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Kreatture's Playbook 2011

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Posted: #351
Rams are pathetic, this is killing me too, you're not alone Kreatture
 
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Posted: #352
NBA

LA Lakers  2nd Half -10.5 (-109)
3%
 
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Posted: #353
Todays card seem to be out of the norm...
 
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Posted: #354
Sunday's cards are always out of the norm.

Bradford finally becomes so frustrated by his receivers inability to catch a ball he tries too hard to make a perfect throw.. picked.

Is it too early to bet the entire bankroll on New Orleans next week??? What a disgrace for the NFL.. this is a shame.
 
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Posted: #355
Poor bankroll management on my part today.. I slipped up. Tough to be perfect everyday.

Will regroup and be back tomorrow. Hope ya'll didn't have quite as bad a day as mine.

The Rams didn't play great.. but all the calls have gone to Seattle. Don't know why the League wants them in the Playoffs, but it seems that way. Can't wait to see New Orleans beat them by 30 next week.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #356
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:

Sunday's cards are always out of the norm.

Bradford finally becomes so frustrated by his receivers inability to catch a ball he tries too hard to make a perfect throw.. picked.

Is it too early to bet the entire bankroll on New Orleans next week??? What a disgrace for the NFL.. this is a shame.

I hate betting the nfl,actually i haven't bet more than 8 or 10 times this season.losing by .5,extra point misses and all that silly shit that happens..Just not worth it to me...
 
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Posted: #357
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


BANKROLL: $15,426.53
OVERALL RECORD: 56-35-2    (61.5%)

INVESTED: $22,836.87
RETURNED: $28,263.40
PROFIT: +$5426.53
ROI %: +23.76%


NHL

Montreal Canadians  ML (-107) (OT included) 
2% $308.53 to win $288.35

Atlanta Thrashers/Montreal Canadians  Under 5.5 (-125) 
1% $154.27 to win $123.42


NFL

Parley  (-106) 
New England Patriots  ML
Atlanta Falcons  ML
Indianapolis Colts  ML
5% $771.33 to win $727.67

Parley  (+251) 
Indianapolis Colts  ML
Green Bay Packers  ML
New York Giants  ML
Dallas Cowboys  ML
1% $154.27 to win $387.22

Teaser  (+350) 
Cincinnati Bengals  +16.5
Green Bay Packers  -2.5
Dallas Cowboys  +10
Arizona Cardinals  +13 
Denver Broncos  +10
2% $308.53 to win $1079.86

2nd Half
Cleveland Browns  -0.5 (+109) 
1% $154.27 to win $168.15

New Orleans Saints  -5.5 (+121) 
2% $308.53 to win $373.32

1st Quarter
Indianapolis Colts  -3 (+102) 
3% $462.80 to win $472.06

New York Giants  -0.5 (+110) 
2% $308.53 to win $339.38

Arizona Cardinals  +0.5 (-110) 
1% $154.27 to win $140.25

NFL Alternate Low
Dallas Cowboys  -3.5 (+159) 
3% $462.80 to win $735.85

Arizona Cardinals  -3.5 (+336) 
2% $308.53 to win $1036.66


 
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Posted: #358
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



NFL
St. Louis Rams  -3 (-108) 
3% $462.80 to win $428.52

Proposition
Sam Bradford vs Seattle QBs   most gross passing yards  -20.5 (-121) 
2% $308.53 to win $254.98

NFL Live In-Game

St. Louis Rams  ML (+144)   End 1st Q 
1% $154.27 to win $222.15

St. Louis Rams  ML (+106)   3:47 left 2nd Q 
1% $154.27 to win $163.53

St. Louis Rams  ML (+145)   3:04 left 3rd Q 
1% $154.27 to win $223.69

St. Louis Rams  ML (+260)   13:07 left 4th Q 
1% $154.27 to win $401.10

NBA

LA Lakers  2nd Half -10.5 (-109) 
3% $462.80 to win $424.59


 
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Posted: #359
BANKROLL: $12,407.06
OVERALL RECORD: 59-51-2    (53.64%)

INVESTED: $28,544.74
RETURNED: $30,951.80
PROFIT: +$2407.06
ROI %: +8.43%


Today was a perfect example of what NOT to do.. I got caught up in the final day of the NFL Regular Season and it ate me up. I ignored my World Juniors play on Slovakia, and didn't give enough attention to the evening's NHL or NBA card, where I would have had a pretty sweet night.

I'm pretty shell-shocked right now.. been a very long time since I had a day like this. It happens.. but not usually like this. Thank God the NFL Reg. Season is over.

Erases 2 really good nights, but that's how this Business goes. If you let one or 2 nights affect you, you won't be around very long. Gonna grab a bite to eat, watch a movie, and relax for the first time today.

I'll get back on the horse tomorrow.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #360
I'll never be a fan of parlays but your multis limited your losses to only 2.5k or so -- could have been worst without them... Maybe I'll give them a look sometime when I'm too afraid to play a heavy favourite due to the price. 

Anyways, with all your awesome recent success, a day like today was bound to happen (I was hoping it wouldn't be quite this bad) but I'm anxious to see how you bounce back. Anyone and everyone who's ever gambled goes on a heater at some time, it's those who can go on the losing streaks and bounce back that win in this industry, which I know you can do. 

The New Evolution will live on. 
 
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Posted: #361
Thanks Dj. It was a weird day.. lookin back at my plays I never really played any "standard" plays, other than the Canadians and Rams (-3) in the nightcap. Everything else was just kinda on the fly today, and altho that usually goes well for me, sometimes it can go very bad.

If St. Louis had come back to win tonight it would have been a much different story, but they didn't. I took a shot getting plus money on the superior team and I honestly felt St. Louis should have won that game the whole time. I'm usually right in those situations, so I'm not upset with the way I played it. I just happened to not get the break tonight.

Looks like a good NHL card tomorrow, lookin forward to it already.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #362
Pinny lines are at -10.5 Saints.  It will be interesting to see how they move over the course of the week.

The U20 has some interesting matchups today as well.  The lines are a lot tighter, as you can imagine.  I like Sweden at -.5, and Canada at -.5.  ML for both are quite nice, and the U6.5 for Can/US as well.  I would appreciate any feedback you could offer.
 
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Posted: #363
kreature, any junior hockey leans, you're running hot with the kids
 
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Posted: #364
BANKROLL: $12,407.06
OVERALL RECORD: 59-51-2    (53.64%)

INVESTED: $28,544.74
RETURNED: $30,951.80
PROFIT: +$2407.06
ROI %: +8.43%


U20 WORLD JUNIOR CHAMPIONSHIP

Sweden/Russia  Under 6 (-120)  (Intertops)
2.06% $256 to win $213.32

Sweden/Russia  Under 6 (-121)  (Pinnacle)
2% $248.14 to win $205.07

With keeping Max Bet Limits in mind for people, I've shown you how to get around this by placing the same wager on 2 different accounts. This is a 4% play, but we'll max out the extra 0.6% on Intertops. Game starts in 17 minutes.

 
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Posted: #365
And, of course, right after I put the wager in the line on Pinnacle goes down to -118.. son of a!!

If your book allows you, or if you're playing with smaller dollar amounts, the play is 4% which you can do on just the 1 book.

Back later with a full NHL, NBA, NCAAF card and a play on the Canada/USA Junior game.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #366

I shall tail your pick because I know nothing about the junior shooters.  I have no limit with my service, only a self-imposed limit so to speak, thus I am going to shoot $200 at -110. 

I assume you are taking into consideration that russia played a tough game last night which started at 7:30.  Tired teams make lazy plays, no? 

Just thinking out loud...

 
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Posted: #367
Was going to ask you about the USA/Can Junior game.  I think the ML was +188 for USA.  Good value?
 
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Posted: #368
Quote Originally Posted by tuna411:

I shall tail your pick because I know nothing about the junior shooters.  I have no limit with my service, only a self-imposed limit so to speak, thus I am going to shoot $200 at -110. 

I assume you are taking into consideration that russia played a tough game last night which started at 7:30.  Tired teams make lazy plays, no? 

Just thinking out loud...



I take everything into consideration..

-110??? Damn, where did you get that sweet line at?
 
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Posted: #369

Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:



I take everything into consideration..

-110??? Damn, where did you get that sweet line at?

I deal with someone in person to take care of the total each week but everything is done on-line (thinking about it, I can call a 1-888 number if I am on the road).  It has all sports available with every possible way you may want to wager, ie. parlays, singles, totals, props, quarters, halfs, etc.  Generally, they don't post lines until the day of the game, and totals etc aren't up until early afternoon for night games. 

The site is platinumsb.com.

I think you need to know a representitive to use the site.  Where you at in canada because my guy is located in toronto. 

 
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Posted: #370
Quote Originally Posted by aerojackel:

Was going to ask you about the USA/Can Junior game.  I think the ML was +188 for USA.  Good value?


I don't understand this line.. it's +193 on Pinnacle right now and I can only assume that because Pinnacle is a Canadian Book, that most of the wagers (by Canadians) are coming in on Team Canada. It's only +140 on Intertops.

The PK is +134 and may be better.. a bit worried this could go the distance.

As of right now, I don't plan on making a play on the side here.. I can separate emotion from business, but not when it comes to Canada.

To finally answer your question.. Yes, the value on USA is sick at that price for who, in my opinion, is the better team.



 
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Posted: #371
Sorry for the dumb question here but what's the difference between PK and ML on the WJC wagers? Is one of them just for regulation or something? 
 
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Posted: #372
Quote Originally Posted by mrweed13:

Sorry for the dumb question here but what's the difference between PK and ML on the WJC wagers? Is one of them just for regulation or something? 


The PK selection allows you to just pick a winner without having to worry about the game going to a shootout. As long as your team wins, you win.

The ML selection means your team must win in Regulation or OT. If the game goes to a shootout it is considered a Draw for this selection and you lose, even if your team then wins the shootout.


Wow.. what the hell just happened in the Sweden/Russia game?? That was clearly icing, the ref even had his arm up to call it, but he never blew the whistle?? Goaltender didn't play it cuz he knew it was icing, then boom, puck is in the net.. 2-0 Russia. Horrible blown call for Sweden.
 
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Posted: #373
What a disgusting finish.. Had this easily until Russia takes a stupid f'in penalty with 4min left. Huge moose.


U20 WORLD JUNIOR CHAMPIONSHIP

Sweden/Russia  Under 6 (-120)  (Intertops)    
2.06% $256 to win $213.32

Sweden/Russia  Under 6 (-121)  (Pinnacle)
2% $248.14 to win $205.07


 
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Posts: 2312
Posted: #374
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


BANKROLL: $12,407.06
OVERALL RECORD: 59-51-2    (53.64%)

INVESTED: $28,544.74
RETURNED: $30,951.80
PROFIT: +$2407.06
ROI %: +8.43%


U20 WORLD JUNIOR CHAMPIONSHIP

Sweden/Russia  Under 6 (-120)  (Intertops) 
2.06% $256 to win $213.32

Sweden/Russia  Under 6 (-121)  (Pinnacle) 
2% $248.14 to win $205.07



BANKROLL: $11,902.92
OVERALL RECORD: 59-52-2    (53.15%)

INVESTED: $29,048.88
RETURNED: $30,951.80
PROFIT: +$1902.92
ROI %: +6.55%

Pretty pissed with the finish in the Russia game. That was really disgusting. Tonight's picks will be posted shortly.
 
 
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Posted: #375

And the non-icing call haunts the outcome here

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