000 bankroll should only try to win 1 - $100 unit, and I would suggest no favs much over -200. Losing streaks happen, Martingale will win in the long run, but you need proper money management to not go broke in the short. Stick to less and best games until you can afford the inevitable swings. GL to you!
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A word about Mr. Martingale and multiple bets.... If your taking multiple bets on the Martingale system and you have a couple of losing nights, tomorrow is gonna be an expensive day. To illustrate lets take four 1 unit bets @ $100 unit a piece with a -150 bet line for all lines on two nights.
Start bankroll = $5,000 total loss = -$900 End bankroll = $4,100 swing 18% in 2 days Next outlay = $1,725 (Assuming 4 games and -150 bet lines)
Its easy to see from this example that you need a LARGE amount of bankroll to chase 4 games at one time. I would suggest always having at least 40x to 50x your unit bet to win, aka $5000 bankroll should only try to win 1 - $100 unit, and I would suggest no favs much over -200. Losing streaks happen, Martingale will win in the long run, but you need proper money management to not go broke in the short. Stick to less and best games until you can afford the inevitable swings. GL to you!
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