who knows with the whole juice thing. Linesmakers always make BS lines imo in MLB. Some people, usually the "touts", say the linesmakers are smarter than us. who knows. its an arbitrary line they make. NFL lines are no diff imo. "oh, they are so tight". no they arent. only 10% of games area
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who knows with the whole juice thing. Linesmakers always make BS lines imo in MLB. Some people, usually the "touts", say the linesmakers are smarter than us. who knows. its an arbitrary line they make. NFL lines are no diff imo. "oh, they are so tight". no they arent. only 10% of games area
If you could predict 100% of NFL winners you would win 80% of the point spreads. that has NOTHING to do w/ the lines makers. So, linesmakers ARE NOT smarter than us. They simply lay heavy on the publics favor. Its that simple.
0
sorry last post cut off.
If you could predict 100% of NFL winners you would win 80% of the point spreads. that has NOTHING to do w/ the lines makers. So, linesmakers ARE NOT smarter than us. They simply lay heavy on the publics favor. Its that simple.
KC blows goat balls. Fine time for PHI to take a dump as well.
Yea no shit! You layin off KC? Thats it for the system right? May want to add another filter don't bet it if the team is below 500 and stinks! Tomorrow juice pretty high on Philly, they should be able to take care of business.
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Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:
KC blows goat balls. Fine time for PHI to take a dump as well.
Yea no shit! You layin off KC? Thats it for the system right? May want to add another filter don't bet it if the team is below 500 and stinks! Tomorrow juice pretty high on Philly, they should be able to take care of business.
I notice going into today's games you are 24-0 with 22 plays being decided in the first 2 games. Rather than risk a huge bet in game 3 to win a little would it be better to limit the chase to 2 games?
0
Good system B2W!!!
I notice going into today's games you are 24-0 with 22 plays being decided in the first 2 games. Rather than risk a huge bet in game 3 to win a little would it be better to limit the chase to 2 games?
Well, Ive thought of doing that before because the reality of a series going 3 games hurts the bankroll too much imo. if you win, thats fine but if you dont it tends to take a toll and gotta make up those losses later on using a labby line hoping A or B games hit.
As you see KC realy scewed us hard this wkend.
0
Well, Ive thought of doing that before because the reality of a series going 3 games hurts the bankroll too much imo. if you win, thats fine but if you dont it tends to take a toll and gotta make up those losses later on using a labby line hoping A or B games hit.
Good point thebird40. New filter is if team is under .500 winning percentage=no play unless they are playing very well and moving up. KC would NOT have fit thoe parameters.
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Good point thebird40. New filter is if team is under .500 winning percentage=no play unless they are playing very well and moving up. KC would NOT have fit thoe parameters.
I know the game is over but why does this play qualify? cle is now on a 5 game losing streak and minny is on a 5 game winning streak as of todays win over the tribe .coming into tonights game they were both clearing going in the opposite direction. I believe this system is profitable but i think we need to pick and choose our spots. even though i know according to you there are not many qualified plays as previous years, i think its better safe than sorry like playing kc last week and possibly even cle for this series. i think the tribe will get swept if they cant win tomorrow. anyways BOL tomorrow with the B game...i will be on them
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Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:
Only one series starting today:
CLV
I know the game is over but why does this play qualify? cle is now on a 5 game losing streak and minny is on a 5 game winning streak as of todays win over the tribe .coming into tonights game they were both clearing going in the opposite direction. I believe this system is profitable but i think we need to pick and choose our spots. even though i know according to you there are not many qualified plays as previous years, i think its better safe than sorry like playing kc last week and possibly even cle for this series. i think the tribe will get swept if they cant win tomorrow. anyways BOL tomorrow with the B game...i will be on them
well, youre rite twodigits. I just thought clv is having a down time & min doing well right now & cl v sometime has to pull their head outa their ass and show they can contend. prob wouldnt play a c game if they lose tomorrow.
0
well, youre rite twodigits. I just thought clv is having a down time & min doing well right now & cl v sometime has to pull their head outa their ass and show they can contend. prob wouldnt play a c game if they lose tomorrow.
I figured I'd finally chime in on this one. I jumped on this system/strategy on 5/2 with the Pirates @ Padres and quickly won with the A bet there. Anyway, KC did really 'F' the system (especially if you went all the way chasing the D bet like I did), but as you stated at the beginning with the previous year's record, we can expect a loss or two this year. But we can expect a LOT MORE wins too.
My strategy is to make up for the Lost Loot over the next 5-10 series. This is a risky move as a loss during that stretch could really screw me sideways as I am betting more. But by going from your past results last season, and the 26-1 record (17-1 for me since I jumped on board) this season, the odds are against another loss so soon.
The other comment...and it is only my opinion, is that these systems/strategies are meant to take the emotion OUT of the bet. IF these records are accurate, and I can attest to 17-1 since May 2, then stop over-thinking and rely on baseball continuing to be baseball. The next game KC beats a better Toronto team because Felipe Paulino gives up 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings in his 3rd start of the season! Don't 2nd guess playing on KC against Minnesota. The Twins have been BRUTAL this year. We were playing AGAINST Minny more than we were playing ON KC. It just so happens that Cleveland gets Minny next. Did I play them? Sure I did...and I won last night! And I rolled enough into it to make up about 20% of my losses from KC.
Again...once you start 2nd guessing whether you should bet a series or not, you are taking the system out of the system. I can look at just about every series that starts and easily pick 10 of the 15 that I THINK a team will win at least 1 game. However I don't have data to show a 70-1 record, so I don't do that. I am sticking strictly to the rpi differences you mentioned at the beginning of the post and hoping we don't get 2 losses close to each other so I can make up the losses from KC's debacle.
Just one Man's opinion...trust the system or don't.
0
bettor2win,
I figured I'd finally chime in on this one. I jumped on this system/strategy on 5/2 with the Pirates @ Padres and quickly won with the A bet there. Anyway, KC did really 'F' the system (especially if you went all the way chasing the D bet like I did), but as you stated at the beginning with the previous year's record, we can expect a loss or two this year. But we can expect a LOT MORE wins too.
My strategy is to make up for the Lost Loot over the next 5-10 series. This is a risky move as a loss during that stretch could really screw me sideways as I am betting more. But by going from your past results last season, and the 26-1 record (17-1 for me since I jumped on board) this season, the odds are against another loss so soon.
The other comment...and it is only my opinion, is that these systems/strategies are meant to take the emotion OUT of the bet. IF these records are accurate, and I can attest to 17-1 since May 2, then stop over-thinking and rely on baseball continuing to be baseball. The next game KC beats a better Toronto team because Felipe Paulino gives up 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings in his 3rd start of the season! Don't 2nd guess playing on KC against Minnesota. The Twins have been BRUTAL this year. We were playing AGAINST Minny more than we were playing ON KC. It just so happens that Cleveland gets Minny next. Did I play them? Sure I did...and I won last night! And I rolled enough into it to make up about 20% of my losses from KC.
Again...once you start 2nd guessing whether you should bet a series or not, you are taking the system out of the system. I can look at just about every series that starts and easily pick 10 of the 15 that I THINK a team will win at least 1 game. However I don't have data to show a 70-1 record, so I don't do that. I am sticking strictly to the rpi differences you mentioned at the beginning of the post and hoping we don't get 2 losses close to each other so I can make up the losses from KC's debacle.
Just one Man's opinion...trust the system or don't.
Good post LSU. ok, time to keep winning. Every year there seems to have one major sweep upset, watchout for that :( Last year had 2. Lets roll and hopefully we have a few plays this weekend.
0
Good post LSU. ok, time to keep winning. Every year there seems to have one major sweep upset, watchout for that :( Last year had 2. Lets roll and hopefully we have a few plays this weekend.
I figured I'd finally chime in on this one. I jumped on this system/strategy on 5/2 with the Pirates @ Padres and quickly won with the A bet there. Anyway, KC did really 'F' the system (especially if you went all the way chasing the D bet like I did), but as you stated at the beginning with the previous year's record, we can expect a loss or two this year. But we can expect a LOT MORE wins too.
My strategy is to make up for the Lost Loot over the next 5-10 series. This is a risky move as a loss during that stretch could really screw me sideways as I am betting more. But by going from your past results last season, and the 26-1 record (17-1 for me since I jumped on board) this season, the odds are against another loss so soon.
The other comment...and it is only my opinion, is that these systems/strategies are meant to take the emotion OUT of the bet. IF these records are accurate, and I can attest to 17-1 since May 2, then stop over-thinking and rely on baseball continuing to be baseball. The next game KC beats a better Toronto team because Felipe Paulino gives up 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings in his 3rd start of the season! Don't 2nd guess playing on KC against Minnesota. The Twins have been BRUTAL this year. We were playing AGAINST Minny more than we were playing ON KC. It just so happens that Cleveland gets Minny next. Did I play them? Sure I did...and I won last night! And I rolled enough into it to make up about 20% of my losses from KC.
Again...once you start 2nd guessing whether you should bet a series or not, you are taking the system out of the system. I can look at just about every series that starts and easily pick 10 of the 15 that I THINK a team will win at least 1 game. However I don't have data to show a 70-1 record, so I don't do that. I am sticking strictly to the rpi differences you mentioned at the beginning of the post and hoping we don't get 2 losses close to each other so I can make up the losses from KC's debacle.
Just one Man's opinion...trust the system or don't.
Nice write up! That KC series rolled me up as well! You are right though, we can recoup our dough back! As far as systems goes this is by far one of the best I have come across! Lets roll and make some dough!
0
Quote Originally Posted by LSU2thBone:
bettor2win,
I figured I'd finally chime in on this one. I jumped on this system/strategy on 5/2 with the Pirates @ Padres and quickly won with the A bet there. Anyway, KC did really 'F' the system (especially if you went all the way chasing the D bet like I did), but as you stated at the beginning with the previous year's record, we can expect a loss or two this year. But we can expect a LOT MORE wins too.
My strategy is to make up for the Lost Loot over the next 5-10 series. This is a risky move as a loss during that stretch could really screw me sideways as I am betting more. But by going from your past results last season, and the 26-1 record (17-1 for me since I jumped on board) this season, the odds are against another loss so soon.
The other comment...and it is only my opinion, is that these systems/strategies are meant to take the emotion OUT of the bet. IF these records are accurate, and I can attest to 17-1 since May 2, then stop over-thinking and rely on baseball continuing to be baseball. The next game KC beats a better Toronto team because Felipe Paulino gives up 3 hits over 6 2/3 innings in his 3rd start of the season! Don't 2nd guess playing on KC against Minnesota. The Twins have been BRUTAL this year. We were playing AGAINST Minny more than we were playing ON KC. It just so happens that Cleveland gets Minny next. Did I play them? Sure I did...and I won last night! And I rolled enough into it to make up about 20% of my losses from KC.
Again...once you start 2nd guessing whether you should bet a series or not, you are taking the system out of the system. I can look at just about every series that starts and easily pick 10 of the 15 that I THINK a team will win at least 1 game. However I don't have data to show a 70-1 record, so I don't do that. I am sticking strictly to the rpi differences you mentioned at the beginning of the post and hoping we don't get 2 losses close to each other so I can make up the losses from KC's debacle.
Just one Man's opinion...trust the system or don't.
Nice write up! That KC series rolled me up as well! You are right though, we can recoup our dough back! As far as systems goes this is by far one of the best I have come across! Lets roll and make some dough!
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