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Kreatture's Playbook 2011

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Posted: #126
I can't say I don't like this 'New Evolution' tagline, it's catchy and it allows us like-minded people to band together behind one central cause: change the sports betting industry forever. No more locks, no more shady marketing, no more slimy tactics, and most of all, no more losing! It's an evolution and you're either with us or against us. I believe in Parker almost as much as I believe in myself and would consider myself privileged to sit atop the sports betting world with him. I invite you all to join us because if we aim high, chances are you won't be disappointed! 

It's a New Year and a New Evolution.
 
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Posted: #127
Hallelujah!  I believe!
 
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Posted: #128
BANKROLL: $11,577.19
OVERALL RECORD: 18-12-2    (60%)

INVESTED: $6272.29
RETURNED: $7849.48
PROFIT: +$1577.19
ROI %: +25.15%


NFL

Baltimore Ravens  -3.5 (-110)
3% $347.32 to win $315.75

New York Jets  ML (+125)
3% $347.32 to win $434.15

Indianapolis Colts  -2.5 (-110)
5% $578.86 to win $526.24

TEASER
New England Patriots  -0.5
New York Jets  +9.5
Baltimore Ravens  +3.5
San Diego Chargers  -1
Indianapolis Colts  +4.5          (+350)
3% $347.32 to win $1215.62
 
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Posted: #129

I hope your colts pick isnt influenced by a touch of homerism. That game is scary to back either team. Surprised you took it.

GL today.

 
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Posted: #130

Kreatture I hate to say this but I like Cleveland and Chicago both teams are good at home and I cant seem them both losing today.  Chicago seems to be a pretty strong play and so could Cleveland.  know Baltimore and New York need a win but I believe this is Cleveland last home game which means they will play really well and Chicago is playing for a bye and home field advantage.  Just my two sense. I wont get into the Oakland game Good Luck

GO BLUE!!!

 
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Posted: #131
Quote Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

I hope your colts pick isnt influenced by a touch of homerism. That game is scary to back either team. Surprised you took it.

GL today.



I love my Colts.. but I love my money more. I haven't always backed them this season and I can separate emotion from reality. In my opinion, this is the strongest play on the board today.

There will be NHL picks later. Currently like 2 games but will wait for goaltender announcements.

Enjoy your Boxing Day!
 
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Posted: #132
BANKROLL: $11,577.19
OVERALL RECORD: 18-12-2    (60%)

INVESTED: $6272.29
RETURNED: $7849.48
PROFIT: +$1577.19
ROI %: +25.15%


NHL

Chicago Blackhawks  -0.5 (-103) (regulation)
2% $231.54 to win $224.80

Chicago Blackhawks  TT Over 3 (-103)
2% $231.54 to win $224.80

Pittsburgh Penguins  TT Over 3 (+103)
2% $231.54 to win $238.49


NBA

Denver Nuggets  -3.5 (-105)
1% $115.77 to win $110.26


San Diego 6 minutes away from being eliminated.. who would have thunk it. Messed up the Teaser!
 
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Posted: #133
 
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Posted: #134
Way to grind, kreatture. 

That teaser would have been nice, but if you think about it, NYJ was the only place where the extra points helped. Take the same teams on a parlay and it pays SO much more... Also, round robin'ing could be useful (3x5 would have profited).

Or even better, avoid junk bets all together. 
 
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Posted: #135
Quote Originally Posted by kreatture:


BANKROLL: $11,577.19
OVERALL RECORD: 18-12-2    (60%)

INVESTED: $6272.29
RETURNED: $7849.48
PROFIT: +$1577.19
ROI %: +25.15%


NFL

Baltimore Ravens  -3.5 (-110)    
3% $347.32 to win $315.75
New York Jets  ML (+125)    
3% $347.32 to win $434.15
Indianapolis Colts  -2.5 (-110)    
5% $578.86 to win $526.24

TEASER    
New England Patriots  -0.5  
New York Jets  +9.5    
Baltimore Ravens  +3.5    
San Diego Chargers  -1    
Indianapolis Colts  +4.5               (+350)
3% $347.32 to win $1215.62


NHL

Chicago Blackhawks  -0.5 (-103) (regulation)    
2% $231.54 to win $224.80
Chicago Blackhawks  TT Over 3 (-103)    
2% $231.54 to win $224.80
Pittsburgh Penguins  TT Over 3 (+103)     
2% $231.54 to win $238.49

NBA
Denver Nuggets  -3.5 (-105)    
1% $115.77 to win $110.26
 
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Posted: #136
BANKROLL: $11,826.83
OVERALL RECORD: 22-16-2    (57.9%)

INVESTED: $8703.50
RETURNED: $10,530.33
PROFIT: +$1826.83
ROI %: +20.99%


Was another profitable and fun day, really enjoyed the NFL games, except San Diego. The Teaser would have normally been just a 1% play but I really liked all 5 games so took a shot.

I see the Eastern US is getting slammed by snow right now and I guess it's heading here tonight.. supposed to be 8 inches by morning then turn to freezing rain, so if I'm not around it's cuz I've lost power. Otherwise, it'll be business as usual.

I may post some plays tonight if the lines are released soon. I'm looking at 2 NHL games and 1 NBA game.

Cheers  
 
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Posted: #137
BANKROLL: $11,826.83
OVERALL RECORD: 22-16-2    (57.9%)

INVESTED: $8703.50
RETURNED: $10,530.33
PROFIT: +$1826.83
ROI %: +20.99%


NBA

Golden State Warriors  -4 (-102)
3% $354.80 to win $347.84

East coast teams who leave Denver and travel even further out West aren't in a favorable situation. Throw in the fact this is a back-to-back and Philadelphia is a horrible road team, we'll jump on this one early.

I like Columbus in the NHL, but the line is higher than I am willing to pay. No line for Detroit/Colorado yet, but I'll be jumping on the Avs if a good line comes out.

Cheers 
 
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Posted: #138

an informative thread, very good insight into handicapping skills, and unit managment technique. way above this forum...

good job Kreatture, may you prosper always...New Evolution

Later....

 

 
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Posted: #139

Been lurking around here for about a month now looking for a way to improve my picking. I think i can learn alot here. Looks like this thread may be a good start.

 
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Posted: #140
Quote Originally Posted by Bsmith7513:

Been lurking around here for about a month now looking for a way to improve my picking. I think i can learn alot here. Looks like this thread may be a good start.



I have been poking around quite a few months.  Kreatture and DJ are by far the best I have found.
 
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Posted: #141
There's some really strange lines around the Leagues tonight.. tryin to figure out what the Books know we know, that we know what they know, that they know we know we know..

Yep. That's right.

Final card up very shortly.
 
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Posted: #142

Line for Golden State is now down to -2.5.  The way it is going it might be a pick by game time...liked it at -4, loving it if it becomes a pick.

Good luck tonight kreatture.

 

 
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Posted: #143
 hate that the GSW line dropped bought it at 4..definitely like GSW
 
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Posted: #144
BANKROLL: $11,826.83
OVERALL RECORD: 22-16-2    (57.9%)

INVESTED: $8703.50
RETURNED: $10,530.33
PROFIT: +$1826.83
ROI %: +20.99%


NBA

Golden State Warriors  -4 (-102)
3% $354.80 to win $347.84

          I hate the fact this line has dropped a point and a half despite the public percentage on the Warriors. If I hadn't locked this in last night it wouldn't even be on the card tonight. Sharp money has obviously come in on Philly early this morning, and the only way I'll like this game tonight is if the sharps pound it hard before game time and the line goes back to 3.

Milwaukee Bucks  ML (-134)
1% $118.27 to win $88.26

This line makes absolutely no sense to me tonight. Milwaukee -2.5??? Is that a joke?? The line should be the other way around, so obviously the public is all over Atlanta tonight. The Books don't give away free money tho, and this line looks way too easy. Vegas rule #1 - If it looks too good to be true, then it usually is. There's no reason for a pick here other than the smelly line.

Atlanta/Milwaukee  Under 179.5 (-111)
1% $118.27 to win $106.55

I liked the Under before I even saw a Total, but this number is lower than I was expecting. I'm counting on Milwaukee to continue the tight defense and Atlanta to shoot bricks (which will contribute to a Buck win) and this to just sneak under the number. I bought a half point (the beauty of Pinnacle where most other places you're paying -110 for 179)


NHL

New York Islanders  +0.5 (+119) (regulation)
1% $118.27 to win $140.74

Colorado Avalanche  ML (-113) (OT included)
1% $118.27 to win $104.66

Los Angeles Kings  ML (+140) (OT included)
2% $236.54 to win $331.16

Los Angeles Kings  1st Period +0.5 (-172)
2% $236.54 to win $137.52


NFL

TEASER
New Orleans  +9.5
New Orleans/Atlanta  Under 56  (-130)
3% $354.80 to win $272.92

This should be a tight game to the end, making the regular spread too close to call for either side. I expect neither team to be on the wrong end of a blowout so adding the points to the Saints is the correct call. Monday Night Prime Time, playoff atmosphere - I don't expect this game to be as high scoring as most think. Atlanta's ground game should keep the clock moving to eat up enough time to keep this game out of the 30's. I can see a 27-24 final. But you never know..
 
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Posted: #145
Kreatture, I'm curious what you think about wagering on the World Junior tourney.  Is there any value to be found there?
 
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Posted: #146
Quote Originally Posted by mickjam:

Kreatture, I'm curious what you think about wagering on the World Junior tourney.  Is there any value to be found there?


Have been watching the teams and lines.. missed the Canada/Russia cutoff time the other day. Have not seen anything I really like yet. ML's are usually too high and not a big fan of having to play multi-goal spreads (-3.5, -4.5, etc.)

There will be a few WJC picks this week and next, just nothing yet.
 
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Posted: #147
It's been announced Favre won't be starting tomorrow night so I imagine the Eagles line will jump tomorrow sometime. As far as the game is concerned, it doesn't matter who is starting for Minnesota, but it does matter for what line you want to get. It's currently -14 at some places but Pinnacle still has it at -13.5
They are a have point worse on the Saints tonight (than Intertops is), but I'd rather have the extra half with Philly tomorrow.
This is too much value to pass up in my opinion and I don't like to leave money on the table when it's just lying there ready to be stolen..

NFL

New Orleans  +9
Philadelphia  -6.5     (-130)
5% $591.34 to win $454.88
 
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Posted: #148
That is a 7-pt Teaser, btw.. I know most of you are smart enough to have figured that out.
 
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Posted: #149

Good luck with it, it does look tasty. 

I'm a Viking fan and don't see how in the world they stay within a TD tomorrow. 

 
 
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Posted: #150
total is up another point in the saints game
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